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Jurbarkas vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-62
21-18 12-16 24-17 20-11
Position#3
Record22-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#6
Record21-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game78.9
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Vilkaviskis
10 Jan 2026
JURB54
VILK72
19 Mar 2025
JURB73
VILK65
13 Mar 2025
JURB76
VILK79
20 Feb 2025
JURB77
VILK62
17 Oct 2024
JURB88
VILK86
01 Feb 2024
JURB90
VILK78
23 Dec 2023
JURB86
VILK78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
80-53
80
53
+27
78avg 79
H09/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
92-79
92
79
+13
87avg 79
A11/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 79
H14/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
73avg 79
H16/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
69-84
69
84
-15
56avg 79
A18/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 79
A21/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
94avg 79
H25/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
66-69
66
69
-3
59avg 79
H06/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
84avg 79
A08/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 79
A13/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-9
14-11
8-21
28-12
21-24
22-21
23-15
26-19
29-18
16-17
19-23
16-24
28-11
11-26
17-26
30-21
20-18
26-23
11-23
12-20
19-20
20-18
25-16
19-20
17-23
24-15
19-20
30-32
21-16
13-19
18-16
14-18
21-15
26-24
19-31
21-25
15-22
16-27
25-13
23-26
162.7Avg total
82.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.079.3161.3+2.867%
Season at home (16)84.677.9162.5+6.681%
Season away (17)79.680.5160.2-0.953%
Last 10 (10)82.280.5162.7+1.750%
Last 5 (5)83.084.6167.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)100.097.0197.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (21)81.082.1163.1-1.152%
vs Weaker (8)81.968.6150.5+13.2100%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
88-75
88
75
+13
78avg 72
A04/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 72
A07/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
74avg 72
H09/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 72
H16/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
74avg 72
A18/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
82avg 72
H25/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
81avg 72
H06/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
61avg 72
H13/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 72
A15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 72
A18/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
25-17
23-19
23-14
30-24
15-25
14-16
18-21
21-21
26-20
17-14
24-16
22-19
22-29
15-16
30-18
20-26
22-23
19-25
23-21
25-25
22-20
24-23
18-19
31-30
18-22
21-13
24-33
25-10
18-18
16-25
18-15
24-30
23-18
24-23
18-14
24-19
19-28
17-23
23-22
169.7Avg total
85.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)83.478.9162.4+4.562%
Season at home (17)87.075.9162.9+11.182%
Season away (17)79.882.0161.8-2.241%
Last 10 (10)85.883.9169.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)86.486.0172.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.084.0178.0+10.050%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.579.7160.2+0.847%
vs Weaker (9)86.776.7163.3+10.089%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
JurbarkasVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H09/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H14/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H16/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A18/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A21/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H25/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H06/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A08/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A13/02
NKL
78.6Avg total
40.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.378.9+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.335.678.9+7.773%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.979.0+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.778.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.878.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.038.079.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)42.038.580.5+3.562%-
vs Weaker (8)40.934.074.9+6.962%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A07/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H25/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H06/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H13/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A18/02
NKL
89.8Avg total
44.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.781.4+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.982.9+3.073%-
Last 30 away (15)38.541.479.9-2.920%-
Last 10 (10)44.944.989.8+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.089.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.044.586.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.641.582.1-0.942%-
vs Weaker (9)40.738.178.8+2.656%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.3
54.7%
52.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.2
32.5%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.413.0
63.7%
70.5%13.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.024.0
53.3%
52.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.411.0
59.8%
70.5%11.0
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
LLLWWLWLWW
Vilkaviskis
LWWLWLWWLW
#3
League position
#6
+2.2
Net rating
+2.5
107.3
Offensive rating
110.3
105.1
Defensive rating
107.8
52.1%
Effective FG%
52.4%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.5%
3-point %
33.9%
64.1%
Assist %
53.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 110.3Defence105.1 · 107.8Shooting52.1% · 52.4%3-point %32.5% · 33.9%Ball care17.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds31.3% · 33.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jurbarkas wins
2
Vilkaviskis wins
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25AOmega-Tauras79-88
08/02/25AVytis VDU87-95
06/02/25HSuduva-Mantinga66-69
25/01/25HTelsiai100-97 OT
21/01/25APlunges Olimpas83-74
18/01/25AUkmerges Stekas69-84
16/01/25HBC Olimpas Palanga86-84
14/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas 280-82
11/01/25ASilute92-79
09/01/25HAlytaus Alytus80-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas 283-92
15/02/25AOmega-Tauras89-85
13/02/25HBC Olimpas Palanga77-68
06/02/25HVytis VDU94-98
25/01/25HKretinga89-87
18/01/25ATelsiai84-95
16/01/25HUkmerges Stekas89-82
09/01/25HSilute88-71
07/01/25AOmega-Tauras77-86
04/01/25AAlytaus Alytus88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL67%
HomeWLWWL81%
AwayWLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %67%81%53%
Points / game82.084.679.6
Allowed / game79.377.980.5
Point differential+2.8+6.6-0.9
Avg total161.3162.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)71% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %62%82%41%
Points / game83.487.079.8
Allowed / game78.975.982.0
Point differential+4.5+11.1-2.2
Avg total162.4162.9161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%47%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai34241071%86.078.8+7.3
2 BC Olimpas Palanga34231168%81.473.3+8.1
3 Vytis VDU34231168%90.085.2+4.8
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 234231168%80.075.9+4.1
5 Jurbarkas33221167%82.079.3+2.8
6 Vilkaviskis34211362%83.478.9+4.5
7 Suduva-Mantinga34201459%81.476.9+4.6
8 Omega-Tauras35181751%81.281.8-0.6
9 Ukmerges Stekas33161748%78.877.8+1.0
10 Neptunas 233161748%80.180.4-0.3
11 Rytas 234161847%80.782.4-1.6
12 Silute34122235%80.884.0-3.2
13 Kretinga33112233%78.782.9-4.2
14 Plunges Olimpas33102330%77.882.1-4.3
15 Alytaus Alytus3392427%77.889.2-11.4
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3352815%79.692.0-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2112242077
Vilkaviskis1816171162
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