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Kumamoto vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 89-97
18-29 27-27 19-19 25-22
Position#8
Record26-31
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Toyama 🏆
Japan
Position#3
Record36-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game81.7
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kumamoto v Toyama
13 Apr 2025
KUMA89
TOYA97
12 Apr 2025
KUMA103
TOYA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
61-72
61
72
-11
54avg 74
H15/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 74
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
105-50
105
50
+55
113avg 74
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
88-70
88
70
+18
78avg 74
H23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 74
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
64-67
64
67
-3
51avg 74
H29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
112-57
112
57
+55
118avg 74
H30/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
81avg 74
A05/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
90avg 74
A06/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
103-96
103
96
+7
101avg 74
H12/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
12-19
16-20
17-16
26-20
16-28
15-11
29-21
32-13
30-10
23-11
20-16
23-11
26-16
25-19
14-24
19-13
19-18
16-25
24-30
19-25
14-13
16-16
15-13
22-7
31-15
30-21
29-14
15-25
28-17
22-17
20-21
17-21
19-20
26-12
10-19
22-25
29-23
26-23
26-25
162.2Avg total
87.1Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)79.379.6158.9-0.246%
Season at home (29)79.276.8156.0+2.448%
Season away (28)79.482.4161.9-3.043%
Last 10 (10)87.175.1162.2+12.060%
Last 5 (5)90.678.6169.2+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.879.1156.9-1.355%
vs Similar (9)80.872.9153.7+7.956%
vs Weaker (10)86.267.6153.8+18.690%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 79
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 79
A16/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
79avg 79
H22/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
78avg 79
H23/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
100avg 79
A26/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
72-97
72
97
-25
57avg 79
A29/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
90avg 79
A30/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 79
H05/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
96-85
96
85
+11
100avg 79
H06/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
96-103
96
103
-7
87avg 79
A12/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
22-16
22-25
26-21
24-10
21-17
17-18
17-26
15-22
19-21
19-18
23-15
17-25
24-16
26-21
21-15
28-26
24-16
19-20
22-17
22-20
18-23
16-24
16-30
22-33
27-25
20-22
26-21
20-18
19-17
16-21
12-24
26-25
25-15
15-16
30-29
25-22
23-29
23-26
25-26
172.3Avg total
86.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)87.881.7169.5+6.163%
Season at home (28)86.880.8167.5+6.064%
Season away (29)88.882.6171.4+6.362%
Last 10 (10)86.785.6172.3+1.160%
Last 5 (5)85.293.2178.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.598.2180.8-15.825%
vs Similar (6)86.590.0176.5-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.379.2167.6+9.170%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
KumamotoToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H15/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H30/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H12/04
B2.League
79.1Avg total
43.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.078.4+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.134.576.5+7.660%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.580.2+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.535.679.1+7.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.281.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.540.478.9-1.845%-
vs Similar (9)40.637.277.8+3.356%-
vs Weaker (10)45.333.078.3+12.380%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H22/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A26/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A29/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A30/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H06/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/04
B2.League
85.3Avg total
44.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.383.7+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.239.283.4+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)44.639.484.0+5.357%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.085.3+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.490.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.248.294.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (6)43.543.086.5+0.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.336.480.7+7.970%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.3
49.9%
51.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.5
38.2%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.415.4
65.8%
70.7%15.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.125.6
55.5%
51.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.05.3
26.5%
32.9%15.9
🏀 Free throws24.918.4
73.9%
70.7%18.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
WLWWLLWWWL
Toyama
LWLLLWWWWW
#8
League position
#3
+16.3
Net rating
+0.6
111.8
Offensive rating
107.5
95.5
Defensive rating
106.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.8%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
38.7%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.2%
3-point %
26.5%
65.9%
Assist %
72.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 107.5Defence95.5 · 106.8Shooting52.6% · 50.8%3-point %38.2% · 26.5%Ball care19.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds38.7% · 31.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kumamoto wins
3
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
12/04/25Kumamoto v Toyama103-96
08/12/24Toyama v Kumamoto104-77
07/12/24Toyama v Kumamoto85-67
27/05/18Toyama v Kumamoto88-85
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HToyama103-96
06/04/25AKagoshima Rebnise89-93 OT
05/04/25AKagoshima Rebnise85-80
30/03/25HNara112-57
29/03/25HNara64-67
26/03/25AShizuoka78-86
23/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings88-70
22/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings105-50
16/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise86-80
15/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise61-72
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AKumamoto96-103
06/04/25HShinshu96-85
05/04/25HShinshu67-80
30/03/25AAltiri Chiba95-101
29/03/25AAltiri Chiba72-97
26/03/25AAomori93-79
23/03/25HShizuoka88-77
22/03/25HShizuoka89-87 OT
16/03/25AFukui79-71
15/03/25AFukui92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW46%
HomeWWLWW48%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572928
Win %46%48%43%
Points / game79.379.279.4
Allowed / game79.676.882.4
Point differential-0.2+2.4-3.0
Avg total158.9156.0161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%24%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)50% (10)67% (6)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL63%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWWLLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572829
Win %63%64%62%
Points / game87.886.888.8
Allowed / game81.780.882.6
Point differential+6.1+6.0+6.3
Avg total169.5167.5171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%43%48%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5855395%91.674.5+17.2
2 Fukuoka58411771%82.974.1+8.9
3 Shinshu57362163%84.077.6+6.3
4 Toyama57362163%87.881.7+6.1
5 Kagoshima Rebnise58362262%82.378.2+4.1
6 Shizuoka58332557%77.875.6+2.2
7 Fukui57312654%81.879.9+1.9
8 Kumamoto57263146%79.379.6-0.2
9 Kobe57243342%80.182.7-2.5
10 Nara57243342%76.480.7-4.3
11 Yamagata Wyverns57213637%78.381.9-3.5
12 Aomori57203735%77.885.7-7.9
13 Fukushima58144424%72.882.0-9.2
14 Ehime Orange Vikings585539%71.490.3-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto1827192589
Toyama2927192297
← all games of the day
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