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KK Zagreb vs Hermes Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record4-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game71.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 19
Other2026-27
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Hermes
27 Feb 2027
KK Z v HERM
upcoming
30 Mar 2025
KK Z88
HERM85
24 Mar 2024
KK Z82
HERM69
03 Dec 2022
KK Z84
HERM65
24 Oct 2021
KK Z75
HERM102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
L
68-70
68
70
-2
65avg 74
H28/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
61-85
61
85
-24
44avg 74
A01/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
75avg 74
A12/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
68-98
68
98
-30
57avg 74
H19/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H11/10
Prva Liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A18/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H25/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
A30/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
H07/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
A15/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
21-19
10-21
18-12
15-20
15-23
8-19
23-23
26-18
9-22
20-19
24-25
27-26
14-12
15-27
12-33
16-19
18-18
21-12
15-16
19-9
21-23
21-20
13-27
20-15
25-20
24-17
16-19
16-22
22-13
22-21
17-12
25-20
16-16
29-19
22-19
20-12
11-20
12-22
22-16
150.3Avg total
73.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.271.2148.3+6.067%
Season at home (3)82.370.0152.3+12.3100%
Season away (3)72.072.3144.3-0.333%
Last 10 (10)73.976.4150.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)78.672.4151.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.981.4154.3-8.622%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.676.9152.5-1.345%
vs Weaker (10)88.475.1163.5+13.390%
This opponent (Hermes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A30/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
no box
H06/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
no box
A12/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
92-111
92
111
-19
no box
H16/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
no box
H11/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
L
60-84
60
84
-24
no box
A17/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
67-59
67
59
+8
no box
H25/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#6
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
no box
H31/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#7
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
A08/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H15/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
22-33
21-17
24-19
20-24
12-23
17-22
15-21
25-17
16-25
21-11
7-16
29-29
18-28
26-30
19-24
18-17
23-17
23-18
18-13
19-14
9-20
9-27
23-23
20-9
20-23
11-12
16-15
17-17
13-24
24-18
21-16
24-16
15-19
22-23
12-16
12-20
20-11
22-12
16-22
155.4Avg total
76.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.571.3144.8+2.267%
Season at home (4)77.067.5144.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)66.579.0145.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)76.179.3155.4-3.250%
Last 5 (5)71.872.6144.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)76.092.6168.6-16.66%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.677.4157.0+2.156%
vs Weaker (3)69.769.3139.0+0.367%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
KK ZagrebHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A01/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H19/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/10
Prva Liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A18/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H25/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A30/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A15/11
Prva Liga
74.0Avg total
37.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.777.2+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.935.377.3+6.680%-
Last 30 away (15)39.038.177.1+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.574.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.073.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.338.274.6-1.944%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.035.875.8+4.273%-
vs Weaker (10)44.736.381.0+8.490%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A30/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H06/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A12/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H11/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A17/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H25/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H31/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H15/11
Prva Liga
77.5Avg total
37.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.042.579.5-5.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.640.678.2-3.044%-
Last 30 away (14)36.344.680.9-8.321%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.577.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.668.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.647.484.0-10.911%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.135.673.7+2.667%-
vs Weaker (3)36.333.369.7+3.067%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.124.0
57.0%
53.1%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.7
27.5%
32.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.711.9
63.6%
71.7%11.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.515.2
51.5%
53.1%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.0
35.4%
32.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws14.210.7
75.4%
71.7%10.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Zagreb
LWWWLWLLLL
Hermes
WLWWLWLWLL
#3
League position
#4
+2.6
Net rating
-6.7
86.9
Offensive rating
99.1
84.3
Defensive rating
105.8
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
21.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.5%
3-point %
35.4%
63.8%
Assist %
73.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence86.9 · 99.1Defence84.3 · 105.8Shooting51.2% · 52.4%3-point %27.5% · 35.4%Ball care18.8% · 21.5%Off. rebounds- · 24.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ KK Zagreb   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
KK Zagreb wins
5
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
15/11/26Hermes v KK Zagreb70-65
30/03/25KK Zagreb v Hermes88-85
15/12/24Hermes v KK Zagreb75-79
24/03/24KK Zagreb v Hermes82-69
18/12/23Hermes v KK Zagreb101-81
04/03/23Hermes v KK Zagreb96-91
03/12/22KK Zagreb v Hermes84-65
10/03/22Hermes v KK Zagreb107-82
24/10/21KK Zagreb v Hermes75-102
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AHermes65-70
07/11/26HSonik Puntamika92-74
30/10/26AOmis77-68
25/10/26HNovi Zagreb85-71
18/10/26AGKK Sibenka74-79
11/10/26HMarsonia70-65
19/04/26HMarsonia68-98
12/04/26ADakovo79-84
01/04/26AKastela61-85
28/03/26HCrikvenica68-70
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HKK Zagreb70-65
08/11/26AKastela73-74
31/10/26HDakovo89-81 OT
25/10/26HGorica67-59
17/10/26ASonik Puntamika60-84
11/10/26HOmis82-65
16/04/25HSonik Puntamika92-111
12/04/25ACrikvenica79-76 OT
06/04/25HMladost64-90
30/03/25AKK Zagreb85-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game77.282.372.0
Allowed / game71.270.072.3
Point differential+6.0+12.3-0.3
Avg total148.3152.3144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game73.577.066.5
Allowed / game71.367.579.0
Point differential+2.2+9.5-12.5
Avg total144.8144.5145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 GKK Sibenka660100%85.271.3+13.8
2 Jazine64267%84.078.0+6.0
3 KK Zagreb64267%77.271.2+6.0
4 Hermes64267%73.571.3+2.2
5 Novi Zagreb64267%76.774.8+1.8
6 Dakovo63350%88.285.2+3.0
7 Kastela63350%74.071.8+2.2
8 Marsonia63350%75.575.8-0.3
9 Crikvenica63350%73.073.8-0.8
10 Sonik Puntamika63350%81.284.3-3.2
11 Radnik Krizevci62433%77.275.5+1.7
12 Omis62433%71.575.8-4.3
13 Gorica61517%78.783.2-4.5
14 Mladost6060%66.790.2-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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