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Kretinga vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 90-68
16-20 20-11 25-21 29-16
Position#8
Record4-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#12
Record2-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game88.0
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Neptunas 2
01 Oct 2026
KRET76
NEPT91
31 Jan 2026
KRET77
NEPT88
01 Mar 2025
KRET79
NEPT90
19 Oct 2024
KRET76
NEPT78
08 Feb 2024
KRET84
NEPT79
18 Nov 2023
KRET90
NEPT68
02 Feb 2023
KRET85
NEPT77
13 Oct 2022
KRET92
NEPT59
10 Feb 2022
KRET75
NEPT78
04 Nov 2021
KRET71
NEPT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 69
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
65avg 69
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 69
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
77-98
77
98
-21
64avg 69
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 69
A28/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
62avg 69
A31/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
82avg 69
H04/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
80-94
80
94
-14
67avg 69
A09/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 69
H11/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
71avg 69
A16/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
31-15
17-19
21-18
13-26
24-20
22-15
15-18
16-16
27-13
14-27
17-29
14-22
18-26
16-25
29-25
20-21
13-26
13-18
18-17
24-19
7-26
15-34
23-17
29-12
18-18
20-18
17-25
19-22
23-26
20-29
18-17
24-27
18-16
12-23
19-15
24-26
17-20
18-6
24-22
160.0Avg total
76.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.383.5160.8-6.231%
Season at home (4)76.584.8161.2-8.225%
Season away (9)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)76.583.5160.0-7.030%
Last 5 (5)77.883.6161.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.984.8156.8-12.925%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.884.0162.8-5.231%
vs Weaker (2)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 72
A14/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
67avg 72
H19/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
54avg 72
A21/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 72
H26/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
98-107
98
107
-9
100avg 72
A28/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
85-101
85
101
-16
89avg 72
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
68-89
68
89
-21
62avg 72
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
49avg 72
H09/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
84avg 72
A11/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 72
H16/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
17-23
16-21
24-18
22-10
10-19
15-24
25-14
17-23
16-27
21-25
18-10
22-29
19-18
14-19
27-25
15-36
27-23
26-19
30-29
15-24
29-21
21-30
20-26
13-26
18-22
16-18
21-23
15-23
16-21
12-27
16-21
23-19
21-23
19-18
20-17
26-24
20-17
6-18
22-24
163.9Avg total
76.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.588.0165.5-10.515%
Season at home (7)77.387.6164.9-10.314%
Season away (6)77.888.5166.3-10.717%
Last 10 (10)76.887.1163.9-10.320%
Last 5 (5)73.888.4162.2-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)74.485.4159.8-11.025%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.086.7167.7-5.717%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
KretingaNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A28/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A31/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A09/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/11
NKL
81.5Avg total
39.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.943.381.2-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.043.581.5-5.518%-
Last 30 away (19)37.943.181.0-5.226%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.881.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.483.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.944.478.3-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.442.482.8-2.138%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H19/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A21/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H26/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A28/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H09/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/11
NKL
82.4Avg total
37.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.443.580.9-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.541.278.7-3.731%-
Last 30 away (14)37.246.283.4-9.021%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.582.4-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.083.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)36.143.879.9-7.721%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.1
48.8%
51.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.7
32.1%
33.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.212.2
75.3%
70.3%12.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.0
51.3%
51.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.45.7
31.0%
33.3%17.1
🏀 Free throws21.514.9
69.3%
70.3%14.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WLLWLLLLLW
Neptunas 2
LWLLLLLLWL
#8
League position
#12
-10.1
Net rating
-13.5
103.1
Offensive rating
101.5
113.2
Defensive rating
115.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
17.6%
Turnover %
22.2%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.1%
3-point %
31.0%
61.2%
Assist %
61.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 101.5Defence113.2 · 115.0Shooting48.5% · 49.8%3-point %32.1% · 31.0%Ball care17.6% · 22.2%Off. rebounds30.8% · 35.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Kretinga   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kretinga wins
3
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
16/11/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga74-83
09/03/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga92-77
02/02/23Kretinga v Neptunas 285-77
01/12/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga67-81
13/10/22Kretinga v Neptunas 292-59
03/03/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga83-71
10/02/22Kretinga v Neptunas 275-78
06/01/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga65-83
04/11/21Kretinga v Neptunas 271-68
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23ANeptunas 283-74
11/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga73-81
09/11/23AJurbarkas80-94
04/11/23HKauno Atletas84-73
31/10/23ATelsiai69-96
28/10/23AUkmerges Stekas64-82
26/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas 277-98
21/10/23ASilute74-85
19/10/23AVilkaviskis74-79
14/10/23ARytas 287-73
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23HKretinga74-83
11/11/23AKauno Atletas83-77
09/11/23HTelsiai59-92
04/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga68-89
02/11/23HRytas 285-101
28/10/23AVytis VDU98-107
26/10/23HDelikatesas Joniskis82-91
21/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 272-85
19/10/23HUkmerges Stekas72-67
14/10/23ASilute75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW31%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %31%25%33%
Points / game77.376.577.7
Allowed / game83.584.883.0
Point differential-6.2-8.2-5.3
Avg total160.8161.2160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL15%
HomeWLLLL14%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %15%14%17%
Points / game77.577.377.8
Allowed / game88.087.688.5
Point differential-10.5-10.3-10.7
Avg total165.5164.9166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%85.572.5+13.0
2 Suduva-Mantinga119282%84.673.3+11.4
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%81.772.1+9.6
4 Jurbarkas138562%81.278.4+2.8
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 2127558%78.274.4+3.8
6 Vilkaviskis127558%82.279.2+3.1
7 Vytis VDU105550%88.285.6+2.6
8 Delikatesas Joniskis126650%78.184.5-6.4
9 Ukmerges Stekas125742%73.878.7-4.8
10 Rytas 2124833%82.586.4-3.9
11 Silute134931%78.483.1-4.7
12 Kretinga134931%77.383.5-6.2
13 Kauno Atletas1431121%74.982.9-8.1
14 Neptunas 21321115%77.588.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1620252990
Neptunas 22011211668
← all games of the day
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