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Kataja vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-60
25-13 22-19 22-17 16-11
Position#5
Record18-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game85.5
Kataja 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#3
Record21-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game82.8
FinlandKorisliigaKorisliiga - Quarter-finals· Motonet Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kataja v Karhu Basket
05 Dec 2026
KAT v KAH
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
KAT101
KAH80
02 Apr 2026
KAT92
KAH71
27 Mar 2026
KAT85
KAH60
21 Jan 2026
KAT76
KAH62
15 Apr 2025
KAT87
KAH99
09 Apr 2025
KAT82
KAH96
08 Mar 2025
KAT82
KAH75
08 Jan 2025
KAT92
KAH90
02 Mar 2024
KAT84
KAH92
03 Jan 2024
KAT78
KAH73
01 Mar 2023
KAT75
KAH79
19 Nov 2022
KAT71
KAH81
19 Jan 2022
KAT78
KAH106
31 Oct 2020
KAT82
KAH77
26 Feb 2020
KAT89
KAH95
09 Nov 2019
KAT80
KAH106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 80
H04/02
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 80
A08/02
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
90-94
90
94
-4
79avg 80
A11/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
86-74
86
74
+12
76avg 80
H14/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
104avg 80
H22/02
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
64avg 80
A04/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
112-88
112
88
+24
114avg 80
H10/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 80
A14/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
75-71
75
71
+4
65avg 80
H18/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
98-68
98
68
+30
89avg 80
A24/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
19-20
12-16
28-33
21-18
13-23
23-20
22-24
15-15
23-21
16-31
36-27
26-14
7-16
30-27
23-17
23-13
24-21
29-23
27-16
17-16
15-19
19-21
20-26
34-23
31-25
17-20
30-20
21-13
28-24
21-27
22-25
21-26
17-14
20-22
17-9
24-14
24-22
24-17
26-15
170.1Avg total
88.8Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.585.5173.9+3.055%
Season at home (16)87.582.1169.6+5.456%
Season away (17)89.488.6178.0+0.753%
Last 10 (10)88.881.3170.1+7.560%
Last 5 (5)89.679.6169.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.586.0175.5+3.5100%
vs Similar (8)86.985.2172.1+1.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.084.9173.9+4.150%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
61avg 73
H04/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
91-105
91
105
-14
80avg 73
A07/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
74avg 73
H14/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 73
A17/02
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
61-86
61
86
-25
46avg 73
H21/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
57avg 73
A07/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
79-89
79
89
-10
66avg 73
H10/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
97-80
97
80
+17
96avg 73
A13/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
W
92-80
92
80
+12
81avg 73
H18/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
68-98
68
98
-30
59avg 73
H24/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-24
18-27
24-22
23-25
23-34
18-26
25-28
25-17
18-16
15-20
25-20
24-23
24-28
11-27
23-21
27-17
20-13
30-49
11-24
0-0
26-25
9-24
20-22
16-23
25-24
19-28
16-18
19-19
32-20
26-24
23-11
16-25
26-23
21-16
18-20
27-21
14-24
22-24
17-24
15-26
170.1Avg total
79.9Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.982.8165.7+0.064%
Season at home (17)83.580.4163.9+3.176%
Season away (16)82.285.4167.7-3.250%
Last 10 (10)79.990.2170.1-10.330%
Last 5 (5)81.488.2169.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.389.5168.9-10.240%
vs Similar (11)87.080.5167.5+6.582%
vs Weaker (4)83.572.2155.8+11.2100%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
KatajaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H04/02
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A08/02
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H14/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H22/02
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A04/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H10/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A14/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H18/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A24/03
Korisliiga
80.3Avg total
42.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.685.5+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.438.782.1+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)44.444.689.0-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.780.3+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.285.6+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.040.584.5+3.550%-
vs Similar (8)44.139.183.2+5.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.842.886.5+1.055%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H04/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A07/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A17/02
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H21/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A07/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A13/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H24/03
Korisliiga
90.1Avg total
40.5Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.886.2-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.943.884.7-2.927%-
Last 30 away (15)43.843.887.6+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)40.549.690.1-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)44.046.490.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.847.187.9-6.313%-
vs Similar (11)43.941.585.5+2.455%-
vs Weaker (4)44.037.581.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.8
57.5%
2.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.3
32.2%
33.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.114.3
79.0%
74.0%14.3
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.5
49.4%
2.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.510.5
31.3%
33.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.013.4
70.5%
74.0%13.4
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WWWWLWWLLL
Karhu Basket
LWWLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#3
+8.8
Net rating
-11.6
101.1
Offensive rating
89.9
92.3
Defensive rating
101.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
48.3%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
12.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.2%
3-point %
31.3%
54.5%
Assist %
60.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 89.9Defence92.3 · 101.5Shooting53.3% · 48.3%3-point %32.2% · 31.3%Ball care12.8% · 13.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Kataja   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kataja wins
6
Karhu Basket wins
DateGameScore
24/03/26Karhu Basket v Kataja68-98
21/01/26Kataja v Karhu Basket76-62
15/11/25Karhu Basket v Kataja106-99
15/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket87-99
12/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja87-79
09/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-96
05/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja93-79
08/03/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-75
01/02/25Karhu Basket v Kataja85-69
08/01/25Kataja v Karhu Basket92-90
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26AKarhu Basket98-68
18/03/26HPyrinto Tampere75-71
14/03/26ABisons Loimaa92-89
10/03/26HKouvot Kouvola112-88
04/03/26APyrinto Tampere71-82
22/02/26HKobrat103-73
14/02/26HBisons Loimaa86-74
11/02/26ALahti Basketball90-94
08/02/26AKouvot Kouvola79-85
04/02/26HLahti Basketball82-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26HKataja68-98
18/03/26HHonka92-80
13/03/26AHelsinki Seagulls97-80
10/03/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki79-89
07/03/26ASalon Vilpas71-94
21/02/26HKTP Kotka Basket61-86
17/02/26AHonka85-93
14/02/26HHelsinki Seagulls82-79
07/02/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki91-105
04/02/26HSalon Vilpas73-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW55%
HomeLWWWW56%
AwayLLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %55%56%53%
Points / game88.587.589.4
Allowed / game85.582.188.6
Point differential+3.0+5.4+0.7
Avg total173.9169.6178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)40% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL64%
HomeWLLWL76%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %64%76%50%
Points / game82.983.582.2
Allowed / game82.880.485.4
Point differential+0.0+3.1-3.2
Avg total165.7163.9167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas34241071%92.682.2+10.4
2 Karhu Basket33211264%82.982.8+0.0
3 KTP Kotka Basket33201361%84.880.8+4.0
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki33201361%90.086.9+3.1
5 Honka33191458%89.790.2-0.5
6 Kataja33181555%88.585.5+3.0
7 Pyrinto Tampere34161847%82.884.6-1.8
8 Bisons Loimaa32141844%87.785.7+2.0
9 Helsinki Seagulls33141942%84.183.9+0.2
10 Lahti Basketball32131941%89.591.4-1.9
11 Kouvot Kouvola32122038%87.493.2-5.8
12 Kobrat3262619%81.995.5-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja2522221685
Karhu Basket1319171160
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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