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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 71-75 (OT)
26-18 7-18 14-18 17-10 7-11
Position#10
Record12-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game73.8
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Lithuania
vs
Kretinga 🏆
Lithuania
Position#8
Record6-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game81.7
LithuaniaNKL· Kaunas
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga
19 Dec 2026
ZALG v KRET
upcoming
29 Nov 2025
ZALG91
KRET86
09 Jan 2025
ZALG87
KRET73
11 Mar 2024
ZALG83
KRET87
07 Mar 2024
ZALG64
KRET67
14 Dec 2023
ZALG71
KRET75
12 Jan 2023
ZALG71
KRET75
06 Nov 2021
ZALG83
KRET64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
75-74
75
74
+1
71avg 71
H09/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
88-77
88
77
+11
69avg 71
A11/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
73avg 71
A18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
96-69
96
69
+27
100avg 71
A23/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
62-88
62
88
-26
51avg 71
H25/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 71
A30/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 71
H02/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
69-68
69
68
+1
60avg 71
A07/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
65-85
65
85
-20
51avg 71
A09/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
69-73
69
73
-4
50avg 71
A12/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
13-9
22-14
23-32
16-23
22-19
29-21
21-14
24-17
21-19
16-12
18-13
21-14
24-23
26-11
25-21
15-21
12-15
22-30
13-22
15-23
18-13
19-15
27-17
17-18
18-25
25-13
22-16
19-18
13-16
16-14
21-20
15-28
19-22
18-16
13-19
18-15
22-17
15-22
14-19
149.9Avg total
76.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.073.8150.8+3.260%
Season at home (9)74.773.1147.8+1.656%
Season away (11)78.974.5153.4+4.564%
Last 10 (10)76.473.5149.9+2.970%
Last 5 (5)72.873.2146.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.879.5150.3-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.673.1152.7+6.567%
vs Weaker (12)79.666.8146.4+12.892%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
80-94
80
94
-14
67avg 68
A09/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 68
H11/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
71avg 68
A16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 68
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 68
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
73-84
73
84
-11
58avg 68
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 68
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
66-67
66
67
-1
56avg 68
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
84-87
84
87
-3
72avg 68
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 68
H09/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
23-26
20-29
18-17
24-27
18-16
12-23
19-15
24-26
17-20
18-6
24-22
16-20
20-11
25-21
29-16
21-18
21-24
18-19
12-20
11-15
26-26
21-21
15-22
19-21
21-20
15-17
26-19
15-16
19-18
15-21
17-12
18-22
21-22
21-26
24-17
24-16
11-22
21-18
19-27
157.3Avg total
77.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.381.7158.9-4.430%
Season at home (10)78.181.9160.0-3.830%
Season away (10)76.581.4157.9-4.930%
Last 10 (10)77.779.6157.3-1.930%
Last 5 (5)75.879.6155.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.484.8155.2-14.311%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.482.2161.6-2.837%
vs Weaker (2)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Kretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H09/11
NKL
Silute
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A23/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H25/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A30/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H02/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A09/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/12
NKL
73.3Avg total
35.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.774.6+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.935.673.6+2.371%-
Last 30 away (16)37.937.775.6+0.238%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.473.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.073.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.040.275.2-5.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.436.874.2+0.750%-
vs Weaker (12)39.835.074.8+4.867%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A09/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/12
NKL
79.6Avg total
38.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.080.5-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.941.580.3-2.620%-
Last 30 away (15)38.242.580.7-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.879.6-2.010%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.676.6-2.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.643.777.2-10.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.541.181.5-0.637%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.519.9
46.8%
51.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.5
31.7%
33.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws23.415.9
67.9%
70.3%15.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.3
47.1%
51.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.3
32.9%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.113.6
67.7%
70.3%13.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLWWWLWWWW
Kretinga
LLLWLLWWLL
#10
League position
#8
+3.1
Net rating
-1.7
102.0
Offensive rating
99.0
98.9
Defensive rating
100.7
47.1%
Effective FG%
48.0%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
21.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
39.9%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.7%
3-point %
32.9%
56.1%
Assist %
65.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 99.0Defence98.9 · 100.7Shooting47.1% · 48.0%3-point %31.7% · 32.9%Ball care21.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds39.9% · 26.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
1
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
26/10/23Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 277-98
12/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga71-75
10/11/22Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 280-103
08/01/22Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 255-82
06/11/21Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga83-64
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23AKauno Atletas69-73
09/12/23ASuduva-Mantinga65-85
07/12/23ANeptunas 269-68
02/12/23HDelikatesas Joniskis82-72
30/11/23AJurbarkas79-68
25/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga62-88
23/11/23ARytas 296-69
18/11/23AUkmerges Stekas79-61
11/11/23ASilute88-77
09/11/23HVilkaviskis75-74
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HVilkaviskis75-83
07/12/23HSilute84-87
02/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-67
30/11/23HRytas 281-77
25/11/23HVytis VDU73-84
23/11/23HDelikatesas Joniskis72-81
18/11/23HNeptunas 290-68
16/11/23ANeptunas 283-74
11/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga73-81
09/11/23AJurbarkas80-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %60%56%64%
Points / game77.074.778.9
Allowed / game73.873.174.5
Point differential+3.1+1.6+4.5
Avg total150.8147.8153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%44%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%30%30%
Points / game77.378.176.5
Allowed / game81.781.981.4
Point differential-4.3-3.8-4.9
Avg total158.9160.0157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1816289%85.672.3+13.3
2 Telsiai1915479%83.272.8+10.4
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2015575%81.072.0+9.0
4 Jurbarkas2012860%80.076.7+3.2
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 22012860%77.073.8+3.1
6 Vytis VDU1710759%87.284.9+2.3
7 Vilkaviskis2011955%83.081.8+1.2
8 Ukmerges Stekas1991047%74.377.3-2.9
9 Kauno Atletas2081240%76.179.0-2.9
10 Delikatesas Joniskis1871139%76.284.2-8.0
11 Kretinga2061430%77.381.7-4.3
12 Silute2061430%77.683.0-5.4
13 Rytas 21951426%79.988.8-8.9
14 Neptunas 22031715%75.885.2-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Zalgiris Kaunas 22671417771
Kretinga181818101175
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