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Neptunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-87
24-22 27-24 19-22 20-19
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLWLL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#5
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game98.0
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Jonava
21 Mar 2027
NEP v JON
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
NEP v JON
upcoming
17 May 2026
NEP95
JON89
26 Oct 2025
NEP117
JON113
05 Apr 2025
NEP97
JON98
13 Nov 2024
NEP111
JON110
29 Sep 2024
NEP90
JON87
10 Dec 2023
NEP69
JON64
26 Mar 2023
NEP76
JON70
04 Jan 2023
NEP80
JON85
31 Oct 2022
NEP77
JON93
26 Mar 2022
NEP75
JON78
24 Jan 2022
NEP75
JON87
29 Sep 2021
NEP89
JON74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
80avg 80
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
77-88
77
88
-11
68avg 80
H27/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
85-86
85
86
-1
85avg 80
H01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
92avg 80
A05/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
84-91
84
91
-7
72avg 80
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
96avg 80
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 80
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
76avg 80
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
57avg 80
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
59-95
59
95
-36
46avg 80
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
20-21
12-20
21-27
27-24
18-19
10-15
22-30
15-15
31-14
21-24
18-33
19-21
33-22
19-25
27-36
22-31
20-14
21-19
21-27
30-23
23-23
26-10
16-20
16-26
15-14
26-24
23-27
19-12
17-21
22-24
32-27
19-21
12-16
15-16
20-21
24-18
12-29
15-26
8-22
169.4Avg total
81.3Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.388.1169.4-6.820%
Last 5 (5)78.084.0162.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.587.1169.5-4.640%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.075.5154.5+3.5100%
vs Weaker (11)85.786.1171.8-0.445%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
W
79-62
79
62
+17
71avg 75
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
83-116
83
116
-33
69avg 75
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-101
57
101
-44
33avg 75
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
77avg 75
H28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
116-77
116
77
+39
117avg 75
A01/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 75
A04/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-110
77
110
-33
66avg 75
A13/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
90-96
90
96
-6
85avg 75
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
90-103
90
103
-13
78avg 75
A22/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
63avg 75
H25/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
22-13
17-11
16-15
19-37
22-29
17-33
25-17
15-30
10-21
13-26
19-24
18-22
25-30
19-24
23-22
31-19
29-18
35-21
21-19
22-30
20-15
25-19
18-24
28-22
18-29
22-28
9-31
23-20
30-21
22-28
15-27
21-25
20-27
22-21
27-30
20-22
16-24
19-26
17-21
177.8Avg total
83.4Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.098.0179.0-17.00%
Season at home (1)72.093.0165.0-21.00%
Season away (1)90.0103.0193.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)83.494.4177.8-11.020%
Last 5 (5)82.898.0180.8-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.194.4172.5-16.311%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.889.9173.6-6.125%
vs Weaker (3)101.779.7181.3+22.067%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -4.0-4.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -4.0-4.0
NeptunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H27/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A05/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
82.6Avg total
41.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.381.3+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.141.182.2-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.939.580.3+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.882.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.678.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.439.980.3+0.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.237.576.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (11)42.441.884.2+0.555%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
41-66
41
66
-25
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A01/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A13/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A22/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H25/09
LKL
91.0Avg total
43.3Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.645.186.6-3.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.442.283.6-0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)41.747.689.2-5.912%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.791.0-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.090.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.945.384.2-6.311%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.048.092.0-4.038%-
vs Weaker (3)51.736.087.7+15.7100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.1
53.6%
55.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.212.6
69.2%
75.0%12.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.8
52.7%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.5
33.9%
35.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.111.1
68.9%
75.0%11.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWLWLLLLL
Jonava
LLLLLWLLLW
#7
League position
#5
-9.6
Net rating
-15.2
104.4
Offensive rating
108.0
114.1
Defensive rating
123.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.9%
3-point %
33.9%
67.1%
Assist %
63.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 108.0Defence114.1 · 123.3Shooting51.1% · 51.8%3-point %31.9% · 33.9%Ball care17.7% · 15.8%Off. rebounds27.9% · 29.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Neptunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
08/04/24Jonava v Neptunas78-81
10/12/23Neptunas v Jonava69-64
29/10/23Jonava v Neptunas88-77
26/03/23Neptunas v Jonava76-70
01/02/23Jonava v Neptunas83-66
21/01/23Jonava v Neptunas76-75
04/01/23Neptunas v Jonava80-85
31/10/22Neptunas v Jonava77-93
26/03/22Neptunas v Jonava75-78
24/01/22Neptunas v Jonava75-87
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/24ABilbao59-95
24/09/24HBilbao66-74
21/09/24ARytas90-84
18/05/24ABC Wolves80-91
15/05/24HBC Wolves95-76
13/05/24ABC Wolves84-91
05/05/24ASiauliai98-104
01/05/24HBC Wolves85-86
27/04/24HPieno Zvaigzdes77-88
22/04/24HNevezis79-92
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24HZalgiris Kaunas72-93
22/09/24ABC Wolves90-103
15/05/24HRytas90-96
13/05/24ARytas77-110
04/05/24AJuventus85-88
01/05/24APieno Zvaigzdes116-77
28/04/24HRytas85-98
21/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas57-101
18/04/24ANevezis83-116
14/04/24AMazeikiai79-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game90.0-90.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total174.0-174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game81.072.090.0
Allowed / game98.093.0103.0
Point differential-17.0-21.0-13.0
Avg total179.0165.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%91.070.3+20.7
2 Neptunas110100%90.084.0+6.0
3 Lietkabelis220100%82.579.5+3.0
4 BC Wolves21150%92.086.5+5.5
5 Rytas21150%85.084.0+1.0
6 Juventus21150%78.080.0-2.0
7 Siauliai21150%79.092.0-13.0
8 Mazeikiai2020%85.588.5-3.0
9 Nevezis2020%75.083.5-8.5
10 Jonava2020%81.098.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2427192090
Jonava2224221987
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