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Khimki M. vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-77
17-27 21-17 11-14 19-19
Position#18
Record3-25
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game90.9
vs
Position#8
Record15-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2020
Meetings · Khimki M. v Valencia
19 Mar 2021
KHM68
VAL77
13 Oct 2017
KHM75
VAL70
03 Mar 2017
KHM98
VAL74
25 Mar 2015
KHM76
VAL61
12 Mar 2014
KHM97
VAL82
15 Apr 2012
KHM77
VAL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H08/02
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A12/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
67-89
67
89
-22
H18/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A25/02
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H28/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
81-100
81
100
-19
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A08/03
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A11/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A15/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
18-22
23-17
30-25
22-11
25-16
15-31
20-19
14-24
23-23
20-24
10-18
26-29
17-27
13-14
18-14
21-26
31-20
15-24
27-29
17-18
28-20
17-24
16-15
25-20
22-21
20-27
14-32
22-19
19-20
14-18
26-21
15-8
23-26
22-28
21-30
15-29
15-22
15-16
28-25
168.1Avg total
80.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.690.9169.4-12.311%
Season at home (14)80.892.2173.0-11.414%
Season away (14)76.489.5165.9-13.17%
Last 10 (10)80.188.0168.1-7.930%
Last 5 (5)78.887.8166.6-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)80.392.6173.0-12.312%
vs Similar (1)94.099.0193.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (3)85.776.3162.0+9.3100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#16
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H06/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A11/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H19/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
91-62
91
62
+29
A25/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A28/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
A02/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A04/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
112-82
112
82
+30
H07/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H12/03
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A14/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
26-15
30-22
21-22
17-29
17-20
21-14
19-22
29-21
26-14
16-17
18-26
22-19
22-22
18-9
29-12
17-12
17-27
17-22
21-23
23-18
17-28
18-22
25-31
18-14
17-19
21-29
16-22
25-21
29-32
29-15
29-14
18-10
19-18
8-11
21-13
8-20
22-16
14-18
16-24
159.3Avg total
80.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.781.5163.1+0.252%
Season at home (14)82.278.7160.9+3.571%
Season away (15)81.184.1165.2-2.933%
Last 10 (10)80.878.5159.3+2.350%
Last 5 (5)78.679.0157.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.797.0183.7-10.333%
vs Similar (10)80.874.5155.3+6.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.380.8168.1+6.669%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
Khimki M.Valencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A12/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H18/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A25/02
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H28/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/03
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A11/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A15/03
VTB United League
84.6Avg total
41.7Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.446.089.4-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.648.695.2-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.884.4-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.984.6-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.680.8-0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)42.347.289.6-4.931%-
vs Similar (1)52.046.098.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)49.735.785.3+14.0100%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A11/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#7
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H19/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A28/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A02/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H07/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H12/03
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A14/03
ACB
79.8Avg total
40.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.881.4+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.639.285.8+7.383%-
Last 30 away (18)38.240.278.4-2.039%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.779.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.278.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.042.382.3-2.333%-
vs Similar (10)41.938.280.1+3.780%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.139.881.9+2.350%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.5
53.1%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.6
34.7%
38.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.812.7
80.4%
79.3%12.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.6
54.4%
52.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.3
40.1%
38.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.413.0
79.3%
79.3%13.0
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
LLWLWLLLWL
Valencia
LWWLLLWWLW
#18
League position
#8
-10.4
Net rating
+4.7
107.7
Offensive rating
113.0
118.1
Defensive rating
108.2
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.8%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.1%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.7%
3-point %
40.1%
63.9%
Assist %
65.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 113.0Defence118.1 · 108.2Shooting52.7% · 56.8%3-point %34.7% · 40.1%Ball care16.8% · 19.1%Off. rebounds26.2% · 29.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Khimki M. wins
5
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
23/12/20Valencia v Khimki M.88-82
26/01/18Valencia v Khimki M.85-83
13/10/17Khimki M. v Valencia75-70
08/03/17Valencia v Khimki M.92-76
03/03/17Khimki M. v Valencia98-74
28/02/17Valencia v Khimki M.88-82
25/03/15Khimki M. v Valencia76-61
17/03/15Valencia v Khimki M.75-76
12/03/14Khimki M. v Valencia97-82
05/03/14Valencia v Khimki M.75-59
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/21ACSKA Moscow73-92
11/03/21ACrvena zvezda81-92
08/03/21AZenit Petersburg81-78
05/03/21HAlba Berlin81-100
02/03/21HReal Madrid78-77
28/02/21HZielona Gora94-99
25/02/21AOlimpia Milano74-84
18/02/21HBaskonia67-89
12/02/21AAstana82-77
08/02/21HLokomotiv Kuban90-92
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21AGipuzkoa60-78
12/03/21HFenerbahce66-52
07/03/21HManresa112-82
04/03/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv72-84
02/03/21AAnadolu Efes83-99
28/02/21AMoraBanc Andorra72-84
25/02/21AZenit Petersburg91-62
19/02/21HReal Madrid89-78
11/02/21AReal Madrid74-85
06/02/21HReal Betis89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL11%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %11%14%7%
Points / game78.680.876.4
Allowed / game90.992.289.5
Point differential-12.3-11.4-13.1
Avg total169.4173.0165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%71%33%
Points / game81.782.281.1
Allowed / game81.578.784.1
Point differential+0.2+3.5-2.9
Avg total163.1160.9165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2921872%80.873.3+7.5
2 Anadolu Efes29191066%82.775.4+7.3
3 Olimpia Milano29191066%81.777.9+3.8
4 CSKA Moscow29191066%83.380.6+2.7
5 Bayern29181162%78.777.4+1.3
6 Fenerbahce30181260%79.279.1+0.1
7 Real Madrid30171357%80.077.5+2.5
8 Zenit Petersburg29161355%76.675.4+1.2
9 Baskonia30161453%79.576.3+3.2
10 Valencia29151452%81.781.5+0.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas30151550%76.377.4-1.1
12 Olympiacos30141647%78.980.3-1.4
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne29121741%77.780.6-2.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv28111739%78.079.3-1.3
15 Panathinaikos27101737%79.681.4-1.8
16 Alba Berlin30111937%78.582.9-4.5
17 Crvena zvezda2982128%74.379.4-5.0
18 Khimki M.2832511%78.690.9-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.1721111968
Valencia2717141977
← all games of the day
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