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Jurbarkas vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-86
23-26 23-26 23-17 19-17
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game78.0
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Vilkaviskis
10 Jan 2026
JURB54
VILK72
19 Mar 2025
JURB73
VILK65
13 Mar 2025
JURB76
VILK79
20 Feb 2025
JURB77
VILK62
17 Oct 2024
JURB88
VILK86
01 Feb 2024
JURB90
VILK78
23 Dec 2023
JURB86
VILK78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
59avg 78
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
88avg 78
A10/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 78
H17/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
80avg 78
A20/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
97avg 78
H25/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
88avg 78
A28/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
52avg 78
A03/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
87-86
87
86
+1
82avg 78
H05/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
97-74
97
74
+23
100avg 78
A10/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 78
H12/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
20-18
18-18
12-11
20-19
14-13
22-19
16-21
24-29
12-21
19-20
23-17
23-18
31-21
18-21
12-16
22-14
27-23
24-18
20-21
18-13
25-16
15-22
31-33
17-25
16-18
12-21
22-21
22-17
14-19
28-26
23-24
35-14
18-19
24-18
20-23
26-27
19-10
23-14
13-26
162.6Avg total
83.4Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.080.5163.5+2.575%
Season at home (2)84.081.5165.5+2.5100%
Season away (2)82.079.5161.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)83.479.2162.6+4.280%
Last 5 (5)84.281.2165.4+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.286.9166.2-7.725%
vs Similar ◀ (15)91.086.4177.4+4.673%
vs Weaker (3)88.379.0167.3+9.3100%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
79-69
79
69
+10
68avg 67
A10/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
92-85 OT
92
85
+7
no box
H12/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
65-77
65
77
-12
55avg 67
A14/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
62-68
62
68
-6
48avg 67
H17/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
78avg 67
A21/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
55avg 67
H23/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
68avg 67
A03/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
75-73
75
73
+2
71avg 67
H05/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
82avg 67
A10/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
81avg 67
H12/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
21-13
17-16
17-25
19-20
20-18
20-21
17-17
14-26
20-20
12-18
19-13
16-24
21-17
5-12
20-15
24-15
21-21
20-24
8-13
15-16
16-14
12-19
26-27
14-25
22-24
30-20
19-24
16-21
23-17
16-18
20-17
24-16
22-30
28-18
18-18
24-13
25-18
20-15
17-18
155.4Avg total
78.9Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.578.0162.5+6.575%
Season at home (2)80.568.5149.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)88.587.5176.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)78.976.5155.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)81.477.6159.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.479.9150.3-9.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.180.1159.2-1.150%
vs Weaker (4)87.083.8170.8+3.275%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
JurbarkasVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A10/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H17/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A20/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H25/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A28/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A10/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/10
NKL
80.0Avg total
42.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.483.3+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.884.1+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.541.982.5-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.680.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.677.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.242.080.2-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.342.186.4+2.360%-
vs Weaker (3)44.735.380.0+9.367%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A10/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H12/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H23/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A03/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H05/10
NKL
Silute
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A10/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H12/10
NKL
78.4Avg total
40.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.179.7-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.639.077.6-0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.281.9-4.520%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.378.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.940.976.8-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.640.481.0+0.143%-
vs Weaker (4)40.044.084.0-4.025%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.116.1
53.5%
52.5%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.7
34.4%
32.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.314.6
71.9%
70.5%14.6
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.3
51.1%
52.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.8
29.2%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.513.2
64.4%
70.5%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WWWLWWWLWW
Vilkaviskis
WWWLLWLLWW
#3
League position
#6
+5.5
Net rating
+0.9
109.3
Offensive rating
101.9
103.8
Defensive rating
100.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
48.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
20.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.4%
3-point %
29.2%
73.3%
Assist %
49.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 101.9Defence103.8 · 100.9Shooting52.6% · 48.5%3-point %34.4% · 29.2%Ball care20.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds35.0% · 33.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jurbarkas wins
1
Vilkaviskis wins
DateGameScore
24/02/24Vilkaviskis v Jurbarkas79-80
01/02/24Jurbarkas v Vilkaviskis90-78
23/12/23Jurbarkas v Vilkaviskis86-78
04/11/23Vilkaviskis v Jurbarkas89-86
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HSilute81-77
10/10/24AAlytaus Alytus97-74
05/10/24HKretinga87-86
03/10/24ATelsiai67-85
28/04/24AKretinga89-84
25/04/24HKretinga93-76
20/04/24AKretinga84-76
17/04/24HKretinga78-87
10/04/24ABC Olimpas Palanga87-78 OT
08/04/24HBC Olimpas Palanga71-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HOmega-Tauras86-64
10/10/24ASilute92-82
05/10/24HAlytaus Alytus75-73
03/10/24AKretinga85-93
23/03/24HSuduva-Mantinga69-76
21/03/24ASuduva-Mantinga84-78 OT
17/03/24HSuduva-Mantinga62-68
14/03/24ASuduva-Mantinga65-77
12/03/24HKauno Atletas92-85 OT
10/03/24AKauno Atletas79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.084.082.0
Allowed / game80.581.579.5
Point differential+2.5+2.5+2.5
Avg total163.5165.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game84.580.588.5
Allowed / game78.068.587.5
Point differential+6.5+12.0+1.0
Avg total162.5149.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Omega-Tauras54180%83.274.4+8.8
2 Neptunas 254180%77.068.6+8.4
3 Telsiai54180%83.075.6+7.4
4 Vilkaviskis43175%84.578.0+6.5
5 Vytis VDU43175%95.091.0+4.0
6 Jurbarkas43175%83.080.5+2.5
7 Ukmerges Stekas53260%82.079.8+2.2
8 Kretinga53260%86.684.6+2.0
9 BC Olimpas Palanga42250%74.566.0+8.5
10 Suduva-Mantinga42250%84.880.5+4.2
11 Silute52340%80.881.0-0.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 252340%74.875.4-0.6
13 Rytas 241325%72.885.0-12.2
14 Alytaus Alytus4040%72.583.2-10.8
15 Delikatesas Joniskis5050%68.282.4-14.2
16 Plunges Olimpas4040%68.088.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2323231988
Vilkaviskis2626171786
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