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Kaspiy Aktau 2 vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 86-87
22-23 20-26 27-19 17-19
Position#15
Record1-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game54.5
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#2
Record23-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game68.3
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kaspiy Aktau 2 v Shymkent
15 Apr 2026
KASP86
SHYM87
13 Apr 2026
KASP73
SHYM105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H17/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A18/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
29-83
29
83
-54
H10/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
26-93
26
93
-67
A11/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
44-77
44
77
-33
H12/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
38-75
38
75
-37
A13/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A03/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H04/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
73-105
73
105
-32
H13/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
52-88
52
88
-36
A14/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
21-35
17-14
13-22
15-12
21-9
11-23
11-16
9-30
10-19
6-22
4-12
11-20
6-20
7-38
2-15
9-22
10-19
13-21
12-15
4-24
8-13
15-16
11-22
14-20
7-19
24-17
14-15
14-19
14-21
20-16
20-15
18-24
18-30
12-26
25-25
20-21
10-26
12-27
10-14
131.9Avg total
51.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)54.583.6138.2-29.14%
Season at home (14)55.785.7141.4-30.00%
Season away (12)53.281.2134.3-28.08%
Last 10 (10)51.080.9131.9-29.90%
Last 5 (5)58.082.0140.0-24.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)55.185.2140.2-30.14%
vs Similar (2)60.576.5137.0-16.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A12/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H14/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
93-55
93
55
+38
H09/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
102-74
102
74
+28
A10/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
96-46
96
46
+50
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
A12/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
105-73
105
73
+32
A13/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H14/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
23-14
22-23
19-19
28-14
21-17
20-12
6-17
19-9
10-10
17-28
20-11
20-15
20-18
20-22
10-22
22-9
29-20
24-7
18-19
30-17
35-22
20-16
17-19
29-14
21-16
24-11
22-5
26-13
33-14
24-21
20-19
24-18
30-18
26-12
25-25
21-16
28-6
23-26
17-20
154.7Avg total
89.3Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)95.468.3163.7+27.188%
Season at home (14)93.767.1160.9+26.679%
Season away (12)97.369.6166.9+27.8100%
Last 10 (10)89.365.4154.7+23.990%
Last 5 (5)99.065.6164.6+33.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.090.0143.0-37.00%
vs Similar (5)82.077.2159.2+4.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)94.463.2157.6+31.196%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: +10.4+10.4Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: +9.5+9.5Q3Q3: -8.3-8.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
Kaspiy Aktau 2Shymkent
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kaspiy Aktau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H17/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A18/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
19-49
19
49
-30
H10/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
17-40
17
40
-23
A11/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H12/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
12-37
12
37
-25
A13/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A03/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H04/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H13/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A14/04
Higher League
66.9Avg total
25.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.744.572.2-16.77%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.246.174.2-17.90%-
Last 30 away (14)27.242.669.9-15.414%-
Last 10 (10)25.141.866.9-16.710%-
Last 5 (5)25.443.468.8-18.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)27.345.272.5-17.94%-
vs Similar (2)33.534.067.5-0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A12/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H09/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A10/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
59-27
59
27
+32
A12/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A13/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H14/04
Higher League
79.9Avg total
49.9Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)50.733.484.1+17.386%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.633.182.7+16.481%-
Last 30 away (13)52.133.885.8+18.392%-
Last 10 (10)49.930.079.9+19.9100%-
Last 5 (5)55.430.886.2+24.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.038.062.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (5)45.640.285.8+5.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)53.031.784.7+21.2100%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kaspiy Aktau 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kaspiy Aktau 2: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
49.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.56.0
21.8%
28.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws14.58.0
55.2%
63.9%8.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shymkenttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shymkent: 97.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.626.4
62.0%
49.5%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.4
37.1%
28.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws25.013.2
52.8%
63.9%13.2
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kaspiy Aktau 2
LLLLLLLLLL
Shymkent
WWWWWWLWWW
#15
League position
#2
-27.7
Net rating
+46.8
84.2
Offensive rating
128.4
112.0
Defensive rating
81.6
44.4%
Effective FG%
59.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.35
21.8%
3-point %
37.1%
62.2%
Assist %
70.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence84.2 · 128.4Defence112.0 · 81.6Shooting44.4% · 59.5%3-point %21.8% · 37.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)0% · 90%
■ Kaspiy Aktau 2   ■ Shymkent
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kaspiy Aktau 2 wins
1
Shymkent wins
DateGameScore
13/04/26Kaspiy Aktau 2 v Shymkent73-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/26ATuran52-88
13/04/26HShymkent73-105
04/04/26HAktobe68-71
03/04/26AAktobe59-71
13/02/26ABars Petropavlovsk38-75
12/02/26HTigers-KazATU44-77
11/02/26ABars Petropavlovsk26-93
10/02/26HTigers-KazATU29-83
18/12/25APavlodar58-60
17/12/25HKaraganda63-86
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/26HAtyrau 289-68
13/04/26AKaspiy Aktau 2105-73
12/03/26AArlans103-67
11/03/26HAiRom96-46
10/03/26AArlans102-74
09/03/26HAiRom93-55
14/02/26HAktobe70-77
12/02/26AAktobe66-58
18/12/25ATigers-KazATU75-60
17/12/25HBars Petropavlovsk94-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy Aktau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL4%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %4%0%8%
Points / game54.555.753.2
Allowed / game83.685.781.2
Point differential-29.1-30.0-28.0
Avg total138.2141.4134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %88%79%100%
Points / game95.493.797.3
Allowed / game68.367.169.6
Point differential+27.1+26.6+27.8
Avg total163.7160.9166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+81%79%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan26260100%88.960.0+28.9
2 Shymkent2623388%95.468.3+27.1
3 Aktobe2823582%83.067.5+15.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2520580%85.760.4+25.4
5 BC Almaty 22517868%83.273.0+10.2
6 Atyrau 22617965%77.870.2+7.7
7 ChelSU Kostanay25141156%75.978.5-2.6
8 CHAMP1ON25131252%74.573.7+0.8
9 Karaganda25111444%79.979.2+0.8
10 Tigers-KazATU25101540%67.675.6-8.0
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22542116%68.283.1-14.9
14 Pavlodar252238%55.688.5-32.9
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2261254%54.583.6-29.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kaspiy Aktau 22220271786
Shymkent2326191987
← all games of the day
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