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Jonava vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 88-84
25-27 19-24 28-11 16-22
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game82.0
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas
Lithuania
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game86.5
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Jonavos sporto arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
116-77
116
77
+39
117avg 76
A01/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 76
A04/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-110
77
110
-33
66avg 76
A13/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
90-96
90
96
-6
85avg 76
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
90-103
90
103
-13
78avg 76
A22/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
63avg 76
H25/09
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
87-90
87
90
-3
80avg 76
A29/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 76
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
104-93
104
93
+11
93avg 76
H05/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 76
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
29-18
35-21
21-19
22-30
20-15
25-19
18-24
28-22
18-29
22-28
9-31
23-20
30-21
22-28
15-27
21-25
20-27
22-21
27-30
20-22
16-24
19-26
17-21
22-24
24-27
22-19
19-20
16-18
19-22
32-15
26-25
23-25
29-27
28-13
24-28
21-22
22-18
21-24
23-20
181.5Avg total
90.1Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
Season at home (2)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.191.4181.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)88.688.0176.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.594.3172.8-15.812%
vs Similar (12)86.888.8175.6-2.142%
vs Weaker (1)116.077.0193.0+39.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
96avg 81
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 81
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
76avg 81
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
57avg 81
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
59-95
59
95
-36
46avg 81
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
91avg 81
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 81
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
99-92
99
92
+7
87avg 81
A06/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
106-71
106
71
+35
114avg 81
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 81
H12/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
23-23
26-10
16-20
16-26
15-14
26-24
23-27
19-12
17-21
22-24
32-27
19-21
12-16
15-16
20-21
24-18
12-29
15-26
8-22
24-22
27-24
19-22
20-19
17-18
26-20
23-29
16-35
32-17
24-29
21-27
22-19
25-19
27-15
32-24
22-13
25-23
18-19
29-15
17-17
170.2Avg total
85.6Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.086.5180.5+7.550%
Season at home (1)106.071.0177.0+35.0100%
Season away (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)85.684.6170.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)93.285.2178.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.487.6171.1-4.243%
vs Similar (5)87.283.4170.6+3.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.887.9176.7+0.945%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A01/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A13/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A22/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H25/09
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
90.9Avg total
45.4Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.745.887.5-4.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.043.584.5-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)42.448.290.6-5.813%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.590.9-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.888.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.045.484.4-6.412%-
vs Similar (12)44.047.291.2-3.233%-
vs Weaker (1)60.037.097.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A06/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
LKL
84.1Avg total
43.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.283.9+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.541.985.4+1.662%-
Last 30 away (14)41.840.482.1+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.984.1+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)49.041.290.2+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.240.981.1-0.643%-
vs Similar (5)46.442.088.4+4.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.241.285.4+3.073%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.4
56.0%
55.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.3
37.4%
36.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.4
72.0%
74.4%14.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.4
51.2%
55.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.1
35.8%
36.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.615.5
71.8%
74.4%15.5
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WWWLLLLLLW
Neptunas
WWWLWLLWLW
#4
League position
#2
-2.0
Net rating
+1.3
116.8
Offensive rating
112.9
118.8
Defensive rating
111.6
56.1%
Effective FG%
52.3%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.4%
3-point %
35.8%
63.7%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 112.9Defence118.8 · 111.6Shooting56.1% · 52.3%3-point %37.4% · 35.8%Ball care17.2% · 16.0%Off. rebounds33.3% · 32.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Jonava wins
4
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
29/09/24Neptunas v Jonava90-87
08/04/24Jonava v Neptunas78-81
10/12/23Neptunas v Jonava69-64
29/10/23Jonava v Neptunas88-77
26/03/23Neptunas v Jonava76-70
01/02/23Jonava v Neptunas83-66
21/01/23Jonava v Neptunas76-75
04/01/23Neptunas v Jonava80-85
31/10/22Neptunas v Jonava77-93
26/03/22Neptunas v Jonava75-78
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/24HSiauliai87-84
05/10/24HSiauliai104-93
02/10/24HNevezis93-80
29/09/24ANeptunas87-90
25/09/24HZalgiris Kaunas72-93
22/09/24ABC Wolves90-103
15/05/24HRytas90-96
13/05/24ARytas77-110
04/05/24AJuventus85-88
01/05/24APieno Zvaigzdes116-77
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HBC Wolves89-74
09/10/24HMazeikiai106-71
06/10/24AJuventus99-92
02/10/24ASiauliai82-102
29/09/24HJonava90-87
27/09/24ABilbao59-95
24/09/24HBilbao66-74
21/09/24ARytas90-84
18/05/24ABC Wolves80-91
15/05/24HBC Wolves95-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total172.0172.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game94.0106.082.0
Allowed / game86.571.0102.0
Point differential+7.5+35.0-20.0
Avg total180.5177.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus220100%86.573.5+13.0
2 Jonava220100%90.082.0+8.0
3 Siauliai21150%93.084.5+8.5
4 Neptunas21150%94.086.5+7.5
5 Nevezis2020%77.090.0-13.0
6 Mazeikiai2020%72.096.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2519281688
Neptunas2724112284
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