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Karsiyaka vs Tofas Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 25 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record4-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game82.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 13· Mustafa Kemal Ataturk Sport Hall
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Karsiyaka v Tofas
25 Dec 2026
KAR v TOF
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
KAR107
TOF101
19 Jan 2025
KAR81
TOF93
24 Dec 2023
KAR98
TOF71
21 Oct 2022
KAR72
TOF83
09 Apr 2022
KAR79
TOF78
03 Mar 2021
KAR78
TOF70
31 Jan 2021
KAR90
TOF71
06 Apr 2020
KAR v TOF
upcoming
06 Oct 2018
KAR55
TOF82
09 Dec 2017
KAR80
TOF84
13 May 2017
KAR82
TOF88
27 Nov 2012
KAR78
TOF56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 76
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
84-82
84
82
+2
71avg 76
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
71avg 76
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
W
78-71 OT
78
71
+7
64avg 76
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 76
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
W
95-79
95
79
+16
96avg 76
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
72-97
72
97
-25
60avg 76
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#16
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 76
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#12
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
26-24
11-14
21-26
16-14
15-34
31-18
22-16
15-17
29-20
15-16
13-20
18-13
17-21
15-14
15-17
13-20
21-22
24-28
24-22
24-22
24-19
23-21
24-17
16-25
20-24
14-25
22-23
21-19
21-20
24-18
20-26
17-22
23-16
12-21
32-24
27-26
14-18
17-22
17-17
163.6Avg total
80.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.582.6163.1-2.150%
Season at home (4)82.282.5164.8-0.275%
Season away (4)78.882.8161.5-4.025%
Last 10 (10)80.683.0163.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)82.485.0167.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.385.6163.9-7.424%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.285.7172.8+1.558%
vs Weaker (1)86.083.0169.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
38avg 79
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
89avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 79
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 79
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 79
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
W
96-86
96
86
+10
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#8
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
21-25
22-22
16-23
18-18
19-29
24-20
24-10
27-20
21-21
25-17
21-31
26-18
21-24
23-20
23-22
29-20
16-22
20-17
18-12
21-10
166.7Avg total
85.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.582.0162.5-1.550%
Season at home (4)79.077.8156.8+1.250%
Season away (4)82.086.2168.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)85.980.8166.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)87.080.2167.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.086.9166.9-6.914%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.886.1168.9-3.330%
vs Weaker (13)89.584.9174.4+4.577%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
KarsiyakaTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.6Avg total
39.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.683.5-3.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.542.781.2-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.585.7-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.981.6-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.283.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.142.981.0-4.918%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.344.887.2-2.533%-
vs Weaker (1)42.039.081.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.2Avg total
42.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.486.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.045.787.7-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.585.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.344.185.4-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.245.986.1-5.720%-
vs Weaker (13)44.943.388.2+1.654%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.6
52.0%
54.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.9
36.9%
35.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.916.5
72.1%
75.9%16.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
54.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.9
29.2%
35.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
75.9%15.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karsiyaka
LWWLWLWLWL
Tofas
WWWWLWLLWW
#9
League position
#7
+0.5
Net rating
-1.4
96.8
Offensive rating
92.8
96.3
Defensive rating
94.2
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.9%
3-point %
29.2%
63.3%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 92.8Defence96.3 · 94.2Shooting53.2% · 52.7%3-point %36.9% · 29.2%Ball care14.8% · 17.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Karsiyaka   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Karsiyaka wins
5
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Tofas v Karsiyaka87-78
02/01/26Karsiyaka v Tofas107-101 OT
17/05/25Tofas v Karsiyaka90-76
19/01/25Karsiyaka v Tofas81-93
21/04/24Tofas v Karsiyaka111-91
24/12/23Karsiyaka v Tofas98-71
05/03/23Tofas v Karsiyaka81-86
21/10/22Karsiyaka v Tofas72-83
09/04/22Karsiyaka v Tofas79-78
12/12/21Tofas v Karsiyaka69-71
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABordo Bandirma75-83
09/11/26HBesiktas84-83
01/11/26ABursaspor86-83
25/10/26HFenerbahce72-97
16/10/26HCayirova95-79
10/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.82-92
02/10/26HGalatasaray78-71 OT
26/09/26ATurk Telekom72-73
10/05/26HBursaspor84-82
03/05/26ATofas78-87
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTrabzonspor75-61
10/11/26ATrento96-86
08/11/26AAnadolu Efes93-87
03/11/26HNeptunas94-79
01/11/26AFenerbahce77-88
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game80.582.278.8
Allowed / game82.682.582.8
Point differential-2.1-0.2-4.0
Avg total163.1164.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.579.082.0
Allowed / game82.077.886.2
Point differential-1.5+1.2-4.2
Avg total162.5156.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%92.882.9+9.9
2 Turk Telekom86275%83.675.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce75271%86.979.6+7.3
4 Anadolu Efes75271%86.079.4+6.6
5 Petkim Spor85362%84.283.6+0.6
6 Galatasaray84450%87.679.8+7.9
7 Tofas84450%80.582.0-1.5
8 Trabzonspor84450%80.282.2-2.0
9 Karsiyaka84450%80.582.6-2.1
10 Esenler Erokspor84450%79.685.8-6.1
11 Besiktas73443%84.186.3-2.1
12 Bordo Bandirma83538%82.485.5-3.1
13 Korfez Basket83538%82.085.2-3.2
14 Cayirova82625%83.989.6-5.8
15 Denizli Basket82625%83.188.9-5.8
16 Bursaspor71614%74.983.6-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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