PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Jonava vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 116-55
37-10 28-18 35-14 16-13
Position#5
Record14-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game91.1
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
Position#10
Record3-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game95.8
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Jonava v Mazeikiai
16 Apr 2025
JON116
MAZ55
31 Oct 2024
JON89
MAZ74
19 Oct 2024
JON103
MAZ83
03 Feb 2024
JON87
MAZ96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
67avg 78
A25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
87-110
87
110
-23
72avg 78
H02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
77avg 78
A08/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 78
H01/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
85avg 78
A09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
62-89
62
89
-27
43avg 78
A16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
87avg 78
H22/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-89
96
89
+7
88avg 78
H29/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
98-97
98
97
+1
92avg 78
A05/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
115-109 OT
115
109
+6
102avg 78
A13/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
28-30
17-20
20-23
23-19
17-37
23-24
24-30
19-25
20-21
30-17
19-23
25-15
17-20
20-8
19-34
26-26
23-20
19-21
26-23
9-22
20-19
13-26
20-22
25-27
17-19
23-27
27-14
21-17
31-20
20-26
24-26
27-16
34-24
21-22
16-35
22-24
16-24
25-25
33-23
181.1Avg total
89.3Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.191.1179.2-3.056%
Season at home (12)88.690.2178.8-1.658%
Season away (13)87.692.0179.6-4.454%
Last 10 (10)89.391.8181.1-2.570%
Last 5 (5)92.694.2186.8-1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.891.8173.5-10.038%
vs Similar (16)91.092.4183.4-1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.781.3170.0+7.367%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 69
H26/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
63-99
63
99
-36
48avg 69
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
72-92
72
92
-20
63avg 69
A10/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
74-102
74
102
-28
59avg 69
H02/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-106
86
106
-20
75avg 69
H08/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
77-96
77
96
-19
66avg 69
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
69-102
69
102
-33
58avg 69
A22/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 69
A29/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
71-101
71
101
-30
64avg 69
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-105
80
105
-25
70avg 69
H13/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
24-15
21-33
20-21
17-21
12-27
18-26
16-25
20-14
19-23
15-29
18-26
21-21
17-24
16-30
20-27
21-28
24-23
14-29
27-26
25-24
14-21
20-22
18-29
13-26
22-27
19-27
15-22
16-22
26-20
13-21
22-17
21-22
18-26
13-27
19-26
24-31
15-24
23-20
18-30
172.2Avg total
75.1Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.095.8175.8-15.812%
Season at home (14)80.595.4175.9-14.914%
Season away (11)79.596.3175.7-16.89%
Last 10 (10)75.197.1172.2-22.00%
Last 5 (5)74.896.8171.6-22.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)79.994.2174.0-14.323%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -9.2-9.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -5.6-5.6
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -9.2-9.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -5.6-5.6
JonavaMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H22/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H29/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A05/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A13/04
LKL
87.1Avg total
43.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.885.9-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.544.287.6-0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)41.043.684.6-2.635%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.687.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.486.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.845.483.1-7.612%-
vs Similar (16)45.445.290.6+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.838.277.0+0.750%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H26/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A10/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H08/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A22/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H13/04
LKL
84.4Avg total
38.6Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.245.184.3-5.923%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.543.082.5-3.531%-
Last 30 away (14)38.947.486.3-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)38.645.884.4-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.848.687.4-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.245.184.3-5.923%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.219.9
47.2%
55.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.7
39.3%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws26.519.4
73.2%
75.0%19.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.8
51.6%
55.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.2
33.5%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.911.1
69.8%
75.0%11.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WWWWLWWWLL
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#10
-3.5
Net rating
-29.3
114.9
Offensive rating
100.6
118.4
Defensive rating
129.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.3%
3-point %
33.5%
56.8%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 100.6Defence118.4 · 129.9Shooting51.5% · 51.0%3-point %39.3% · 33.5%Ball care15.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds34.0% · 26.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Jonava   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Jonava wins
2
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Mazeikiai v Jonava72-83
11/12/24Mazeikiai v Jonava78-76
31/10/24Jonava v Mazeikiai89-74
19/10/24Jonava v Mazeikiai103-83
14/04/24Mazeikiai v Jonava62-79
03/02/24Jonava v Mazeikiai87-96
23/09/23Mazeikiai v Jonava79-82
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25AJuventus115-109 OT
05/04/25ANeptunas98-97
29/03/25HNevezis96-89
22/03/25HLietkabelis92-87
16/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas62-89
09/03/25ASiauliai94-90
01/03/25HBC Wolves81-77
08/02/25ALietkabelis88-86
02/02/25HNevezis87-110
25/01/25ARytas80-84
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-105
05/04/25HNevezis71-101
29/03/25AJuventus77-80
22/03/25ARytas69-102
15/03/25HNeptunas77-96
08/03/25HBC Wolves86-106
02/03/25HSiauliai74-102
10/02/25AJuventus72-92
01/02/25ANeptunas63-99
26/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayWWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%58%54%
Points / game88.188.687.6
Allowed / game91.190.292.0
Point differential-3.0-1.6-4.4
Avg total179.2178.8179.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%17%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)67% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayWLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %12%14%9%
Points / game80.080.579.5
Allowed / game95.895.496.3
Point differential-15.8-14.9-16.8
Avg total175.8175.9175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2523292%91.174.7+16.4
2 Rytas2519676%89.882.6+7.2
3 BC Wolves26151158%90.488.6+1.8
4 Jonava25141156%88.191.1-3.0
5 Lietkabelis26131350%82.981.4+1.5
6 Juventus25111444%83.786.4-2.7
7 Siauliai25101540%91.194.9-3.8
8 Neptunas26101638%84.287.5-3.2
9 Nevezis2691735%90.088.5+1.6
10 Mazeikiai2532212%80.095.8-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava37283516116
Mazeikiai1018141355
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.