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Jonava vs Zalgiris Kaunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 26 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:50
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game73.0
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Jonava v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Apr 2027
JON v ZAL
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
JON v ZAL
upcoming
22 May 2026
JON75
ZAL90
14 Apr 2026
JON84
ZAL101
21 Dec 2025
JON73
ZAL118
20 Sep 2025
JON78
ZAL87
31 May 2025
JON74
ZAL98
11 May 2025
JON81
ZAL91
25 Sep 2024
JON72
ZAL93
07 Jan 2024
JON67
ZAL75
07 May 2023
JON82
ZAL89
19 Feb 2023
JON77
ZAL81
05 Dec 2022
JON75
ZAL80
10 Apr 2022
JON100
ZAL97
16 Jan 2022
JON75
ZAL86
20 Sep 2021
JON80
ZAL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
H22/05
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
A19/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A28/10
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
18-31
17-24
30-25
14-32
18-25
26-15
17-18
18-16
20-25
11-26
32-14
18-19
19-18
21-18
27-10
14-22
23-14
21-22
13-19
16-20
17-28
17-22
13-9
20-13
13-15
14-15
24-22
24-29
21-19
21-17
17-19
15-24
11-17
14-24
23-21
20-18
17-20
24-12
19-17
157.3Avg total
76.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.879.0154.8-3.233%
Season at home (3)77.076.0153.0+1.033%
Season away (3)74.782.0156.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)76.381.0157.3-4.730%
Last 5 (5)72.076.2148.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)82.790.2173.0-7.526%
vs Similar (4)77.280.2157.5-3.050%
vs Weaker (3)85.075.7160.7+9.367%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H04/10
LKL
Barcelona
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A09/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A11/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
29-19
23-12
25-16
23-18
16-23
16-24
33-16
16-22
18-18
25-19
21-17
14-27
29-23
13-28
24-21
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
166.7Avg total
88.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.073.0166.0+20.0100%
Season at home (4)95.072.2167.2+22.8100%
Season away (3)90.374.0164.3+16.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.078.7166.7+9.380%
Last 5 (5)93.075.6168.6+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.085.0172.0+2.050%
vs Similar (5)85.286.4171.6-1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)93.877.9171.7+16.091%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
JonavaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
H22/05
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
ENBL
78.0Avg total
35.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.584.2-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.643.183.8-2.543%-
Last 30 away (16)38.945.684.5-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)35.342.778.0-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.675.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)40.045.885.8-5.930%-
vs Similar (4)40.041.081.0-1.075%-
vs Weaker (3)37.338.776.0-1.30%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H04/10
LKL
Barcelona
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
41.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.684.4+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.639.885.4+5.872%-
Last 30 away (12)43.739.282.9+4.458%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.080.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.478.4+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.544.588.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (5)40.644.084.6-3.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.938.284.0+7.783%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.7
55.0%
55.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
70.4%13.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
70.4%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLLWLLWLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLLWWW
#8
League position
#1
+2.6
Net rating
+11.2
89.5
Offensive rating
106.4
86.9
Defensive rating
95.2
50.7%
Effective FG%
59.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.8%
3-point %
43.4%
63.1%
Assist %
69.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 106.4Defence86.9 · 95.2Shooting50.7% · 59.8%3-point %29.8% · 43.4%Ball care17.4% · 16.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Jonava   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jonava wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ACIU80-67
25/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas63-86
17/10/26HNeptunas83-84
10/10/26ALietkabelis71-65
03/10/26HSiauliai63-79
27/09/26HTindastoll71-77
22/09/26HNevezis85-65
19/09/26ATaurage90-95 OT
22/05/26HZalgiris Kaunas75-90
20/05/26AZalgiris Kaunas82-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
13/10/26AFenerbahce80-99
11/10/26ANevezis80-76
09/10/26ABarcelona88-81
04/10/26HLietkabelis97-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game75.877.074.7
Allowed / game79.076.082.0
Point differential-3.2+1.0-7.3
Avg total154.8153.0156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.095.090.3
Allowed / game73.072.274.0
Point differential+20.0+22.8+16.3
Avg total166.0167.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%93.073.0+20.0
2 Rytas54180%91.283.4+7.8
3 Gargzdai75271%90.688.4+2.1
4 Neptunas74357%86.683.3+3.3
5 Juventus73443%85.786.3-0.6
6 Siauliai73443%83.686.7-3.1
7 Lietkabelis73443%76.081.4-5.4
8 Jonava62433%75.879.0-3.2
9 Taurage72529%80.088.7-8.7
10 Nevezis6060%71.383.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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