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Jonava vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 82-89
26-26 18-23 23-20 15-20
Position#6
Record18-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#1
Record27-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game72.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Jonava v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Apr 2027
JON v ZAL
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
JON v ZAL
upcoming
22 May 2026
JON75
ZAL90
14 Apr 2026
JON84
ZAL101
21 Dec 2025
JON73
ZAL118
20 Sep 2025
JON78
ZAL87
31 May 2025
JON74
ZAL98
11 May 2025
JON81
ZAL91
25 Sep 2024
JON72
ZAL93
07 Jan 2024
JON67
ZAL75
07 May 2023
JON82
ZAL89
19 Feb 2023
JON77
ZAL81
05 Dec 2022
JON75
ZAL80
10 Apr 2022
JON100
ZAL97
16 Jan 2022
JON75
ZAL86
20 Sep 2021
JON80
ZAL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
83avg 73
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 73
A26/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 73
H02/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
62avg 73
H11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A16/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-106
81
106
-25
70avg 73
H23/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
68avg 73
A28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
no box
A02/05
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 73
H04/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
19-7
29-19
18-22
18-18
11-16
22-24
19-18
17-22
22-18
11-18
24-27
23-16
11-26
27-25
15-21
14-23
24-18
15-23
19-21
14-15
10-16
18-19
25-15
17-23
23-31
21-21
20-31
18-15
18-25
19-15
17-14
14-23
29-21
18-20
28-25
30-14
17-25
28-18
14-21
160.8Avg total
78.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.580.4160.9+0.056%
Season at home (16)78.279.6157.8-1.344%
Season away (16)82.781.3164.0+1.469%
Last 10 (10)78.582.3160.8-3.850%
Last 5 (5)81.883.2165.0-1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.883.6162.3-4.844%
vs Similar (12)81.182.5163.6-1.433%
vs Weaker (9)80.076.6156.6+3.489%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
W
84-60
84
60
+24
87avg 77
H10/04
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 77
A14/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
70avg 77
H17/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
88-61
88
61
+27
93avg 77
A20/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
71-65
71
65
+6
73avg 77
H22/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
69-91
69
91
-22
54avg 77
A26/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 77
A28/04
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
91avg 77
H30/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
56avg 77
H03/05
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H05/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
22-19
23-10
20-16
19-18
15-20
17-9
32-33
20-25
20-22
20-13
21-15
24-15
19-15
25-17
20-14
22-20
20-12
11-14
18-19
13-25
18-23
22-18
16-25
21-20
23-25
22-23
15-21
27-23
26-25
26-25
16-16
10-13
16-16
22-32
18-16
30-13
19-22
26-27
17-16
157.5Avg total
81.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)87.172.2159.3+15.087%
Season at home (17)87.973.6161.5+14.488%
Season away (14)86.170.4156.6+15.786%
Last 10 (10)81.076.5157.5+4.570%
Last 5 (5)80.684.8165.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.282.8155.0-10.525%
vs Similar (6)79.873.5153.3+6.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.873.4160.2+13.388%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
JonavaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A26/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H23/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/05
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/05
LKL
76.4Avg total
36.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.379.4+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.179.4+1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)39.839.679.4+0.236%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.776.4-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.679.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.639.977.4-2.344%-
vs Similar (12)40.540.681.1-0.133%-
vs Weaker (9)42.037.079.0+5.044%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H10/04
LKL
Bayern
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A14/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H17/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A20/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H22/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A26/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A28/04
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H03/05
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H05/05
LKL
78.9Avg total
40.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.978.8+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.639.682.2+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.238.275.4-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.678.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.081.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.143.579.6-7.40%-
vs Similar (6)40.036.876.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.837.479.1+4.475%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.0
50.8%
54.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.4
31.3%
35.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.212.9
79.6%
74.2%12.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.9
54.4%
54.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.1
37.3%
35.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.616.1
82.1%
74.2%16.1
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WWWLWLLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLLWWWWW
#6
League position
#1
-4.7
Net rating
+6.5
105.7
Offensive rating
116.4
110.4
Defensive rating
109.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
55.0%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.3%
3-point %
37.3%
67.2%
Assist %
58.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 116.4Defence110.4 · 109.9Shooting49.2% · 55.0%3-point %31.3% · 37.3%Ball care16.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.8% · 35.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Jonava   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jonava wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/23HNevezis89-78
02/05/23APieno Zvaigzdes100-98 OT
28/04/23APrienai72-69
23/04/23HRytas81-106
18/04/23HGargzdai67-65
16/04/23ALietkabelis72-85
11/04/23HJuventus76-88
02/04/23HBC Wolves74-85
26/03/23ANeptunas70-76
20/03/23ASiauliai84-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/23HJuventus92-78
03/05/23HBarcelona66-77
30/04/23HNevezis95-89
28/04/23ABarcelona81-89
26/04/23ABarcelona69-91
22/04/23HBC Wolves71-65
20/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-61
17/04/23HRytas81-75
14/04/23ABayern83-80
10/04/23HSiauliai84-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeLLWLW44%
AwayWLLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%44%69%
Points / game80.578.282.7
Allowed / game80.479.681.3
Point differential+0.0-1.3+1.4
Avg total160.9157.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)25% (4)88% (8)
Overtime %9%0%19%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %87%88%86%
Points / game87.187.986.1
Allowed / game72.273.670.4
Point differential+15.0+14.4+15.7
Avg total159.3161.5156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%53%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3127487%87.172.2+15.0
2 Rytas3327682%93.082.8+10.3
3 BC Wolves32221069%85.878.9+7.0
4 Lietkabelis32221069%85.881.4+4.5
5 Jonava32181456%80.580.4+0.0
6 Juventus33181555%86.686.5+0.2
7 Neptunas32161650%80.581.8-1.3
8 Nevezis32131941%86.588.5-1.9
9 Siauliai32131941%83.286.3-3.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3382524%79.889.8-10.0
11 Gargzdai3362718%75.884.4-8.6
12 Prienai3342912%79.290.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2618231582
Zalgiris Kaunas2623202089
← all games of the day
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