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Kataja vs Karhu Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record5-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game83.5
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kataja v Karhu Basket
05 Dec 2026
KAT v KAH
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
KAT101
KAH80
02 Apr 2026
KAT92
KAH71
27 Mar 2026
KAT85
KAH60
21 Jan 2026
KAT76
KAH62
15 Apr 2025
KAT87
KAH99
09 Apr 2025
KAT82
KAH96
08 Mar 2025
KAT82
KAH75
08 Jan 2025
KAT92
KAH90
02 Mar 2024
KAT84
KAH92
03 Jan 2024
KAT78
KAH73
01 Mar 2023
KAT75
KAH79
19 Nov 2022
KAT71
KAH81
19 Jan 2022
KAT78
KAH106
31 Oct 2020
KAT82
KAH77
26 Feb 2020
KAT89
KAH95
09 Nov 2019
KAT80
KAH106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 77
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 77
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 77
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 77
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 77
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 77
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 77
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
92-55
92
55
+37
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
15-23
23-27
24-19
14-26
12-20
15-22
23-21
12-17
30-20
19-23
16-19
14-22
28-16
23-24
30-20
20-20
25-15
21-23
16-22
25-18
21-21
21-22
21-19
17-14
26-19
21-11
18-12
27-13
166.5Avg total
84.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.982.5169.4+4.450%
Season at home (6)93.381.3174.7+12.067%
Season away (4)77.284.2161.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)84.781.8166.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)87.874.6162.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.579.8153.2-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.876.7160.5+7.160%
vs Weaker (12)85.381.0166.3+4.358%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 71
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
90avg 71
A10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
91-76
91
76
+15
91avg 71
H17/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
95avg 71
A21/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 71
H23/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
80-101
80
101
-21
67avg 71
A31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
W
119-78
119
78
+41
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A10/11
Suomen Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
20-19
12-14
16-22
13-15
29-26
26-16
12-23
18-24
28-17
17-19
28-16
18-22
19-19
24-26
34-28
29-11
19-13
10-26
15-18
16-28
24-23
20-30
20-20
22-19
27-23
13-19
17-26
44-18
25-15
29-32
21-13
17-17
23-18
23-16
13-17
24-20
18-16
20-16
15-20
169.3Avg total
86.4Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.783.5169.3+2.245%
Season at home (6)85.075.2160.2+9.867%
Season away (5)86.693.6180.2-7.020%
Last 10 (10)86.482.9169.3+3.550%
Last 5 (5)86.281.2167.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.590.5165.0-16.18%
vs Similar ◀ (11)88.581.7170.2+6.773%
vs Weaker (6)82.582.3164.8+0.250%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
KatajaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/11
Korisliiga
85.7Avg total
43.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.484.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.940.887.6+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.181.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.785.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.885.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.641.580.1-2.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.338.584.8+7.890%-
vs Weaker (12)43.743.787.3+0.042%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H17/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H23/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A04/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
W
69-33
69
33
+36
H07/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A10/11
Suomen Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/11
Korisliiga
83.8Avg total
45.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.285.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.642.184.7+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)40.746.386.9-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)45.738.183.8+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.487.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.750.088.7-11.38%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.140.484.5+3.764%-
vs Weaker (6)43.538.782.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
75.8%14.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.3
51.4%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.4
32.7%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
75.8%13.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WWWWLLLLLW
Karhu Basket
WWWLLWLWLL
#7
League position
#8
-2.1
Net rating
-5.2
95.2
Offensive rating
91.4
97.3
Defensive rating
96.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.4%
3-point %
32.7%
55.0%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 91.4Defence97.3 · 96.6Shooting50.5% · 50.3%3-point %34.4% · 32.7%Ball care12.9% · 15.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Kataja   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kataja wins
4
Karhu Basket wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Kataja v Karhu Basket101-80
02/04/26Kataja v Karhu Basket92-71
30/03/26Karhu Basket v Kataja78-94
27/03/26Kataja v Karhu Basket85-60
24/03/26Karhu Basket v Kataja68-98
21/01/26Kataja v Karhu Basket76-62
15/11/25Karhu Basket v Kataja106-99
15/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket87-99
12/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja87-79
09/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-96
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKTP Kotka Basket92-55
11/11/26HKouvot Kouvola80-76
07/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki87-78
31/10/26HKarhu Basket101-80
24/10/26HPyrinto Tampere79-84
21/10/26APyrinto Tampere62-80
16/10/26AKouvot Kouvola76-95
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPyrinto Tampere77-72
10/11/26AHelsinki Seagulls76-68
07/11/26HHonka119-78
04/11/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki79-87
31/10/26AKataja80-101
23/10/26HLahti Basketball73-68
21/10/26ALahti Basketball102-108 OT
17/10/26HHelsinki Seagulls91-76
10/10/26AKipina95-98 OT
06/10/26HBisons Loimaa72-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game86.993.377.2
Allowed / game82.581.384.2
Point differential+4.4+12.0-7.0
Avg total169.4174.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game85.785.086.6
Allowed / game83.575.293.6
Point differential+2.2+9.8-7.0
Avg total169.3160.2180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %18%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket118373%92.285.8+6.4
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%85.985.8+0.1
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja105550%86.982.5+4.4
8 Karhu Basket115645%85.783.5+2.2
9 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki114736%87.691.2-3.5
10 Lahti Basketball114736%82.488.7-6.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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