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Jonava vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 77-81
17-26 16-14 23-15 21-26
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game72.7
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Final
Other2022-23
Meetings · Jonava v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Apr 2027
JON v ZAL
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
JON v ZAL
upcoming
22 May 2026
JON75
ZAL90
14 Apr 2026
JON84
ZAL101
21 Dec 2025
JON73
ZAL118
20 Sep 2025
JON78
ZAL87
31 May 2025
JON74
ZAL98
11 May 2025
JON81
ZAL91
25 Sep 2024
JON72
ZAL93
07 Jan 2024
JON67
ZAL75
07 May 2023
JON82
ZAL89
19 Feb 2023
JON77
ZAL81
05 Dec 2022
JON75
ZAL80
10 Apr 2022
JON100
ZAL97
16 Jan 2022
JON75
ZAL86
20 Sep 2021
JON80
ZAL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 70
A07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
69avg 70
A15/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
80-76
80
76
+4
70avg 70
A29/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
83-66
83
66
+17
85avg 70
H01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
62-75
62
75
-13
50avg 70
H04/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
83-91
83
91
-8
76avg 70
A12/02
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 70
H14/02
LKL
Rytas
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
26-17
15-14
20-29
19-18
27-19
18-23
20-26
15-18
25-10
19-22
10-18
21-18
15-16
16-21
24-20
22-12
21-26
13-24
24-14
19-22
20-19
21-14
23-11
15-14
20-18
12-19
15-24
27-25
21-23
23-26
12-17
24-21
27-17
10-21
13-26
25-15
15-30
28-18
24-23
157.6Avg total
78.8Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.977.9159.8+4.078%
Season at home (4)80.272.8153.0+7.5100%
Season away (5)83.282.0165.2+1.260%
Last 10 (10)78.878.8157.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)78.880.6159.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.674.1150.7+2.471%
vs Similar (13)83.081.9164.9+1.146%
vs Weaker (9)81.077.4158.4+3.678%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#6
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
L
65-89
65
89
-24
57avg 76
A26/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 76
H29/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 76
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 76
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
73avg 76
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
H10/02
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 76
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
78-67
78
67
+11
70avg 76
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
21-14
23-19
25-25
24-19
18-8
16-37
7-25
12-22
26-21
24-13
14-24
16-16
12-22
21-17
21-25
15-26
15-21
24-14
20-27
17-23
16-16
19-19
23-22
20-18
18-24
23-18
18-15
23-19
15-17
19-21
29-23
14-14
19-22
22-11
23-20
17-17
21-12
17-16
22-22
154.9Avg total
77.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.772.7160.3+15.0100%
Season at home (1)91.072.0163.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.177.8154.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)79.073.8152.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.882.0158.8-5.250%
vs Similar (13)73.875.2148.9-1.454%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.572.9157.5+11.685%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
JonavaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A15/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A29/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/02
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H14/02
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
80.6Avg total
42.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.079.7+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.136.478.6+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)41.439.380.7+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.880.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.883.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.035.774.7+3.371%-
vs Similar (13)43.840.784.5+3.146%-
vs Weaker (9)41.935.877.7+6.167%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A26/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H29/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/02
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
72.6Avg total
36.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.874.0+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.035.872.8+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)39.335.975.1+3.473%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.572.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.472.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.241.578.8-4.250%-
vs Similar (13)37.834.772.5+3.269%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.735.273.9+3.569%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.8
55.3%
55.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.1
36.5%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.314.0
76.5%
74.2%14.0
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
55.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.713.2
84.1%
74.2%13.2
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLLLWWWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLLLLLW
#3
League position
#1
-4.2
Net rating
-1.9
106.6
Offensive rating
112.3
110.8
Defensive rating
114.2
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.4%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.5%
3-point %
35.5%
65.4%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 112.3Defence110.8 · 114.2Shooting55.1% · 54.0%3-point %36.5% · 35.5%Ball care19.1% · 20.4%Off. rebounds23.3% · 36.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Jonava   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jonava wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23ARytas92-86
14/02/23HPrienai74-85
12/02/23ANevezis83-91
04/02/23HRytas62-75
01/02/23HNeptunas83-66
29/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-76
21/01/23HNeptunas76-75
15/01/23AGargzdai69-68
07/01/23ALietkabelis84-86
04/01/23ANeptunas85-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23ALietkabelis77-67
15/02/23AJuventus78-67
12/02/23HPrienai86-80
10/02/23HBaskonia79-75
06/02/23ABC Wolves75-80
03/02/23HPartizan74-88
01/02/23AAnadolu Efes70-80
29/01/23HJonava76-80
26/01/23APanathinaikos65-89
22/01/23HBC Wolves91-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game81.980.283.2
Allowed / game77.972.882.0
Point differential+4.0+7.5+1.2
Avg total159.8153.0165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.791.086.0
Allowed / game72.772.073.0
Point differential+15.0+19.0+13.0
Avg total160.3163.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%87.772.7+15.0
2 Jonava97278%81.977.9+4.0
3 Lietkabelis43175%88.079.8+8.2
4 Neptunas85362%91.283.5+7.8
5 Nevezis85362%90.590.2+0.2
6 BC Wolves84450%85.182.9+2.2
7 Juventus94544%91.291.8-0.6
8 Siauliai73443%84.087.6-3.6
9 Rytas41325%85.584.8+0.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%82.388.0-5.7
11 Prienai6060%76.899.3-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1716232177
Zalgiris Kaunas2614152681
← all games of the day
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