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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 83-87
21-25 23-17 21-13 18-32
Position#10
Record17-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game73.8
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Lithuania
vs
Kretinga 🏆
Lithuania
Position#8
Record17-23
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game82.7
LithuaniaNKL· KM
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga
19 Dec 2026
ZALG v KRET
upcoming
29 Nov 2025
ZALG91
KRET86
09 Jan 2025
ZALG87
KRET73
11 Mar 2024
ZALG83
KRET87
07 Mar 2024
ZALG64
KRET67
14 Dec 2023
ZALG71
KRET75
12 Jan 2023
ZALG71
KRET75
06 Nov 2021
ZALG83
KRET64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
61-64
61
64
-3
56avg 68
H03/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
89avg 68
H08/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 68
A10/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 68
H15/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
61avg 68
A17/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
50avg 68
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 68
H29/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 68
A02/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
64-67
64
67
-3
54avg 68
H07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
88-72
88
72
+16
88avg 68
A09/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
14-14
9-13
23-20
25-16
22-26
22-17
25-28
15-25
22-23
20-20
22-26
23-17
26-14
19-22
19-31
22-21
20-13
13-18
15-21
19-23
19-23
16-11
9-24
18-16
16-22
16-21
15-20
16-14
14-12
12-17
14-18
12-19
15-13
14-16
23-19
25-16
25-17
20-24
18-15
148.9Avg total
72.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)74.273.8148.0+0.342%
Season at home (20)73.573.5147.1-0.040%
Season away (20)74.874.1148.9+0.745%
Last 10 (10)72.776.2148.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)67.272.0139.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.074.8138.8-10.811%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.173.6148.7+1.541%
vs Weaker (4)84.271.8156.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
107-92
107
92
+15
100avg 70
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 70
H08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
79avg 70
A10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
76avg 70
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
79-93
79
93
-14
67avg 70
A22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
89-88
89
88
+1
83avg 70
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
89-74
89
74
+15
86avg 70
H29/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
89-67
89
67
+22
78avg 70
A02/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
53avg 70
A07/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
72-88
72
88
-16
56avg 70
H09/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
25-23
35-21
27-25
26-19
26-25
15-21
17-14
17-23
16-34
27-22
24-17
25-17
15-27
19-23
25-20
26-29
12-17
17-27
24-20
23-18
18-33
17-18
31-19
20-23
26-10
26-20
17-21
15-11
27-20
14-20
33-16
19-12
13-15
16-14
19-23
16-25
17-25
24-20
15-18
167.2Avg total
84.4Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)79.082.7161.7-3.842%
Season at home (20)80.183.1163.2-3.045%
Season away (20)77.882.3160.2-4.540%
Last 10 (10)84.482.8167.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)81.276.2157.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.087.1164.1-10.114%
vs Similar ◀ (23)80.581.0161.4-0.557%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Kretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H03/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H08/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A10/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H15/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H29/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A02/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A09/03
NKL
74.4Avg total
38.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.873.2-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.235.470.6-0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)37.438.175.4-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.174.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.070.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.938.370.2-6.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.635.973.6+1.747%-
vs Weaker (4)41.037.278.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H29/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A02/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H09/03
NKL
83.1Avg total
40.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.381.9-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.640.782.3+0.941%-
Last 30 away (13)39.342.081.3-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.983.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.477.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.941.483.3+0.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)40.241.281.4-1.043%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.9
51.0%
51.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.0
25.5%
33.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws22.513.9
61.8%
70.3%13.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀28%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.521.2
47.6%
51.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.0
28.6%
33.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws30.423.0
75.7%
70.3%23.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WLLLLLWLWL
Kretinga
LWWWWLLLWW
#10
League position
#8
-4.7
Net rating
+2.0
95.4
Offensive rating
105.1
100.1
Defensive rating
103.1
46.2%
Effective FG%
46.1%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
23.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.46
25.5%
3-point %
28.6%
58.7%
Assist %
57.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 105.1Defence100.1 · 103.1Shooting46.2% · 46.1%3-point %25.5% · 28.6%Ball care23.4% · 16.6%Off. rebounds37.9% · 31.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
3
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 272-88
07/03/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga64-67
14/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga71-75 OT
26/10/23Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 277-98
12/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga71-75
10/11/22Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 280-103
08/01/22Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 255-82
06/11/21Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga83-64
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AKretinga88-72
07/03/24HKretinga64-67
02/03/24ABC Olimpas Palanga56-61
29/02/24HTelsiai65-79
22/02/24ASuduva-Mantinga63-81
17/02/24AVilkaviskis70-73
15/02/24HJurbarkas87-84
10/02/24AVytis VDU79-94
08/02/24HVytis VDU94-87
03/02/24HSuduva-Mantinga61-64
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HZalgiris Kaunas 272-88
07/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas 267-64
02/03/24ASilute89-67
29/02/24HRytas 289-74
24/02/24HDelikatesas Joniskis89-88
22/02/24AUkmerges Stekas79-93
17/02/24AKauno Atletas84-87
10/02/24ANeptunas 284-96
08/02/24HNeptunas 284-79
03/02/24HUkmerges Stekas107-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %42%40%45%
Points / game74.273.574.8
Allowed / game73.873.574.1
Point differential+0.3-0.1+0.7
Avg total148.0147.1148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won24% (17)20% (10)29% (7)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL42%
HomeWWWWL45%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %42%45%40%
Points / game79.080.177.8
Allowed / game82.783.182.3
Point differential-3.8-3.0-4.5
Avg total161.7163.2160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)80% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3832684%81.672.1+9.5
2 Telsiai3830879%83.172.5+10.6
3 Suduva-Mantinga3829976%83.973.8+10.1
4 Ukmerges Stekas41221954%77.376.4+0.9
5 Delikatesas Joniskis41212051%81.484.2-2.9
6 Jurbarkas38191950%80.980.9+0.1
7 Vytis VDU40202050%86.186.3-0.2
8 Vilkaviskis40192148%79.181.4-2.3
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 240172342%74.273.8+0.3
10 Kretinga40172342%79.082.7-3.8
11 Kauno Atletas40152538%76.579.2-2.7
12 Neptunas 238122632%78.484.1-5.7
13 Rytas 240122830%82.189.3-7.2
14 Silute38102826%78.384.0-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 22123211883
Kretinga2517133287
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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