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Jurbarkas vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-78
21-20 31-19 14-15 24-24
Position#4
Record16-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#9
Record16-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game82.7
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Vilkaviskis
10 Jan 2026
JURB54
VILK72
19 Mar 2025
JURB73
VILK65
13 Mar 2025
JURB76
VILK79
20 Feb 2025
JURB77
VILK62
17 Oct 2024
JURB88
VILK86
01 Feb 2024
JURB90
VILK78
23 Dec 2023
JURB86
VILK78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
W
93-78
93
78
+15
93avg 75
A09/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
62avg 75
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
78-111
78
111
-33
67avg 75
A16/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
86-78
86
78
+8
91avg 75
H23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 75
A29/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
82-89
82
89
-7
71avg 75
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
84-89
84
89
-5
83avg 75
H06/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
67avg 75
H18/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
77avg 75
A20/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
103-96 OT
103
96
+7
no box
A27/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
31-13
22-23
22-17
17-18
19-22
14-20
20-19
18-29
14-25
22-27
24-30
29-20
19-26
19-18
19-14
17-16
20-17
24-22
21-22
19-28
18-22
17-19
28-20
26-23
22-18
26-23
10-25
24-17
18-25
16-11
20-23
26-29
20-20
20-20
15-22
16-21
23-15
27-27
18-21
170.1Avg total
83.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.880.0160.8+0.855%
Season at home (14)79.677.7157.4+1.957%
Season away (15)81.982.1164.0-0.353%
Last 10 (10)83.786.4170.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)85.688.2173.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.186.1163.3-9.014%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.177.1158.2+3.969%
vs Weaker (6)84.380.5164.8+3.867%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
59avg 69
H14/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
86avg 69
A17/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
69-117
69
117
-48
50avg 69
H21/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
78-86
78
86
-8
62avg 69
A23/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
66-63
66
63
+3
47avg 69
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
70-109
70
109
-39
54avg 69
A06/01
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
80-61
80
61
+19
71avg 69
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
67-63
67
63
+4
57avg 69
A20/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
94-73
94
73
+21
83avg 69
H25/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
64-92
64
92
-28
51avg 69
A27/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
19-26
19-22
18-20
23-28
16-15
33-29
24-15
11-31
26-26
20-34
12-26
20-29
26-19
18-19
14-19
21-18
18-16
10-14
17-15
21-27
21-26
16-31
12-25
20-11
19-25
22-11
19-14
16-13
17-15
20-18
14-17
21-23
15-18
22-19
36-13
12-28
16-18
19-24
17-22
160.5Avg total
76.0Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.782.7163.3-2.053%
Season at home (15)81.179.3160.4+1.967%
Season away (15)80.286.1166.3-5.940%
Last 10 (10)76.084.5160.5-8.550%
Last 5 (5)75.079.6154.6-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.689.9163.5-16.212%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.280.1162.2+2.165%
vs Weaker (2)94.079.5173.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
JurbarkasVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A09/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H18/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A20/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
NKL
84.3Avg total
41.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.740.280.9+0.452%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.638.278.9+2.457%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.182.7-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.984.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.686.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.942.381.1-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.639.780.2+0.956%-
vs Weaker (6)43.039.282.2+3.867%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H14/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H21/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A06/01
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A20/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H25/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A27/01
NKL
81.6Avg total
37.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.282.2-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.640.583.1+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.981.3-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)37.843.881.6-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.876.4-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.444.982.2-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)42.239.982.1+2.460%-
vs Weaker (2)44.039.583.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.7
50.9%
51.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.6
37.2%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.813.4
71.3%
70.3%13.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.221.7
47.0%
51.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.3
31.2%
33.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.09.9
66.0%
70.3%9.9
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WLWLLWWLLW
Vilkaviskis
LWWWLWLLWL
#4
League position
#9
-2.8
Net rating
-11.3
108.5
Offensive rating
100.3
111.3
Defensive rating
111.6
53.1%
Effective FG%
46.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
21.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.2%
3-point %
31.2%
66.1%
Assist %
46.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 100.3Defence111.3 · 111.6Shooting53.1% · 46.9%3-point %37.2% · 31.2%Ball care21.1% · 16.4%Off. rebounds35.6% · 31.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jurbarkas wins
1
Vilkaviskis wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Jurbarkas v Vilkaviskis86-78
04/11/23Vilkaviskis v Jurbarkas89-86
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AVytis VDU103-96 OT
20/01/24ASuduva-Mantinga81-91
18/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas 278-76
06/01/24HBC Olimpas Palanga84-89
04/01/24AKretinga82-89
29/12/23ASilute82-77
23/12/23HVilkaviskis86-78
16/12/23ATelsiai78-111
14/12/23HSuduva-Mantinga70-79
09/12/23AVytis VDU93-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ASuduva-Mantinga64-92
25/01/24HVytis VDU94-73
20/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas 267-63
18/01/24HTelsiai80-61
06/01/24AVytis VDU70-109
04/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas 266-63
23/12/23AJurbarkas78-86
21/12/23HSuduva-Mantinga69-117
17/12/23ARytas 296-87
14/12/23HTelsiai76-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayLWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %55%57%53%
Points / game80.879.681.9
Allowed / game80.077.782.1
Point differential+0.8+1.9-0.3
Avg total160.8157.4164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%21%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)43% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game80.781.180.2
Allowed / game82.779.386.1
Point differential-2.0+1.9-5.9
Avg total163.3160.4166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3025583%82.072.0+10.1
2 Suduva-Mantinga3125681%86.473.6+12.8
3 Telsiai3023777%82.372.4+9.9
4 Jurbarkas29161355%80.880.0+0.8
5 Vilkaviskis30161453%80.782.7-2.0
6 Ukmerges Stekas29151452%75.976.3-0.5
7 Vytis VDU30151550%85.784.9+0.8
8 Delikatesas Joniskis30151550%79.383.7-4.4
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 230141647%74.673.0+1.6
10 Kauno Atletas30131743%77.078.7-1.7
11 Kretinga30111937%77.282.7-5.5
12 Rytas 23082227%80.989.3-8.4
13 Neptunas 23072323%76.283.8-7.6
14 Silute3172423%77.383.2-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2131142490
Vilkaviskis2019152478
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