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KK Zagreb vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 88-85
19-18 33-22 17-21 19-24
Position#8
Record11-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#14
Record4-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game88.1
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 23· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2024-25
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Hermes
30 Mar 2025
KK Z88
HERM85
24 Mar 2024
KK Z82
HERM69
03 Dec 2022
KK Z84
HERM65
24 Oct 2021
KK Z75
HERM102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
L
63-76
63
76
-13
55avg 73
A18/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
71-72 OT
71
72
-1
65avg 73
A26/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
86-67
86
67
+19
83avg 73
H01/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
64-95
64
95
-31
52avg 73
A08/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
79-81
79
81
-2
79avg 73
H15/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
77avg 73
A22/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
102avg 73
H01/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
75avg 73
A09/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
97-75
97
75
+22
95avg 73
H15/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
82-79
82
79
+3
77avg 73
A23/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
14-18
20-20
13-18
19-15
11-18
19-15
12-13
23-22
18-13
19-19
26-13
20-23
13-22
17-32
14-18
29-17
10-21
27-21
13-22
20-25
16-17
22-20
23-16
22-29
20-22
27-24
26-20
12-19
21-25
15-24
29-14
22-24
29-12
22-20
24-19
21-19
29-19
24-24
8-17
161.7Avg total
80.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.277.5155.7+0.750%
Season at home (11)84.676.8161.5+7.864%
Season away (11)71.878.2150.0-6.436%
Last 10 (10)80.481.3161.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)88.284.4172.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.185.9166.0-5.729%
vs Similar (11)76.772.7149.5+4.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.271.4148.6+5.875%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
80-94
80
94
-14
74avg 72
A19/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
65avg 72
A25/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 72
H01/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
61avg 72
A08/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
68-63
68
63
+5
58avg 72
H16/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 72
A22/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
78-97
78
97
-19
75avg 72
H02/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
66-80
66
80
-14
68avg 72
A09/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
91avg 72
H16/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
69avg 72
H23/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
21-13
19-29
20-20
19-22
15-20
18-19
13-18
24-23
17-26
23-23
30-28
17-15
18-16
19-21
17-22
15-26
18-20
15-5
20-12
25-20
16-26
19-21
25-21
17-25
12-28
26-25
23-19
14-12
27-17
15-30
10-21
26-19
19-11
21-15
25-16
12-19
25-15
17-20
17-25
158.4Avg total
76.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.088.1165.1-11.018%
Season at home (11)78.681.7160.4-3.136%
Season away (11)75.594.5169.9-19.00%
Last 10 (10)76.981.5158.4-4.620%
Last 5 (5)78.281.0159.2-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.290.6165.7-15.411%
vs Similar (6)83.881.0164.8+2.850%
vs Weaker (5)93.285.8179.0+7.460%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
KK ZagrebHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A18/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A26/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A08/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A22/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A09/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H15/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A23/03
Prva Liga
78.5Avg total
38.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.574.5-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.337.175.4+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)35.738.073.7-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.078.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.284.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.942.080.9-3.143%-
vs Similar (11)35.034.869.8+0.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.837.475.2+0.358%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A19/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H01/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A08/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H16/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A22/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H02/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A09/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H16/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/03
Prva Liga
78.2Avg total
37.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.583.1-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.842.181.8-2.346%-
Last 30 away (17)39.444.684.1-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.578.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.477.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.946.883.7-9.916%-
vs Similar (6)41.736.878.5+4.867%-
vs Weaker (5)47.239.086.2+8.280%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.5
51.2%
52.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.3
36.3%
33.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.710.0
63.7%
70.4%10.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.614.9
48.7%
52.0%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.4
35.1%
33.7%37.2
🏀 Free throws11.78.9
76.1%
70.4%8.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Zagreb
WWLLWLLWLL
Hermes
LWLLLWLLLL
#8
League position
#14
-1.5
Net rating
-6.5
108.1
Offensive rating
102.0
109.6
Defensive rating
108.5
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
21.0%
Turnover %
19.2%
39.4%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.18
36.3%
3-point %
35.1%
60.7%
Assist %
71.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 102.0Defence109.6 · 108.5Shooting52.6% · 50.8%3-point %36.3% · 35.1%Ball care21.0% · 19.2%Off. rebounds39.4% · 29.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ KK Zagreb   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
KK Zagreb wins
4
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Hermes v KK Zagreb75-79
24/03/24KK Zagreb v Hermes82-69
18/12/23Hermes v KK Zagreb101-81
04/03/23Hermes v KK Zagreb96-91
03/12/22KK Zagreb v Hermes84-65
10/03/22Hermes v KK Zagreb107-82
24/10/21KK Zagreb v Hermes75-102
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25ADakovo82-79
15/03/25HMarsonia97-75
09/03/25AJazine77-82
01/03/25HSkrljevo104-108 OT
22/02/25AGorica81-78
15/02/25HBosco79-81
08/02/25ASamobor64-95
01/02/25HOmis86-67
26/01/25ASonik Puntamika71-72 OT
18/01/25ACrikvenica63-76
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HKastela71-79
16/03/25HDakovo91-61
09/03/25AMarsonia66-80
02/03/25HJazine78-97
22/02/25ASkrljevo85-88
16/02/25HGorica68-63
08/02/25ABosco71-74
01/02/25HSamobor94-100
25/01/25AOmis65-79
19/01/25ASonik Puntamika80-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayLLWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game78.284.671.8
Allowed / game77.576.878.2
Point differential+0.7+7.8-6.4
Avg total155.7161.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)20% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %14%18%9%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLWLWL36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%36%0%
Points / game77.078.675.5
Allowed / game88.181.794.5
Point differential-11.0-3.1-19.0
Avg total165.1160.4169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2219386%88.680.5+8.1
2 Mladost2317674%82.777.1+5.6
3 Skrljevo2216673%91.380.4+10.9
4 Jazine2216673%91.881.6+10.2
5 Kastela2316770%85.873.4+12.4
6 Marsonia22121055%85.084.4+0.6
7 KK Zagreb22111150%78.277.5+0.7
8 Gorica22111150%79.581.2-1.7
9 Sonik Puntamika2291341%73.075.2-2.2
10 Omis2281436%75.678.6-3.0
11 Crikvenica2261627%67.378.0-10.7
12 Bosco2361726%73.983.9-10.0
13 Dakovo2351822%76.686.3-9.7
14 Hermes2241818%77.088.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Zagreb1933171988
Hermes1822212485
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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