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Jonava vs Zalgiris Kaunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 26 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:50
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.0
Jonava
Lithuania
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Zalgiris Kaunas
Lithuania
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game76.1
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Jonava v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Apr 2027
JON v ZAL
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
JON v ZAL
upcoming
22 May 2026
JON75
ZAL90
14 Apr 2026
JON84
ZAL101
21 Dec 2025
JON73
ZAL118
20 Sep 2025
JON78
ZAL87
31 May 2025
JON74
ZAL98
11 May 2025
JON81
ZAL91
25 Sep 2024
JON72
ZAL93
07 Jan 2024
JON67
ZAL75
07 May 2023
JON82
ZAL89
19 Feb 2023
JON77
ZAL81
05 Dec 2022
JON75
ZAL80
10 Apr 2022
JON100
ZAL97
16 Jan 2022
JON75
ZAL86
20 Sep 2021
JON80
ZAL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
81avg 75
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
61avg 75
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
54avg 75
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
71-65
71
65
+6
65avg 75
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
83-84
83
84
-1
79avg 75
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-86
63
86
-23
53avg 75
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 75
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#8
W
94-82
94
82
+12
94avg 75
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
70-91
70
91
-21
no box
H08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
19-18
21-18
27-10
14-22
23-14
21-22
13-19
16-20
17-28
17-22
13-9
20-13
13-15
14-15
24-22
24-29
21-19
21-17
17-19
15-24
11-17
14-24
23-21
20-18
17-20
24-12
19-17
16-27
29-15
24-25
25-15
22-27
22-22
22-12
21-30
20-17
16-20
18-30
16-24
155.4Avg total
76.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.482.0160.4-3.633%
Season at home (6)80.382.0162.3-1.733%
Season away (3)74.782.0156.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)76.778.7155.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)78.883.4162.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)82.990.0172.8-7.127%
vs Similar (7)82.680.4163.0+2.157%
vs Weaker (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 89
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 89
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 89
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 89
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 89
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 89
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
18-25
27-16
18-11
23-31
167.9Avg total
89.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.276.1169.3+17.1100%
Season at home (4)95.072.2167.2+22.8100%
Season away (5)91.879.2171.0+12.6100%
Last 10 (10)89.278.7167.9+10.590%
Last 5 (5)88.880.8169.6+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.584.2168.8+0.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.478.2171.6+15.292%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
JonavaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H08/11
LKL
77.7Avg total
37.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.784.0-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.042.683.6-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)39.645.084.6-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.477.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.479.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.645.085.5-4.432%-
vs Similar (7)40.040.680.6-0.657%-
vs Weaker (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
43.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.284.3+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.586.3+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)43.338.982.3+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.281.3+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.685.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.044.088.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.244.086.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.538.383.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.2
56.8%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.1
30.2%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
70.8%14.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
70.8%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLWWLLWLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWL
#7
League position
#1
+6.4
Net rating
+11.2
91.3
Offensive rating
106.4
84.9
Defensive rating
95.2
51.7%
Effective FG%
59.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.2%
3-point %
43.4%
62.6%
Assist %
69.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 106.4Defence84.9 · 95.2Shooting51.7% · 59.8%3-point %30.2% · 43.4%Ball care17.0% · 16.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Jonava   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jonava wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Jonava86-63
22/05/26Jonava v Zalgiris Kaunas75-90
20/05/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Jonava102-82
14/04/26Jonava v Zalgiris Kaunas84-101
08/03/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Jonava97-90
01/02/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Jonava104-91
17/01/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Jonava89-63
21/12/25Jonava v Zalgiris Kaunas73-118
20/09/25Jonava v Zalgiris Kaunas78-87
03/06/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Jonava86-78
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HGargzdai70-91
05/11/26HRytas87-91
31/10/26HJuventus94-82
28/10/26ACIU80-67
25/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas63-86
17/10/26HNeptunas83-84
10/10/26ALietkabelis71-65
03/10/26HSiauliai63-79
27/09/26HTindastoll71-77
22/09/26HNevezis85-65
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-83
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game78.480.374.7
Allowed / game82.082.082.0
Point differential-3.6-1.7-7.3
Avg total160.4162.3156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.295.091.8
Allowed / game76.172.279.2
Point differential+17.1+22.8+12.6
Avg total169.3167.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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