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Jonava vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 14:25
Final 76-75
21-18 15-16 16-21 24-20
Position#3
Record5-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.1
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game84.6
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2022-23
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 71
H19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 71
H28/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
82-66
82
66
+16
no box
H01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 71
H05/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 71
A11/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
71avg 71
H22/12
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 71
A07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
69avg 71
A15/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
23-21
9-20
29-30
20-16
17-25
20-20
23-15
26-17
22-15
25-26
19-27
27-16
26-16
21-17
8-17
18-23
18-20
22-13
17-24
26-24
18-24
12-15
22-25
21-19
13-20
21-22
19-21
24-20
26-17
15-14
20-29
19-18
27-19
18-23
20-26
15-18
25-10
19-22
10-18
160.9Avg total
80.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.377.1158.4+4.171%
Season at home (3)81.772.0153.7+9.7100%
Season away (4)81.081.0162.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)80.780.2160.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)78.080.8158.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.573.2152.8+6.275%
vs Similar (15)77.980.7158.7-2.833%
vs Weaker (10)84.778.4163.1+6.390%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 71
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
105-72
105
72
+33
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 71
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
L
60-61
60
61
-1
50avg 71
A06/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 71
H12/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 71
H21/12
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-77
46
77
-31
33avg 71
A08/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
84avg 71
A14/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
18-16
23-17
15-13
23-14
30-15
26-22
26-21
19-13
22-24
9-27
23-16
28-15
23-27
27-21
21-23
22-16
10-9
10-20
18-16
30-23
15-21
21-19
20-16
16-14
20-14
25-22
19-25
20-24
17-26
14-15
29-20
13-12
13-19
15-25
5-21
19-16
29-23
16-22
17-12
153.6Avg total
78.1Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.684.6178.1+9.071%
Season at home (4)93.585.2178.8+8.275%
Season away (3)93.783.7177.3+10.067%
Last 10 (10)78.175.5153.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)74.677.8152.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.281.6155.8-7.538%
vs Similar (6)75.577.3152.8-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.683.6176.3+9.073%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H05/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H22/12
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A15/01
LKL
81.6Avg total
43.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.979.5+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.038.380.3+3.750%-
Last 30 away (16)39.339.578.8-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)43.837.881.6+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.880.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.836.576.2+3.250%-
vs Similar (15)40.840.881.6+0.040%-
vs Weaker (10)41.337.278.5+4.160%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A06/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H21/12
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A08/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/01
LKL
76.4Avg total
40.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.679.3+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.182.1+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.339.176.4-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.276.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.539.376.8-1.838%-
vs Similar (6)36.841.278.0-4.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.839.182.9+4.773%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.3
57.3%
55.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.3
38.3%
34.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.315.1
74.4%
75.0%15.1
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.4
50.0%
55.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.3
31.3%
34.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.716.5
72.7%
75.0%16.5
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLWLLLWWWL
Neptunas
WLLWWLWLWW
#3
League position
#4
-0.6
Net rating
+2.5
112.7
Offensive rating
104.1
113.3
Defensive rating
101.7
57.3%
Effective FG%
48.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.3%
3-point %
31.3%
66.1%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 104.1Defence113.3 · 101.7Shooting57.3% · 48.7%3-point %38.3% · 31.3%Ball care20.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds30.4% · 30.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jonava wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
04/01/23Neptunas v Jonava80-85
31/10/22Neptunas v Jonava77-93
26/03/22Neptunas v Jonava75-78
24/01/22Neptunas v Jonava75-87
16/12/21Jonava v Neptunas64-89
21/10/21Jonava v Neptunas86-92
29/09/21Neptunas v Jonava89-74
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23AGargzdai69-68
07/01/23ALietkabelis84-86
04/01/23ANeptunas85-80
22/12/22HSiauliai74-82
11/12/22AJuventus78-88
05/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas75-80
01/12/22HSiauliai82-66
28/11/22HGargzdai92-85
23/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes80-76
19/11/22HLietkabelis88-91
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23ALietkabelis81-73
08/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas46-77
04/01/23HJonava80-85
21/12/22HPrienai80-75
12/12/22HNevezis86-79
06/12/22ASiauliai60-61
30/11/22HJuventus99-86
26/11/22ALietkabelis73-80
24/11/22APrienai105-72
21/11/22ANevezis71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game81.381.781.0
Allowed / game77.172.081.0
Point differential+4.1+9.7+0.0
Avg total158.4153.7162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game93.693.593.7
Allowed / game84.685.283.7
Point differential+9.0+8.2+10.0
Avg total178.1178.8177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%95.079.0+16.0
2 Lietkabelis110100%85.081.0+4.0
3 Neptunas75271%93.684.6+9.0
4 Jonava75271%81.377.1+4.1
5 Nevezis75271%92.389.1+3.1
6 BC Wolves74357%87.081.7+5.3
7 Juventus84450%93.589.6+3.9
8 Siauliai73443%84.087.6-3.6
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%82.388.0-5.7
10 Rytas1010%70.078.0-8.0
11 Prienai6060%76.899.3-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2115162476
Neptunas1816212075
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