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Jonava vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-93
20-22 16-24 19-26 17-21
Position#5
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game103.0
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game63.0
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Jonava v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Apr 2027
JON v ZAL
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
JON v ZAL
upcoming
22 May 2026
JON75
ZAL90
14 Apr 2026
JON84
ZAL101
21 Dec 2025
JON73
ZAL118
20 Sep 2025
JON78
ZAL87
31 May 2025
JON74
ZAL98
11 May 2025
JON81
ZAL91
25 Sep 2024
JON72
ZAL93
07 Jan 2024
JON67
ZAL75
07 May 2023
JON82
ZAL89
19 Feb 2023
JON77
ZAL81
05 Dec 2022
JON75
ZAL80
10 Apr 2022
JON100
ZAL97
16 Jan 2022
JON75
ZAL86
20 Sep 2021
JON80
ZAL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 76
H08/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
79-62
79
62
+17
71avg 76
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
83-116
83
116
-33
69avg 76
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-101
57
101
-44
33avg 76
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
77avg 76
H28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
116-77
116
77
+39
117avg 76
A01/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 76
A04/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-110
77
110
-33
66avg 76
A13/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
90-96
90
96
-6
85avg 76
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
90-103
90
103
-13
78avg 76
A22/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-15
22-14
18-34
24-23
22-13
17-11
16-15
19-37
22-29
17-33
25-17
15-30
10-21
13-26
19-24
18-22
25-30
19-24
23-22
31-19
29-18
35-21
21-19
22-30
20-15
25-19
18-24
28-22
18-29
22-28
9-31
23-20
30-21
22-28
15-27
21-25
20-27
22-21
27-30
177.2Avg total
84.0Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.0103.0193.0-13.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)90.0103.0193.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)84.093.2177.2-9.220%
Last 5 (5)91.694.8186.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.494.5172.9-16.111%
vs Similar (9)81.687.6169.1-6.022%
vs Weaker (3)101.779.7181.3+22.067%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
W
97-61
97
61
+36
101avg 80
H12/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
76-58
76
58
+18
76avg 80
A14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
93-72
93
72
+21
86avg 80
H21/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
80avg 80
A23/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
84avg 80
H26/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
76avg 80
H05/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
94-104 OT
94
104
-10
87avg 80
A07/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
81avg 80
H10/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
87-88
87
88
-1
74avg 80
A12/06
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
91-63
91
63
+28
92avg 80
A22/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
25-15
28-5
27-15
23-14
17-22
18-10
18-12
33-14
15-24
18-22
27-12
16-22
22-17
23-29
29-21
18-18
21-26
24-10
25-25
17-19
19-24
20-11
21-23
30-19
20-25
17-27
20-16
25-15
22-21
19-20
25-25
24-23
24-28
17-19
22-18
17-19
23-15
28-16
23-13
167.9Avg total
89.5Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.063.0154.0+28.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)91.063.0154.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.578.4167.9+11.170%
Last 5 (5)90.285.0175.2+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.064.0126.0-2.00%
vs Similar (13)84.882.7167.5+2.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.074.4167.4+18.688%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +5.7+5.7
JonavaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H08/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
41-66
41
66
-25
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A01/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A13/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A22/09
LKL
89.9Avg total
43.5Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.686.0-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.841.983.8-0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)41.146.687.8-5.512%-
Last 10 (10)43.546.489.9-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)48.445.293.6+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.145.284.3-6.111%-
vs Similar (9)42.746.288.9-3.633%-
vs Weaker (3)51.736.087.7+15.7100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H12/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H21/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H26/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H05/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/06
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A22/09
LKL
83.4Avg total
42.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.782.3+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.837.883.6+8.067%-
Last 30 away (12)40.240.280.3+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.683.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.685.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.031.056.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (13)41.241.482.6-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.637.183.6+9.581%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.4
52.7%
55.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.3
33.4%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.011.1
69.4%
75.0%11.1
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.2
58.4%
55.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.4
32.4%
35.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.118.9
81.8%
75.0%18.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLLLWLLLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLLWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-12.8
Net rating
+14.9
108.5
Offensive rating
119.1
121.4
Defensive rating
104.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.2%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.4%
3-point %
32.4%
63.5%
Assist %
62.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 119.1Defence121.4 · 104.2Shooting51.6% · 54.5%3-point %33.4% · 32.4%Ball care15.3% · 14.2%Off. rebounds29.9% · 30.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Jonava   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jonava wins
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24ABC Wolves90-103
15/05/24HRytas90-96
13/05/24ARytas77-110
04/05/24AJuventus85-88
01/05/24APieno Zvaigzdes116-77
28/04/24HRytas85-98
21/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas57-101
18/04/24ANevezis83-116
14/04/24AMazeikiai79-62
08/04/24HNeptunas78-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24ASiauliai91-63
12/06/24ARytas87-88
10/06/24HRytas91-81
07/06/24ARytas94-104 OT
05/06/24HRytas88-89 OT
26/05/24HLietkabelis88-79
23/05/24ALietkabelis90-89
21/05/24HLietkabelis93-72
14/05/24AMazeikiai76-58
12/05/24HMazeikiai97-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game90.0-90.0
Allowed / game103.0-103.0
Point differential-13.0--13.0
Avg total193.0-193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game63.0-63.0
Point differential+28.0-+28.0
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%91.063.0+28.0
2 BC Wolves110100%103.090.0+13.0
3 Neptunas110100%90.084.0+6.0
4 Juventus110100%78.074.0+4.0
5 Lietkabelis110100%82.078.0+4.0
6 Mazeikiai1010%78.082.0-4.0
7 Nevezis1010%74.078.0-4.0
8 Rytas1010%84.090.0-6.0
9 Jonava1010%90.0103.0-13.0
10 Siauliai1010%63.091.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2016191772
Zalgiris Kaunas2224262193
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