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Jurbarkas vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-63
15-18 11-11 21-20 22-14
Position#5
Record20-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#4
Record22-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.8
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Neptunas 2
05 Mar 2026
JURB69
NEPT63
08 Nov 2025
JURB68
NEPT71
20 Dec 2024
JURB84
NEPT95
25 Nov 2023
JURB88
NEPT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
80avg 76
A24/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
88-71
88
71
+17
85avg 76
A27/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
120-82
120
82
+38
128avg 76
H29/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
83-84
83
84
-1
76avg 76
A31/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
82avg 76
H05/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 76
A07/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
111-87
111
87
+24
120avg 76
H14/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
89-85
89
85
+4
78avg 76
A19/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
102-90
102
90
+12
103avg 76
H21/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 76
A03/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
22-17
20-23
17-22
24-16
19-15
18-21
27-19
27-15
31-13
40-22
22-32
21-26
27-19
17-25
18-14
22-23
17-26
22-29
23-17
13-17
26-16
23-19
9-22
38-17
30-25
25-14
18-31
17-22
23-21
17-17
32-25
25-23
23-17
23-27
31-23
29-19
21-13
19-18
18-29
174.8Avg total
91.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.378.7160.1+2.656%
Season at home (18)83.177.4160.4+5.761%
Season away (18)79.680.1159.7-0.450%
Last 10 (10)91.783.1174.8+8.660%
Last 5 (5)92.083.0175.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.081.0141.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.976.4155.3+2.643%
vs Weaker (15)87.979.3167.2+8.780%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 70
H24/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
96-59
96
59
+37
104avg 70
H29/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 70
A31/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
88-89
88
89
-1
81avg 70
H05/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
60-98
60
98
-38
51avg 70
A07/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
83-64
83
64
+19
84avg 70
H14/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
77-70
77
70
+7
69avg 70
H19/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
82avg 70
A21/02
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
86-58
86
58
+28
85avg 70
H26/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 70
A28/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
17-22
23-20
22-17
17-22
25-18
24-11
30-8
24-25
19-20
26-15
19-17
12-30
28-19
27-27
21-13
12-31
15-24
14-15
19-28
27-18
18-13
18-17
20-16
23-18
20-20
16-21
18-11
22-19
21-21
21-22
17-19
22-10
18-15
28-13
18-20
14-12
17-25
18-19
26-17
158.7Avg total
82.8Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)79.576.8156.3+2.659%
Season at home (19)81.175.5156.6+5.658%
Season away (18)77.778.2155.9-0.561%
Last 10 (10)82.875.9158.7+6.980%
Last 5 (5)82.470.8153.2+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.591.0157.5-24.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.777.2151.9-2.564%
vs Weaker (17)84.572.8157.3+11.676%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +4.4+4.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +4.4+4.4
JurbarkasNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A27/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H29/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A31/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H05/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
68-42
68
42
+26
H14/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A03/03
NKL
86.0Avg total
47.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.178.7+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.635.477.9+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)42.636.979.5+5.879%-
Last 10 (10)47.838.286.0+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)49.038.087.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.036.068.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.635.174.7+4.686%-
vs Weaker (15)46.137.083.1+9.173%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H24/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H29/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A31/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H05/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A07/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H19/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/02
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H26/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A28/02
NKL
79.8Avg total
39.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.076.1-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.639.177.7-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)35.438.974.3-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.579.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.274.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.551.584.0-19.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.638.573.2-3.927%-
vs Weaker (17)39.237.877.1+1.453%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.6
58.7%
54.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.7
37.7%
32.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws16.711.4
68.3%
69.3%11.4
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.1
55.5%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.4
36.2%
32.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.314.4
67.6%
69.3%14.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WWWWLLLWWL
Neptunas 2
WWWWWLLWWW
#5
League position
#4
+9.5
Net rating
+8.7
101.6
Offensive rating
96.1
92.1
Defensive rating
87.4
57.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.7%
3-point %
36.2%
73.2%
Assist %
61.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 96.1Defence92.1 · 87.4Shooting57.8% · 55.0%3-point %37.7% · 36.2%Ball care15.6% · 16.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jurbarkas wins
3
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Neptunas 2 v Jurbarkas84-82
08/11/25Jurbarkas v Neptunas 268-71 OT
20/12/24Jurbarkas v Neptunas 284-95
24/10/24Neptunas 2 v Jurbarkas73-77
25/11/23Jurbarkas v Neptunas 288-75
07/10/23Neptunas 2 v Jurbarkas82-90
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26AUkmerges Stekas87-79
21/02/26HPlunges Olimpas102-90
19/02/26ASilute89-85
14/02/26HAlytaus Alytus111-87
07/02/26ATelsiai71-74
05/02/26HOmega-Tauras84-95
31/01/26AMazeikiai83-84
29/01/26HKedainiu SC120-82
27/01/26AUkmerges Stekas88-71
24/01/26ANeptunas 282-84
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26ABC Olimpas Palanga75-73
26/02/26HKretinga86-58
21/02/26AAlytaus Alytus91-89 OT
19/02/26HUkmerges Stekas77-70
14/02/26HOmega-Tauras83-64
07/02/26ASuduva-Mantinga60-98
05/02/26HVytis VDU88-89
31/01/26AKretinga88-77
29/01/26HOmega-Tauras96-59
24/01/26HJurbarkas84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWWLWW61%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %56%61%50%
Points / game81.383.179.6
Allowed / game78.777.480.1
Point differential+2.6+5.7-0.4
Avg total160.1160.4159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)60% (5)14% (7)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeWLWWW58%
AwayWWLWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %59%58%61%
Points / game79.581.177.7
Allowed / game76.875.578.2
Point differential+2.6+5.6-0.5
Avg total156.3156.6155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%37%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)40% (5)100% (5)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3630683%90.175.6+14.6
2 Vytis VDU35251071%88.984.6+4.3
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 236251169%86.983.4+3.4
4 Kedainiu SC35211460%86.885.0+1.8
5 Neptunas 237221559%79.576.8+2.6
6 Vilkaviskis36201656%81.977.8+4.1
7 Jurbarkas36201656%81.378.7+2.6
8 Telsiai36201656%84.884.8-0.0
9 Rytas 236191753%82.681.2+1.4
10 Mazeikiai36191753%83.181.7+1.4
11 Kretinga37181949%83.184.9-1.8
12 Silute38162242%86.789.9-3.2
13 Omega-Tauras36142239%83.988.2-4.3
14 BC Olimpas Palanga37142338%79.483.3-3.9
15 Plunges Olimpas37112630%82.186.6-4.5
16 Ukmerges Stekas3682822%79.189.1-10.1
17 Alytaus Alytus3873118%79.286.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas1511212269
Neptunas 21811201463
← all games of the day
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