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Kumamoto vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 88-87
23-20 24-15 20-21 21-31
Position#8
Record3-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#12
Record9-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game86.8
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kumamoto v Aomori
15 Dec 2024
KUMA88
AOMO87
14 Dec 2024
KUMA73
AOMO77
26 Nov 2023
KUMA95
AOMO88
25 Nov 2023
KUMA89
AOMO100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
66avg 74
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
71avg 74
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
84-100
84
100
-16
74avg 74
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
42avg 74
H25/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 74
H26/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
74-88
74
88
-14
63avg 74
A30/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 74
A01/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
60avg 74
A07/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
77-104
77
104
-27
73avg 74
A08/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
73-77
73
77
-4
71avg 74
H14/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
24-20
19-25
18-22
17-14
18-16
23-27
16-17
24-30
23-21
20-28
17-21
11-10
17-13
19-19
4-18
15-17
18-23
28-18
13-13
28-17
8-26
21-28
17-17
15-23
25-11
12-12
21-23
20-23
14-23
17-15
16-24
23-28
12-25
21-26
21-25
8-22
19-20
19-17
27-18
156.4Avg total
73.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.586.6161.1-12.114%
Season at home (10)75.883.9159.7-8.120%
Season away (12)73.488.8162.2-15.48%
Last 10 (10)73.183.3156.4-10.220%
Last 5 (5)72.884.6157.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.897.2170.0-24.50%
vs Similar (20)77.886.0163.8-8.215%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)84.080.0164.0+4.050%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 75
H10/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
81-75 OT
81
75
+6
69avg 75
H16/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
80-112
80
112
-32
73avg 75
H17/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
88-103
88
103
-15
76avg 75
A23/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
77-111
77
111
-34
66avg 75
A24/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
56-77
56
77
-21
48avg 75
A29/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
66avg 75
A30/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 75
H07/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
47avg 75
H08/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 75
A14/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
13-20
20-21
21-17
18-14
14-15
24-18
12-21
6-27
22-37
31-27
21-21
28-25
17-29
16-21
27-28
13-29
19-33
19-27
26-22
20-15
11-21
13-26
12-15
25-21
21-32
15-18
19-23
26-17
23-19
14-24
19-15
15-28
19-19
13-17
18-32
22-8
20-19
17-19
18-27
165.0Avg total
75.5Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.186.8164.9-8.741%
Season at home (11)77.685.9163.5-8.345%
Season away (11)78.587.7166.3-9.236%
Last 10 (10)75.589.5165.0-14.030%
Last 5 (5)72.083.0155.0-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)78.487.4165.8-9.039%
vs Similar (7)85.688.0173.6-2.429%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
KumamotoAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H25/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H26/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A30/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A01/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A07/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A08/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H14/12
B2.League
76.5Avg total
35.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.846.084.8-7.123%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.645.885.4-6.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.146.184.2-8.012%-
Last 10 (10)35.640.976.5-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.443.678.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.153.889.9-17.60%-
vs Similar (20)40.043.183.2-3.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)38.043.081.0-5.050%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H10/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H16/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
28-64
28
64
-36
H17/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A23/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-62
32
62
-30
A24/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A29/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A30/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H08/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A14/12
B2.League
81.6Avg total
36.7Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.684.9-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.542.582.9-2.046%-
Last 30 away (17)41.944.586.4-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)36.744.981.6-8.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.880.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)40.243.884.0-3.639%-
vs Similar (7)44.743.087.7+1.757%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.620.8
47.7%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.9
31.9%
32.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws12.68.9
70.6%
70.7%8.9
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.1
48.1%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.8
31.9%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.012.3
64.7%
70.7%12.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LLLWLWLLLL
Aomori
WLWLLLLLWL
#8
League position
#12
-16.9
Net rating
-17.3
97.2
Offensive rating
95.4
114.1
Defensive rating
112.8
47.8%
Effective FG%
48.0%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.0%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.9%
3-point %
31.9%
63.9%
Assist %
72.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 95.4Defence114.1 · 112.8Shooting47.8% · 48.0%3-point %31.9% · 31.9%Ball care19.2% · 19.0%Off. rebounds31.6% · 23.3%Free throws0.19 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kumamoto wins
4
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Kumamoto v Aomori73-77
31/03/24Aomori v Kumamoto98-89
30/03/24Aomori v Kumamoto90-73
26/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori95-88
25/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori89-100
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HAomori73-77
08/12/24AToyama77-104
07/12/24AToyama67-85
01/12/24ANara73-69
30/11/24ANara74-88
26/11/24HShizuoka74-71
25/11/24HShizuoka51-60
17/11/24AYamagata Wyverns84-100
16/11/24AYamagata Wyverns80-85 OT
10/11/24AKobe78-94
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AKumamoto77-73
08/12/24HKagoshima Rebnise65-96
07/12/24HKagoshima Rebnise82-75
30/11/24AFukuoka80-94
29/11/24AFukuoka56-77
24/11/24AAltiri Chiba77-111
23/11/24AAltiri Chiba88-103
17/11/24HShinshu80-112
16/11/24HShinshu81-75 OT
10/11/24HShizuoka69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %14%20%8%
Points / game74.575.873.4
Allowed / game86.683.988.8
Point differential-12.1-8.1-15.4
Avg total161.1159.7162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeLWLWL45%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%45%36%
Points / game78.177.678.5
Allowed / game86.885.987.7
Point differential-8.7-8.3-9.2
Avg total164.9163.5166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2221195%92.575.7+16.9
2 Fukuoka2317674%84.274.1+10.0
3 Fukui2216673%83.377.8+5.5
4 Toyama2316770%86.078.4+7.6
5 Shinshu2215768%88.175.4+12.7
6 Kagoshima Rebnise2315865%82.878.7+4.1
7 Shizuoka22121055%75.975.1+0.8
8 Nara2291341%76.078.4-2.3
9 Kobe2291341%83.286.1-2.9
10 Aomori2291341%78.186.8-8.7
11 Yamagata Wyverns2281436%79.984.0-4.1
12 Fukushima2251723%73.582.2-8.7
13 Kumamoto2231914%74.586.6-12.1
14 Ehime Orange Vikings231224%74.793.5-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto2324202188
Aomori2015213187
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