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Jonava vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 67-75
15-16 13-25 17-17 22-17
Position#8
Record7-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#1
Record12-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game70.6
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena (Jonava)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Jonava v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Apr 2027
JON v ZAL
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
JON v ZAL
upcoming
22 May 2026
JON75
ZAL90
14 Apr 2026
JON84
ZAL101
21 Dec 2025
JON73
ZAL118
20 Sep 2025
JON78
ZAL87
31 May 2025
JON74
ZAL98
11 May 2025
JON81
ZAL91
25 Sep 2024
JON72
ZAL93
07 Jan 2024
JON67
ZAL75
07 May 2023
JON82
ZAL89
19 Feb 2023
JON77
ZAL81
05 Dec 2022
JON75
ZAL80
10 Apr 2022
JON100
ZAL97
16 Jan 2022
JON75
ZAL86
20 Sep 2021
JON80
ZAL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 75
H18/11
LKL
Rostock
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
86avg 75
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 75
H26/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
63-96
63
96
-33
57avg 75
A02/12
LKL
Sporting CP
#29
L
81-91
81
91
-10
83avg 75
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
64-69
64
69
-5
54avg 75
A10/12
LKL
Legia
#6
L
72-111
72
111
-39
65avg 75
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
84-89
84
89
-5
77avg 75
H16/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
105-73
105
73
+32
92avg 75
H28/12
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
73avg 75
A04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
22-21
26-32
17-27
16-25
19-21
25-15
21-25
32-13
21-22
13-19
18-19
15-30
11-20
12-19
25-27
15-16
16-23
15-28
35-24
13-12
19-20
16-12
16-25
20-26
20-23
13-36
19-26
30-17
20-21
14-18
20-33
24-13
21-20
32-20
28-20
16-9
21-31
14-21
26-19
166.9Avg total
80.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.083.3165.3-1.347%
Season at home (8)87.582.1169.6+5.462%
Season away (7)75.784.6160.3-8.929%
Last 10 (10)80.086.9166.9-6.920%
Last 5 (5)80.484.4164.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.886.7165.5-7.823%
vs Similar (12)83.379.8163.2+3.567%
vs Weaker (4)90.585.0175.5+5.550%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 76
H08/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
97avg 76
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
79avg 76
H14/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
79-55
79
55
+24
71avg 76
H17/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
78avg 76
A20/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
77avg 76
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
55avg 76
H28/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 76
A30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
68avg 76
H02/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
79-93
79
93
-14
65avg 76
A04/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
18-23
22-11
20-26
23-25
23-32
37-15
19-26
21-29
23-29
20-18
21-17
18-10
23-15
21-20
17-10
26-22
22-15
14-19
16-24
22-28
29-28
22-14
7-15
18-16
15-16
16-29
21-17
28-13
22-25
17-16
28-22
22-25
26-16
13-11
16-19
17-23
26-28
16-21
20-21
163.6Avg total
82.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.470.6151.9+10.886%
Season at home (7)82.773.6156.3+9.186%
Season away (7)80.067.6147.6+12.486%
Last 10 (10)82.481.2163.6+1.240%
Last 5 (5)80.280.6160.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similar (13)79.580.5160.1-1.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)79.774.9154.6+4.767%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
JonavaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/11
LKL
Rostock
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H26/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A02/12
LKL
Sporting CP
#29
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A10/12
LKL
Legia
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/12
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
79.9Avg total
39.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.582.1-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.740.483.1+2.364%-
Last 30 away (16)38.742.481.1-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.479.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.479.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.041.579.5-3.538%-
vs Similar (12)41.241.582.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (4)46.043.289.2+2.850%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H14/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H17/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A20/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H28/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/01
Euroleague
88.2Avg total
44.1Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.581.0+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.742.684.3-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)39.538.377.8+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)44.144.188.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.688.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (13)39.142.081.1-2.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.838.680.4+3.267%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.6
58.5%
55.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.1
38.3%
34.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.311.5
66.5%
73.2%11.5
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.9
54.2%
55.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.9
37.9%
34.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.514.3
77.3%
73.2%14.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LWLLLLLWLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWLLLWLWL
#8
League position
#1
-9.2
Net rating
+2.2
103.4
Offensive rating
114.4
112.6
Defensive rating
112.2
58.0%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
25.1%
Turnover %
18.3%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.3%
3-point %
37.9%
70.4%
Assist %
56.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 114.4Defence112.6 · 112.2Shooting58.0% · 55.3%3-point %38.3% · 37.9%Ball care25.1% · 18.3%Off. rebounds28.7% · 33.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Jonava   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jonava wins
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24ASiauliai77-80
28/12/23HGargzdai105-73
16/12/23HPieno Zvaigzdes84-89
13/12/23ALegia72-111
10/12/23ANeptunas64-69
06/12/23HSporting CP81-91
02/12/23AJuventus63-96
26/11/23HJuventus84-73
21/11/23ARostock81-86
18/11/23HRytas89-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne79-93
02/01/24HAlba Berlin77-71
30/12/23ABC Wolves95-76
28/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-78
22/12/23HBarcelona80-85
20/12/23AFenerbahce78-80
17/12/23HBC Wolves79-55
14/12/23HPartizan85-93
10/12/23HNevezis102-98
08/12/23HMonaco79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game82.087.575.7
Allowed / game83.382.184.6
Point differential-1.3+5.4-8.9
Avg total165.3169.6160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game81.482.780.0
Allowed / game70.673.667.6
Point differential+10.8+9.1+12.4
Avg total151.9156.3147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%57%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1513287%91.978.2+13.7
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1412286%81.470.6+10.8
3 BC Wolves1612475%83.777.0+6.7
4 Juventus1510567%90.177.5+12.7
5 Lietkabelis149564%84.982.9+2.1
6 Neptunas157847%83.983.5+0.4
7 Jonava157847%82.083.3-1.3
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes145936%88.491.1-2.8
9 Mazeikiai145936%74.881.0-6.2
10 Siauliai1531220%78.987.5-8.6
11 Gargzdai1531220%77.493.7-16.3
12 Nevezis1631319%82.292.8-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1513172267
Zalgiris Kaunas1625171775
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