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Kilsyth vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 68-80
16-22 19-20 19-17 14-21
Position#16
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game91.9
vs
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game85.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Kilsyth v Ballarat
12 May 2024
KILS68
BALL80
24 Jun 2023
KILS96
BALL97
14 May 2022
KILS68
BALL74
11 May 2019
KILS71
BALL87
08 Apr 2017
KILS63
BALL69
23 Jul 2016
KILS95
BALL79
15 Aug 2015
KILS69
BALL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H15/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A03/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
83-109
83
109
-26
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
108-81
108
81
+27
H11/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
73-112
73
112
-39
H13/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
59-99
59
99
-40
A20/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
H27/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A04/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H05/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A11/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
26-23
16-17
26-19
18-25
15-30
14-25
18-14
20-27
27-26
14-24
22-32
28-28
22-19
27-16
31-18
19-32
22-24
19-24
13-32
11-24
17-29
20-20
11-26
14-24
29-17
14-27
17-26
27-27
16-24
16-22
31-27
28-14
17-17
20-23
18-15
26-20
24-12
18-12
19-25
172.2Avg total
80.8Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.291.9172.1-11.733%
Season at home (5)84.293.0177.2-8.840%
Season away (4)75.290.5165.8-15.225%
Last 10 (10)80.891.4172.2-10.630%
Last 5 (5)78.686.2164.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)85.591.9177.4-6.340%
vs Similar (9)84.087.9171.9-3.933%
vs Weaker (6)84.086.2170.2-2.233%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A15/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H03/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H07/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
105-94
105
94
+11
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
112-81
112
81
+31
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
113-83
113
83
+30
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H11/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
29-29
19-18
26-16
23-27
19-27
25-24
26-21
20-20
22-18
22-22
33-26
18-18
25-18
19-23
17-22
30-28
23-26
26-20
26-20
32-14
28-23
24-31
28-13
26-29
27-31
23-17
19-21
19-14
21-23
23-25
25-17
33-21
22-15
28-20
30-27
20-24
32-19
17-23
26-16
185.2Avg total
98.2Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)98.085.5183.5+12.575%
Season at home (4)95.882.5178.2+13.275%
Season away (4)100.288.5188.8+11.875%
Last 10 (10)98.287.0185.2+11.270%
Last 5 (5)100.684.6185.2+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.694.6183.2-6.038%
vs Similar (10)95.193.1188.2+2.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)98.888.9187.8+9.967%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +5.7+5.7
KilsythBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H15/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A03/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H11/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H13/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A20/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H27/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H05/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A11/05
NBL1 South
89.4Avg total
42.4Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.845.591.3+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.942.888.7+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)45.748.193.9-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.447.089.4-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.683.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)44.946.791.5-1.840%-
vs Similar (9)45.246.191.3-0.944%-
vs Weaker (6)49.041.590.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#7
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A15/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H11/05
NBL1 South
94.8Avg total
50.0Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.446.795.1+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.245.495.6+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)46.748.094.7-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)50.044.894.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)52.042.694.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)49.648.698.2+1.038%-
vs Similar (10)46.644.691.2+2.070%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)49.247.296.3+2.050%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kilsyth wins
7
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
24/06/23Kilsyth v Ballarat96-97
14/05/22Kilsyth v Ballarat68-74
26/06/21Ballarat v Kilsyth50-61
27/07/19Ballarat v Kilsyth80-66
11/05/19Kilsyth v Ballarat71-87
21/05/17Ballarat v Kilsyth81-76
08/04/17Kilsyth v Ballarat63-69
23/07/16Kilsyth v Ballarat95-79
15/08/15Kilsyth v Ballarat69-76 OT
26/04/15Ballarat v Kilsyth78-100
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24ACasey Cavaliers87-69
05/05/24HGeelong83-69
04/05/24ADandenong90-100
27/04/24HNunawading74-94
20/04/24AEltham59-99
13/04/24HSandringham Sabres73-112
11/04/24HKeilor Thunder108-81
06/04/24HKnox83-109
03/04/24ARingwood65-94
15/07/23HKnox86-87
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24HEltham95-82
04/05/24AKeilor Thunder113-83
27/04/24AHobart Chargers88-79
26/04/24ANW Tasmania95-98
20/04/24HRingwood112-81
14/04/24AMt Gambier105-94
07/04/24HGeelong79-81
03/04/24HBendigo Braves97-86
15/07/23ABendigo Braves93-99
09/07/23HDiamond Valley105-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game80.284.275.2
Allowed / game91.993.090.5
Point differential-11.7-8.8-15.2
Avg total172.1177.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game98.095.8100.2
Allowed / game85.582.588.5
Point differential+12.5+13.2+11.8
Avg total183.5178.2188.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier97278%89.383.1+6.2
2 Ballarat86275%98.085.5+12.5
3 Hobart Chargers96367%81.378.6+2.8
4 Knox85362%97.183.2+13.9
5 Waverley106460%91.385.1+6.2
6 Keilor Thunder106460%95.3100.3-5.0
7 Sandringham Sabres95456%91.981.7+10.2
8 Frankston95456%90.883.9+6.9
9 Nunawading95456%84.783.9+0.8
10 Dandenong116555%85.982.9+3.0
11 Ringwood116555%87.588.6-1.1
12 Eltham84450%90.082.0+8.0
13 Melbourne Tigers104640%77.583.7-6.2
14 Bendigo Braves104640%80.189.0-8.9
15 NW Tasmania93633%82.890.9-8.1
16 Kilsyth93633%80.291.9-11.7
17 Geelong82625%78.084.1-6.1
18 Diamond Valley82625%84.298.0-13.8
19 Casey Cavaliers92722%80.387.2-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kilsyth1619191468
Ballarat2220172180
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