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Jonava vs Taurage Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 01 May 2027
Tip-off: 16:10
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game86.5
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Jonava v Taurage
01 May 2027
JON v TAU
upcoming
05 Dec 2026
JON v TAU
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Taurage win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
81avg 77
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
61avg 77
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
54avg 77
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
71-65
71
65
+6
65avg 77
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
83-84
83
84
-1
79avg 77
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-86
63
86
-23
53avg 77
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 77
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#8
W
94-82
94
82
+12
94avg 77
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
70-91
70
91
-21
no box
H08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
19-18
21-18
27-10
14-22
23-14
21-22
13-19
16-20
17-28
17-22
13-9
20-13
13-15
14-15
24-22
24-29
21-19
21-17
17-19
15-24
11-17
14-24
23-21
20-18
17-20
24-12
19-17
16-27
29-15
24-25
25-15
22-27
22-22
22-12
21-30
20-17
16-20
18-30
16-24
155.4Avg total
76.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.482.0160.4-3.633%
Season at home (6)80.382.0162.3-1.733%
Season away (3)74.782.0156.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)76.778.7155.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)78.883.4162.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)82.990.0172.8-7.127%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.680.4163.0+2.157%
vs Weaker (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Taurage) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TaurageLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaurage
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 72
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 72
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
61avg 72
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 72
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 72
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
83avg 72
A31/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A07/11
LKL
Nevezis
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
H14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
19-29
20-24
14-27
23-25
19-18
14-30
20-23
24-21
17-12
16-24
14-22
19-22
24-18
18-15
19-21
15-17
26-24
9-23
28-17
22-27
17-22
29-15
23-17
21-28
18-15
13-23
25-25
22-11
21-23
23-20
14-28
20-23
17-22
22-28
20-17
21-22
21-23
15-19
16-17
164.6Avg total
78.7Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.486.5166.9-6.130%
Season at home (5)80.285.6165.8-5.440%
Season away (5)80.687.4168.0-6.820%
Last 10 (10)78.785.9164.6-7.220%
Last 5 (5)80.085.0165.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.085.3164.3-6.320%
vs Similar ◀ (4)82.287.5169.8-5.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
JonavaTaurage
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H08/11
LKL
77.7Avg total
37.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.784.0-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.042.683.6-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)39.645.084.6-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.477.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.479.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.645.085.5-4.432%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.040.680.6-0.657%-
vs Weaker (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Taurage) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TaurageLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A31/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/11
LKL
Nevezis
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H14/11
LKL
83.9Avg total
41.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)41.141.282.3-0.136%-
Last 30 at home (6)44.040.584.5+3.567%-
Last 30 away (8)38.941.880.6-2.912%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.483.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.283.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.641.583.1+0.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.840.580.2-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.2
56.8%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.1
30.2%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
70.8%14.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tauragetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Taurage: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.3
47.7%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.4
75.1%
70.8%18.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLWWLLWLLW
Taurage
LLLLWLWLLL
#7
League position
#9
+6.4
Net rating
-4.4
91.3
Offensive rating
92.1
84.9
Defensive rating
96.6
51.7%
Effective FG%
48.5%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.2%
3-point %
33.2%
62.6%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 92.1Defence84.9 · 96.6Shooting51.7% · 48.5%3-point %30.2% · 33.2%Ball care17.0% · 15.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Jonava   ■ Taurage
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jonava wins
1
Taurage wins
DateGameScore
19/09/26Taurage v Jonava95-90 OT
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HGargzdai70-91
05/11/26HRytas87-91
31/10/26HJuventus94-82
28/10/26ACIU80-67
25/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas63-86
17/10/26HNeptunas83-84
10/10/26ALietkabelis71-65
03/10/26HSiauliai63-79
27/09/26HTindastoll71-77
22/09/26HNevezis85-65
Tauragelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HLietkabelis73-81
11/11/26ANevezis79-90
07/11/26ANeptunas80-82
03/11/26AJurbarkas77-91
31/10/26ASiauliai91-81
27/10/26AGargzdai78-81
24/10/26HNevezis80-76
21/10/26HRytas71-79
18/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-96
11/10/26HGargzdai82-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game78.480.374.7
Allowed / game82.082.082.0
Point differential-3.6-1.7-7.3
Avg total160.4162.3156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
Taurage
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game80.480.280.6
Allowed / game86.585.687.4
Point differential-6.1-5.4-6.8
Avg total166.9165.8168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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