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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 64-67
12-19 15-13 14-16 23-19
Position#10
Record16-22
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#8
Record16-22
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game83.1
LithuaniaNKL· Kaunas
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga
19 Dec 2026
ZALG v KRET
upcoming
29 Nov 2025
ZALG91
KRET86
09 Jan 2025
ZALG87
KRET73
11 Mar 2024
ZALG83
KRET87
07 Mar 2024
ZALG64
KRET67
14 Dec 2023
ZALG71
KRET75
12 Jan 2023
ZALG71
KRET75
06 Nov 2021
ZALG83
KRET64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
W
67-65
67
65
+2
59avg 67
A25/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
56avg 67
H27/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
61-64
61
64
-3
56avg 67
H03/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
89avg 67
H08/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 67
A10/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 67
H15/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
61avg 67
A17/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
50avg 67
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 67
H29/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 67
A02/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
14-19
24-15
14-16
13-22
24-22
18-14
16-19
15-17
14-14
9-13
23-20
25-16
22-26
22-17
25-28
15-25
22-23
20-20
22-26
23-17
26-14
19-22
19-31
22-21
20-13
13-18
15-21
19-23
19-23
16-11
9-24
18-16
16-22
16-21
15-20
16-14
14-12
12-17
14-18
147.8Avg total
71.3Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)74.174.1148.1+0.042%
Season at home (19)74.073.9147.9+0.142%
Season away (19)74.174.2148.3-0.142%
Last 10 (10)71.376.5147.8-5.230%
Last 5 (5)68.275.6143.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.273.6138.8-8.420%
vs Similar ◀ (16)75.574.2149.7+1.344%
vs Weaker (4)84.271.8156.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
79-66
79
66
+13
76avg 71
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-110
78
110
-32
56avg 71
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
107-92
107
92
+15
100avg 71
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 71
H08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
79avg 71
A10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
76avg 71
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
79-93
79
93
-14
67avg 71
A22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
89-88
89
88
+1
83avg 71
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
89-74
89
74
+15
86avg 71
H29/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
89-67
89
67
+22
78avg 71
A02/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
26-20
12-16
19-10
21-30
18-21
18-30
21-29
20-23
25-23
35-21
27-25
26-19
26-25
15-21
17-14
17-23
16-34
27-22
24-17
25-17
15-27
19-23
25-20
26-29
12-17
17-27
24-20
23-18
18-33
17-18
31-19
20-23
26-10
26-20
17-21
15-11
27-20
14-20
33-16
171.4Avg total
86.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)79.583.1162.6-3.642%
Season at home (19)80.582.8163.4-2.347%
Season away (19)78.483.3161.7-4.937%
Last 10 (10)86.285.2171.4+1.060%
Last 5 (5)86.081.8167.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.088.2164.2-12.212%
vs Similar ◀ (22)81.681.0162.7+0.659%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Kretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A25/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H27/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H03/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H08/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A10/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H15/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H29/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A02/03
NKL
74.6Avg total
37.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.337.173.4-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.035.671.6+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)36.638.475.0-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.474.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.537.970.4-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.536.674.1+0.944%-
vs Weaker (4)41.037.278.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H29/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A02/03
NKL
86.7Avg total
42.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.282.2-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.439.581.9+2.947%-
Last 30 away (13)39.243.482.6-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)42.444.386.7-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.082.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.541.982.4-1.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)41.241.082.2+0.345%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.0
49.4%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.5
24.8%
33.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws23.013.8
60.0%
70.3%13.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.522.5
49.5%
51.9%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.3
29.6%
33.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws28.121.1
75.1%
70.3%21.1
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLLLWLWLLW
Kretinga
WWWLLLWWLW
#10
League position
#8
-7.1
Net rating
+0.8
95.3
Offensive rating
106.7
102.4
Defensive rating
105.9
45.1%
Effective FG%
47.8%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
22.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
38.8%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.42
24.8%
3-point %
29.6%
56.1%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 106.7Defence102.4 · 105.9Shooting45.1% · 47.8%3-point %24.8% · 29.6%Ball care22.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds38.8% · 31.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
2
Kretinga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ABC Olimpas Palanga56-61
29/02/24HTelsiai65-79
22/02/24ASuduva-Mantinga63-81
17/02/24AVilkaviskis70-73
15/02/24HJurbarkas87-84
10/02/24AVytis VDU79-94
08/02/24HVytis VDU94-87
03/02/24HSuduva-Mantinga61-64
27/01/24HBC Olimpas Palanga71-77
25/01/24ATelsiai67-65
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ASilute89-67
29/02/24HRytas 289-74
24/02/24HDelikatesas Joniskis89-88
22/02/24AUkmerges Stekas79-93
17/02/24AKauno Atletas84-87
10/02/24ANeptunas 284-96
08/02/24HNeptunas 284-79
03/02/24HUkmerges Stekas107-92
01/02/24ADelikatesas Joniskis78-110
27/01/24ARytas 279-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeLLWWL42%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %42%42%42%
Points / game74.174.074.1
Allowed / game74.173.974.2
Point differential+0.0+0.1-0.1
Avg total148.1147.9148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%26%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (16)22% (9)29% (7)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW42%
HomeWWWWW47%
AwayLLLLW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %42%47%37%
Points / game79.580.578.4
Allowed / game83.182.883.3
Point differential-3.6-2.3-4.9
Avg total162.6163.4161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)80% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3832684%81.672.1+9.5
2 Telsiai3830879%83.172.5+10.6
3 Suduva-Mantinga3829976%83.973.8+10.1
4 Ukmerges Stekas39221756%77.076.0+1.0
5 Jurbarkas38191950%80.980.9+0.1
6 Delikatesas Joniskis39192049%81.284.3-3.1
7 Vytis VDU38182047%85.486.1-0.6
8 Vilkaviskis38182047%79.281.7-2.4
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 238162242%74.174.1+0.0
10 Kretinga38162242%79.583.1-3.6
11 Kauno Atletas38142437%76.579.3-2.8
12 Neptunas 238122632%78.484.1-5.7
13 Rytas 238122632%81.788.8-7.2
14 Silute38102826%78.384.0-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 21215142364
Kretinga1913161967
← all games of the day
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