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Gargzdai vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 68-69
18-15 10-25 22-19 18-10
Position#11
Record2-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Position#6
Record8-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game79.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Gargzdai v Jonava
13 Mar 2027
GAR v JON
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
GAR v JON
upcoming
02 May 2026
GAR104
JON109
30 Oct 2025
GAR84
JON88
04 Oct 2025
GAR103
JON73
12 Nov 2023
GAR86
JON80
15 Jan 2023
GAR68
JON69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
67avg 74
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
95-68
95
68
+27
100avg 74
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
77avg 74
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
85-92
85
92
-7
85avg 74
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 74
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
92-99
92
99
-7
85avg 74
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
65avg 74
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 74
H09/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
18-27
17-18
18-29
23-28
19-18
18-12
11-15
24-20
22-15
27-19
22-14
20-23
12-25
31-27
18-24
17-26
15-22
26-25
27-19
18-23
23-14
18-25
9-23
26-24
18-30
16-21
22-21
25-21
24-35
26-18
17-25
14-20
19-17
17-33
21-19
12-27
27-15
17-16
18-13
165.4Avg total
78.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.986.1164.0-8.113%
Season at home (8)72.582.4154.9-9.912%
Season away (7)84.190.3174.4-6.114%
Last 10 (10)78.886.6165.4-7.820%
Last 5 (5)77.488.0165.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.787.9163.6-12.20%
vs Similar (3)87.078.7165.7+8.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 71
H19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 71
H28/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
82-66
82
66
+16
no box
H01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 71
H05/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 71
A11/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
71avg 71
H22/12
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 71
A07/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
27-19
21-24
17-24
27-20
23-21
9-20
29-30
20-16
17-25
20-20
23-15
26-17
22-15
25-26
19-27
27-16
26-16
21-17
8-17
18-23
18-20
22-13
17-24
26-24
18-24
12-15
22-25
21-19
13-20
21-22
19-21
24-20
26-17
15-14
20-29
19-18
27-19
18-23
20-26
163.7Avg total
81.8Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.679.9162.5+2.657%
Season at home (7)80.378.3158.6+2.043%
Season away (7)84.981.6166.4+3.371%
Last 10 (10)81.881.9163.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)79.283.2162.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.678.0161.6+5.680%
vs Similar (15)77.980.7158.7-2.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.479.6166.0+6.989%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
GargzdaiJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/01
LKL
84.2Avg total
39.2Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)37.443.981.3-6.513%-
Last 30 at home (8)35.940.976.8-5.012%-
Last 30 away (7)39.147.386.4-8.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.245.084.2-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.286.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.644.781.2-8.18%-
vs Similar (3)40.740.781.3+0.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H05/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H22/12
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/01
LKL
82.7Avg total
44.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.579.8+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.438.780.1+2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.340.379.5-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.782.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.882.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.438.276.6+0.240%-
vs Similar (15)40.840.881.6+0.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.438.279.7+3.256%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.8
53.1%
54.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.3
35.0%
35.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.813.5
61.9%
74.2%13.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.8
58.6%
54.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.0
38.5%
35.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.1
74.9%
74.2%16.1
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WLLLLLLWLL
Jonava
LWLLLWWWLL
#11
League position
#6
-10.5
Net rating
+0.6
105.3
Offensive rating
114.0
115.8
Defensive rating
113.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
58.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
22.1%
Turnover %
20.6%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.0%
3-point %
38.5%
71.5%
Assist %
63.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 114.0Defence115.8 · 113.4Shooting52.9% · 58.2%3-point %35.0% · 38.5%Ball care22.1% · 20.6%Off. rebounds35.3% · 29.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
1
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
28/11/22Jonava v Gargzdai92-85
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/23HPrienai74-71
21/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-89
19/12/22ANevezis92-99
12/12/22ABC Wolves82-96
04/12/22HJuventus68-85
28/11/22AJonava85-92
19/11/22HRytas81-99
06/11/22APrienai95-68
29/10/22HNevezis71-73
24/10/22ANeptunas69-94
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ALietkabelis84-86
04/01/23ANeptunas85-80
22/12/22HSiauliai74-82
11/12/22AJuventus78-88
05/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas75-80
01/12/22HSiauliai82-66
28/11/22HGargzdai92-85
23/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes80-76
19/11/22HLietkabelis88-91
16/11/22ANevezis80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW13%
HomeLLLLW12%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %13%12%14%
Points / game77.972.584.1
Allowed / game86.182.490.3
Point differential-8.1-9.9-6.1
Avg total164.0154.9174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL57%
HomeLLWLL43%
AwayWWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%43%71%
Points / game82.680.384.9
Allowed / game79.978.381.6
Point differential+2.6+2.0+3.3
Avg total162.5158.6166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1514193%87.370.1+17.3
2 Rytas1511473%89.483.9+5.5
3 BC Wolves1611569%84.179.9+4.2
4 Juventus1611569%85.181.9+3.2
5 Lietkabelis1610662%84.881.7+3.1
6 Jonava148657%82.679.9+2.6
7 Siauliai158753%81.481.5-0.1
8 Neptunas157847%78.280.3-2.1
9 Nevezis156940%80.182.1-2.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1431121%79.288.8-9.6
11 Gargzdai1521313%77.986.1-8.1
12 Prienai160160%76.490.6-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1810221868
Jonava1525191069
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