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Karsiyaka vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 107-101 (OT)
28-37 21-13 15-18 28-24 15-9
Position#15
Record2-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#9
Record7-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game78.9
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 14· Mustafa Kemal Ataturk Sport Hall
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Karsiyaka v Tofas
25 Dec 2026
KAR v TOF
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
KAR107
TOF101
19 Jan 2025
KAR81
TOF93
24 Dec 2023
KAR98
TOF71
21 Oct 2022
KAR72
TOF83
09 Apr 2022
KAR79
TOF78
03 Mar 2021
KAR78
TOF70
31 Jan 2021
KAR90
TOF71
06 Apr 2020
KAR v TOF
upcoming
06 Oct 2018
KAR55
TOF82
09 Dec 2017
KAR80
TOF84
13 May 2017
KAR82
TOF88
27 Nov 2012
KAR78
TOF56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 71
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
83-103
83
103
-20
83avg 71
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
69-85
69
85
-16
55avg 71
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
59-111
59
111
-52
50avg 71
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
69-80
69
80
-11
65avg 71
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
L
87-92
87
92
-5
84avg 71
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
66avg 71
H07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 71
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
71-74
71
74
-3
65avg 71
H20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
94-97
94
97
-3
101avg 71
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-25
16-22
15-24
22-30
21-26
22-25
17-28
23-24
18-27
23-19
11-22
17-17
16-35
22-25
12-25
9-26
20-21
16-24
14-15
19-20
17-22
23-19
17-22
30-29
15-18
19-26
21-21
18-21
27-20
24-24
19-20
17-19
21-21
19-19
16-23
15-11
23-20
18-26
20-24
33-27
169.1Avg total
77.9Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.088.7165.7-11.715%
Season at home (6)74.282.5156.7-8.317%
Season away (7)79.494.0173.4-14.614%
Last 10 (10)77.991.2169.1-13.310%
Last 5 (5)82.486.4168.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.390.9166.2-15.60%
vs Similar (14)79.987.0166.9-7.136%
vs Weaker (1)75.078.0153.0-3.00%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#12
W
84-70
84
70
+14
92avg 82
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 82
A11/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 82
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 82
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
89avg 82
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
L
81-82
81
82
-1
82avg 82
A09/12
Champions League
Manisa
#11
W
80-62
80
62
+18
78avg 82
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
101avg 82
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 82
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
92-82
92
82
+10
83avg 82
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
23-20
26-13
15-16
22-18
16-21
10-20
22-21
17-16
18-22
13-24
24-16
22-22
25-25
12-13
27-19
19-26
24-20
24-21
20-25
20-18
22-24
23-18
16-22
14-21
16-12
29-8
21-21
18-28
24-18
20-19
22-19
13-19
22-14
15-21
22-19
17-22
20-22
25-24
30-14
161.4Avg total
82.3Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.378.9161.2+3.454%
Season at home (7)85.473.4158.9+12.0100%
Season away (6)78.785.3164.0-6.70%
Last 10 (10)82.379.1161.4+3.250%
Last 5 (5)84.878.4163.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.881.3160.1-2.644%
vs Similar (16)83.686.2169.8-2.731%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)89.274.6163.8+14.6100%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
KarsiyakaTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.8Avg total
41.4Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.045.085.0-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.542.983.5-2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)39.547.186.5-7.613%-
Last 10 (10)41.446.487.8-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.084.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.446.485.8-6.921%-
vs Similar (14)40.144.284.4-4.136%-
vs Weaker (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/12
Champions League
Manisa
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.1Avg total
39.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.682.8+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.140.684.6+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)39.840.580.4-0.731%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.980.1-1.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.676.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.840.080.8+0.844%-
vs Similar (16)41.641.883.3-0.231%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)47.037.884.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.0
49.2%
54.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.7
39.0%
35.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.514.8
80.0%
76.0%14.8
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.5
52.4%
54.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.5
35.7%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.417.0
69.7%
76.0%17.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karsiyaka
LLWLLLLLLL
Tofas
WLWWLLWLLW
#15
League position
#9
-18.2
Net rating
+4.5
105.4
Offensive rating
108.8
123.6
Defensive rating
104.2
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.9%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
39.0%
3-point %
35.7%
69.3%
Assist %
74.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 108.8Defence123.6 · 104.2Shooting52.7% · 52.9%3-point %39.0% · 35.7%Ball care19.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds25.8% · 29.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Karsiyaka   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Karsiyaka wins
5
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
17/05/25Tofas v Karsiyaka90-76
19/01/25Karsiyaka v Tofas81-93
21/04/24Tofas v Karsiyaka111-91
24/12/23Karsiyaka v Tofas98-71
05/03/23Tofas v Karsiyaka81-86
21/10/22Karsiyaka v Tofas72-83
09/04/22Karsiyaka v Tofas79-78
12/12/21Tofas v Karsiyaka69-71
30/03/21Tofas v Karsiyaka90-79
03/03/21Karsiyaka v Tofas78-70
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AEsenler Erokspor94-97
20/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.71-74
15/12/25ABuyukcekmece87-83
07/12/25HBesiktas73-86
21/11/25AMersin SK87-92
15/11/25HManisa69-80
08/11/25ATurk Telekom59-111
02/11/25HTrabzonspor69-85
26/10/25AGalatasaray83-103
20/10/25HAnadolu Efes87-101
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.92-82
20/12/25ABesiktas72-73
16/12/25HTrapani99-93 OT
13/12/25HManisa80-62
09/12/25ABnei Herzliya81-82
05/12/25ATrabzonspor87-92
23/11/25HAnadolu Efes86-79
16/11/25AMerkezefendi72-78
11/11/25ATenerife70-80
08/11/25HBursaspor84-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL15%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%17%14%
Points / game77.074.279.4
Allowed / game88.782.594.0
Point differential-11.7-8.3-14.6
Avg total165.7156.7173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW54%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%100%0%
Points / game82.385.478.7
Allowed / game78.973.485.3
Point differential+3.4+12.0-6.7
Avg total161.2158.9164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas13130100%86.775.7+11.0
2 Fenerbahce1311285%89.381.6+7.7
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1310377%83.179.9+3.2
4 Turk Telekom139469%86.778.1+8.6
5 Trabzonspor138562%86.982.5+4.4
6 Anadolu Efes137654%86.980.6+6.3
7 Tofas137654%82.378.9+3.4
8 Esenler Erokspor137654%81.578.2+3.3
9 Galatasaray137654%87.286.1+1.2
10 Petkim Spor135838%81.886.4-4.6
11 Bursaspor135838%79.584.5-4.9
12 Mersin SK134931%84.787.0-2.3
13 Merkezefendi134931%78.285.2-7.0
14 Manisa1331023%76.985.6-8.7
15 Buyukcekmece1321115%79.589.3-9.8
16 Karsiyaka1321115%77.088.7-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Karsiyaka2821152815107
Tofas371318249101
← all games of the day
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