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Kumamoto vs Shiga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 89-93
24-27 25-26 14-22 26-18
Position#5
Record32-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.2
Kumamoto
Japan
vs
Shiga 🏆
Japan
Position#2
Record36-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game79.9
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Shiga
27 Mar 2024
KUMA89
SHIG93
08 Oct 2023
KUMA91
SHIG85
07 Oct 2023
KUMA86
SHIG100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shiga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 77
A24/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-106
95
106
-11
90avg 77
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
78avg 77
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 77
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 77
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 77
A16/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
87-84
87
84
+3
86avg 77
A17/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
83-109
83
109
-26
70avg 77
H23/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
79-99
79
99
-20
67avg 77
H24/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
23-22
18-25
17-24
27-25
24-27
26-28
18-26
21-22
13-18
22-21
26-21
26-25
20-10
22-27
18-23
24-15
28-23
14-21
12-17
15-20
23-28
25-16
25-30
13-21
22-18
22-23
20-25
22-24
19-33
26-13
20-14
28-28
18-27
19-27
18-27
23-26
17-28
16-22
23-23
179.3Avg total
85.4Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)85.284.2169.3+1.063%
Season at home (25)89.083.6172.6+5.384%
Season away (26)81.584.7166.2-3.242%
Last 10 (10)85.493.9179.3-8.540%
Last 5 (5)82.894.6177.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)87.998.2186.1-10.333%
vs Similar (21)86.181.2167.3+4.971%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
84-64
84
64
+20
79avg 82
H23/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
85-72
85
72
+13
77avg 82
H24/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
88-58
88
58
+30
87avg 82
H02/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
81-74
81
74
+7
69avg 82
H03/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 82
A11/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
77-66
77
66
+11
71avg 82
A12/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
82-61
82
61
+21
54avg 82
H19/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
75-56
75
56
+19
69avg 82
H20/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
82-94
82
94
-12
71avg 82
A23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 82
A24/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
21-13
26-12
25-13
27-17
18-24
16-19
24-12
26-24
19-13
21-10
22-11
19-19
25-18
17-16
20-21
17-25
21-17
23-23
17-15
27-16
15-16
16-15
19-19
15-14
30-12
17-20
20-15
23-18
22-15
17-17
13-6
26-23
14-23
21-28
21-20
16-22
21-20
18-23
19-20
151.6Avg total
80.6Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)86.979.9166.8+7.071%
Season at home (26)87.376.2163.5+11.277%
Season away (25)86.583.8170.3+2.664%
Last 10 (10)80.671.0151.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)78.072.4150.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.0110.5184.5-36.50%
vs Similar (2)84.568.0152.5+16.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)89.181.5170.7+7.673%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
KumamotoShiga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A24/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A25/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H02/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H03/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A09/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A16/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A17/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H23/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H24/03
B2.League
88.8Avg total
42.1Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.285.1+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.040.686.6+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)40.243.683.8-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)42.146.788.8-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.050.690.6-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.248.892.0-5.622%-
vs Similar (21)42.839.482.1+3.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H23/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H24/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H02/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H03/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A12/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H19/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A24/03
B2.League
78.9Avg total
41.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.983.8+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.538.081.5+5.587%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.986.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.437.578.9+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.877.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.562.099.5-24.50%-
vs Similar (2)39.040.079.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.539.482.9+4.273%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.6
57.9%
52.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.1
32.5%
33.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.713.4
68.0%
71.0%13.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.5
55.4%
52.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.6
33.5%
33.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.114.2
64.3%
71.0%14.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LLWLLWWWLL
Shiga
LLWWWLWWWW
#5
League position
#2
-13.0
Net rating
+13.0
109.5
Offensive rating
107.0
122.5
Defensive rating
94.0
53.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.5%
3-point %
33.5%
64.0%
Assist %
64.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 107.0Defence122.5 · 94.0Shooting53.9% · 53.5%3-point %32.5% · 33.5%Ball care18.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds31.1% · 26.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Shiga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kumamoto wins
3
Shiga wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Shiga v Kumamoto101-104
24/12/23Shiga v Kumamoto81-73
23/12/23Shiga v Kumamoto105-83
08/10/23Kumamoto v Shiga91-85
07/10/23Kumamoto v Shiga86-100
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HAltiri Chiba79-99
23/03/24HAltiri Chiba83-109
17/03/24ANara87-84
16/03/24ANara77-87
10/03/24AYamagata Wyverns88-94
09/03/24AYamagata Wyverns78-76
03/03/24HShizuoka86-85
02/03/24HShizuoka108-101 OT
25/02/24AAltiri Chiba95-106
24/02/24AAltiri Chiba73-98
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AShizuoka74-85
23/03/24AShizuoka82-94
20/03/24HIwate75-56
19/03/24HIwate82-61
12/03/24AFukuoka77-66
11/03/24AFukuoka78-80
03/03/24HEhime Orange Vikings81-74
02/03/24HEhime Orange Vikings88-58
24/02/24HKoshigaya Alphas85-72
23/02/24HKoshigaya Alphas84-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL63%
HomeWWWLL84%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %63%84%42%
Points / game85.289.081.5
Allowed / game84.283.684.7
Point differential+1.0+5.3-3.2
Avg total169.3172.6166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Shiga
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWLWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %71%77%64%
Points / game86.987.386.5
Allowed / game79.976.283.8
Point differential+7.0+11.2+2.6
Avg total166.8163.5170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%58%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5147492%91.977.2+14.7
2 Shiga51361571%86.979.9+7.0
3 Fukuoka51341767%78.474.4+4.0
4 Kumamoto51321963%85.284.2+1.0
5 Koshigaya Alphas51302159%83.174.5+8.6
6 Aomori51262551%85.287.0-1.9
7 Yamagata Wyverns51252649%81.485.1-3.7
8 Kobe51242747%79.478.1+1.2
9 Shizuoka51232845%80.581.1-0.5
10 Fukushima51203139%80.884.6-3.8
11 Nara51193237%74.077.7-3.7
12 Ehime Orange Vikings51193237%79.084.0-5.0
13 Iwate51153629%71.175.5-4.4
14 Niigata5174414%73.586.9-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto2425142689
Shiga2726221893
← all games of the day
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