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Jurbarkas vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-78
29-20 19-26 19-18 19-14
Position#4
Record12-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game78.4
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Vilkaviskis
Lithuania
Position#9
Record12-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game84.0
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall (Jurbarkas)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Vilkaviskis
10 Jan 2026
JURB54
VILK72
19 Mar 2025
JURB73
VILK65
13 Mar 2025
JURB76
VILK79
20 Feb 2025
JURB77
VILK62
17 Oct 2024
JURB88
VILK86
01 Feb 2024
JURB90
VILK78
23 Dec 2023
JURB86
VILK78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 74
H16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
87-92
87
92
-5
78avg 74
A18/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 74
H25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 74
A26/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 74
H30/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
54-62
54
62
-8
44avg 74
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
78-67
78
67
+11
74avg 74
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
93-78
93
78
+15
93avg 74
A09/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
62avg 74
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
78-111
78
111
-33
67avg 74
A16/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
22-18
20-19
16-27
17-31
27-27
25-16
18-18
18-12
27-18
20-18
23-27
19-14
17-21
16-10
24-17
23-15
13-18
15-19
17-27
17-23
18-12
12-4
7-23
17-11
27-20
16-22
18-14
18-25
31-13
22-23
22-17
17-18
19-22
14-20
20-19
18-29
14-25
22-27
24-30
155.7Avg total
77.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.478.4157.8+1.055%
Season at home (11)78.876.8155.6+2.055%
Season away (11)80.079.9159.9+0.155%
Last 10 (10)77.478.3155.7-0.950%
Last 5 (5)74.679.4154.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.084.6159.6-9.620%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.074.6153.6+4.467%
vs Weaker (5)84.881.2166.0+3.660%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
W
95-93
95
93
+2
83avg 72
A25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
73avg 72
A30/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
78avg 72
H02/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 72
A04/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
no box
A07/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
76avg 72
A09/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
77avg 72
A12/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
59avg 72
H14/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
86avg 72
A17/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
69-117
69
117
-48
50avg 72
H21/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
28-24
20-23
23-16
27-22
19-19
12-26
22-18
18-18
25-19
20-18
22-28
21-21
20-24
15-26
21-22
21-19
23-18
17-15
14-23
16-24
22-11
18-21
27-19
18-25
19-21
24-21
24-32
20-26
19-26
19-22
18-20
23-28
16-15
33-29
24-15
11-31
26-26
20-34
12-26
173.8Avg total
82.7Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.784.0166.7-1.452%
Season at home (12)81.482.7164.1-1.258%
Season away (11)84.085.5169.5-1.545%
Last 10 (10)82.791.1173.8-8.440%
Last 5 (5)81.894.4176.2-12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.294.3168.5-20.20%
vs Similar ◀ (21)84.081.8165.7+2.252%
vs Weaker (3)94.376.7171.0+17.7100%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
JurbarkasVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A18/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A26/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H30/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A09/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
NKL
78.9Avg total
40.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)40.139.579.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.236.976.1+2.355%-
Last 30 away (11)41.042.183.1-1.145%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.678.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.678.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.641.276.8-5.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.238.478.7+1.858%-
vs Weaker (5)44.240.484.6+3.860%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A30/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A09/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A12/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H14/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H21/12
NKL
86.3Avg total
41.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.384.1+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.942.187.0+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.740.581.3+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.786.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.046.684.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.746.284.8-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)43.240.383.5+2.967%-
vs Weaker (3)48.738.787.3+10.067%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.7
48.4%
51.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.7
33.4%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.912.3
65.1%
70.3%12.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.723.5
51.4%
51.9%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.3
34.7%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.610.2
65.4%
70.3%10.2
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
LLWWLLWWLW
Vilkaviskis
LWLLWLLWLW
#4
League position
#9
-0.9
Net rating
-9.3
101.7
Offensive rating
107.2
102.7
Defensive rating
116.5
49.2%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
19.3%
Turnover %
14.8%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.4%
3-point %
34.7%
71.9%
Assist %
50.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 107.2Defence102.7 · 116.5Shooting49.2% · 51.7%3-point %33.4% · 34.7%Ball care19.3% · 14.8%Off. rebounds31.9% · 27.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jurbarkas wins
1
Vilkaviskis wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Vilkaviskis v Jurbarkas89-86
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ATelsiai78-111
14/12/23HSuduva-Mantinga70-79
09/12/23AVytis VDU93-78
07/12/23HDelikatesas Joniskis78-67
02/12/23AUkmerges Stekas54-62
30/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas 268-79
26/11/23AKauno Atletas76-62
25/11/23HNeptunas 288-75
18/11/23ARytas 287-92
16/11/23HRytas 282-78
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23HSuduva-Mantinga69-117
17/12/23ARytas 296-87
14/12/23HTelsiai76-94
12/12/23AUkmerges Stekas85-99
09/12/23AKretinga83-75
07/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga81-85 OT
04/12/23ASuduva-Mantinga77-93
02/12/23HNeptunas 285-83
30/11/23AKauno Atletas80-85
25/11/23ASilute95-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeWWLWL55%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%55%55%
Points / game79.478.880.0
Allowed / game78.476.879.9
Point differential+1.0+2.0+0.1
Avg total157.8155.6159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%27%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL52%
HomeWWWLL58%
AwayLLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%58%45%
Points / game82.781.484.0
Allowed / game84.082.785.5
Point differential-1.4-1.2-1.5
Avg total166.7164.1169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2320387%86.472.2+14.2
2 Telsiai2420483%84.072.0+12.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2419579%81.271.5+9.7
4 Vytis VDU22121055%85.283.7+1.5
5 Jurbarkas22121055%79.478.4+1.0
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 223121152%75.773.5+2.2
7 Vilkaviskis23121152%82.784.0-1.4
8 Ukmerges Stekas23111248%74.977.1-2.2
9 Delikatesas Joniskis22101245%76.883.4-6.6
10 Kauno Atletas2391439%75.879.4-3.6
11 Kretinga2481633%77.081.6-4.6
12 Rytas 22481633%81.789.3-7.6
13 Silute2361726%77.683.1-5.5
14 Neptunas 22432112%76.085.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2919191986
Vilkaviskis2026181478
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