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Kvarner vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-70
25-19 16-11 22-23 30-17
Position#1
Record24-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game72.7
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
vs
Gorica
Croatia
Position#4
Record18-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game74.7
CroatiaPrva LigaPrva Liga - Semi-finals· Dvorana Mladosti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kvarner v Gorica
13 Apr 2024
KVAR93
GORI70
23 Dec 2023
KVAR94
GORI71
05 Jan 2017
KVAR73
GORI77
07 May 2016
KVAR88
GORI78
03 Oct 2015
KVAR81
GORI77
10 Jan 2015
KVAR93
GORI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
92-70
92
70
+22
82avg 87
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
62avg 87
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
86avg 87
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-78
72
78
-6
54avg 87
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
102-69
102
69
+33
111avg 87
A03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
79avg 87
H09/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
84-70
84
70
+14
91avg 87
A16/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
107-74
107
74
+33
115avg 87
H23/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
74avg 87
A28/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
95avg 87
H06/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
14-18
34-21
22-16
20-19
11-16
11-27
25-20
21-18
32-18
12-16
27-24
30-11
15-23
14-24
13-20
36-23
22-14
19-20
25-12
20-19
23-9
19-25
18-20
30-15
15-17
21-20
18-18
31-17
31-20
22-24
23-13
20-16
22-23
19-18
14-14
17-14
30-13
28-19
20-26
160.1Avg total
86.6Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)90.372.7162.9+17.692%
Season at home (13)91.470.7162.1+20.792%
Season away (13)89.274.6163.8+14.592%
Last 10 (10)86.673.5160.1+13.180%
Last 5 (5)88.272.0160.2+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.373.0136.3-9.733%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.372.7162.9+17.692%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
85avg 76
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
83-59
83
59
+24
81avg 76
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
80avg 76
A17/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
84-69
84
69
+15
77avg 76
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
67-61
67
61
+6
59avg 76
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
81avg 76
H09/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 76
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
69avg 76
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
58avg 76
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
91-70
91
70
+21
97avg 76
A06/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
16-20
24-13
22-25
22-18
20-13
16-14
25-14
25-29
15-23
18-17
26-20
20-18
18-21
14-20
32-10
15-18
17-13
21-13
14-17
26-15
20-25
11-16
28-21
26-16
19-15
19-28
16-26
30-29
16-12
21-20
15-14
16-20
23-22
18-19
14-14
26-12
22-25
23-11
20-22
154.6Avg total
81.5Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.274.7155.9+6.669%
Season at home (13)83.274.0157.2+9.277%
Season away (13)79.375.3154.6+4.062%
Last 10 (10)81.573.1154.6+8.470%
Last 5 (5)81.876.4158.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.578.0153.5-2.525%
vs Similar (11)79.680.3159.9-0.645%
vs Weaker (14)83.672.2155.8+11.486%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.0+8.0Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.0+8.0Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
KvarnerGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H09/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A16/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H23/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A28/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/04
Prva Liga
80.0Avg total
46.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.936.381.2+8.677%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.934.479.3+10.681%-
Last 30 away (14)44.938.583.4+6.471%-
Last 10 (10)46.233.880.0+12.490%-
Last 5 (5)47.832.680.4+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.033.765.7-1.733%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.336.182.5+10.285%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A17/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H09/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A06/04
Prva Liga
79.5Avg total
41.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.479.4+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.280.8+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)40.337.577.8+2.864%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.779.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.283.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.537.276.8+2.250%-
vs Similar (11)42.038.580.5+3.573%-
vs Weaker (14)41.937.679.5+4.457%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.1
56.5%
52.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.9
38.2%
32.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
71.2%12.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.3
52.5%
52.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.8
33.4%
32.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.410.6
73.6%
71.2%10.6
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarner
WWWWWWLWLW
Gorica
WLWLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#4
+17.9
Net rating
+10.7
114.9
Offensive rating
105.3
97.0
Defensive rating
94.6
56.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.2%
3-point %
33.4%
69.7%
Assist %
61.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 105.3Defence97.0 · 94.6Shooting56.8% · 51.5%3-point %38.2% · 33.4%Ball care17.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.9% · 27.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Kvarner   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Kvarner wins
2
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
28/03/24Gorica v Kvarner71-75
23/12/23Kvarner v Gorica94-71
19/04/17Gorica v Kvarner92-82
05/01/17Kvarner v Gorica73-77
07/05/16Kvarner v Gorica88-78
16/04/16Gorica v Kvarner80-91
09/01/16Gorica v Kvarner70-94
03/10/15Kvarner v Gorica81-77
10/01/15Kvarner v Gorica93-69
30/12/14Gorica v Kvarner86-95
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HOmis95-72
28/03/24AGorica75-71
23/03/24HStoja107-74
16/03/24AKastela84-70
09/03/24HMladost80-73
03/03/24AHermes102-69
24/02/24HOsijek72-78
18/02/24ACrikvenica92-76
14/02/24HCibona67-82
10/02/24HJazine92-70
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24APodstrana91-70
28/03/24HKvarner71-75
23/03/24AOmis82-75
16/03/24HSamobor80-85
09/03/24HStoja85-77
03/03/24AKastela67-61
24/02/24HMladost84-69
17/02/24AHermes84-89
10/02/24HOsijek83-59
03/02/24ACrikvenica88-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game90.391.489.2
Allowed / game72.770.774.6
Point differential+17.6+20.7+14.5
Avg total162.9162.1163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%77%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWLL77%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%77%62%
Points / game81.283.279.3
Allowed / game74.774.075.3
Point differential+6.6+9.2+4.0
Avg total155.9157.2154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%54%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2624292%90.372.7+17.6
2 Osijek2723485%87.774.9+12.7
3 Gorica2618869%81.274.7+6.6
4 Samobor2718967%84.883.1+1.7
5 KK Zagreb2617965%79.771.8+7.9
6 Kastela26151158%79.274.8+4.4
7 Jazine26131350%86.985.5+1.4
8 Hermes26121446%89.789.4+0.2
9 Marsonia26101638%81.286.0-4.8
10 Omis26101638%77.382.2-4.9
11 Mladost2681831%78.284.8-6.6
12 Crikvenica2662023%73.084.9-11.9
13 Stoja2652119%79.790.0-10.3
14 Podstrana2642215%71.385.8-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kvarner2516223093
Gorica1911231770
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