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Shimane vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 64-66
15-16 12-17 25-15 12-18
Position#12
Record27-18
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#15
Record23-22
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game74.9
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium (Matsue)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shimane v Saga
27 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
SHIM80
SAGA77
14 Mar 2026
SHIM91
SAGA96
15 Oct 2025
SHIM79
SAGA87
11 Dec 2024
SHIM85
SAGA55
27 Mar 2024
SHIM64
SAGA66
22 Oct 2023
SHIM61
SAGA58
21 Oct 2023
SHIM87
SAGA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
67avg 76
A04/02
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
92-99
92
99
-7
82avg 76
H07/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
63-68
63
68
-5
54avg 76
H10/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
66-60
66
60
+6
60avg 76
H11/02
B League
Alvark
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 76
A02/03
B League
Alvark
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 76
A03/03
B League
Toyama
#24
W
97-75
97
75
+22
95avg 76
H06/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
103-91
103
91
+12
102avg 76
A20/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 76
A23/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
97-75
97
75
+22
95avg 76
A24/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
20-21
20-15
27-24
21-18
26-29
17-24
28-28
18-15
15-18
15-11
15-24
12-9
12-19
19-14
23-18
20-24
28-18
21-13
18-24
15-24
25-25
15-17
25-24
29-17
22-21
29-21
17-16
28-25
20-24
32-23
23-19
22-15
20-14
20-23
20-24
19-23
28-22
25-15
25-15
164.7Avg total
84.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)84.478.7163.1+5.660%
Season at home (23)83.675.8159.4+7.765%
Season away (22)85.281.7166.9+3.555%
Last 10 (10)84.979.8164.7+5.160%
Last 5 (5)91.881.4173.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.383.3160.7-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.972.2155.1+10.778%
vs Weaker (15)91.480.5171.9+10.967%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 67
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
74-58
74
58
+16
74avg 67
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
72-94
72
94
-22
58avg 67
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 67
H11/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
81-52
81
52
+29
76avg 67
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 67
A03/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
55avg 67
H06/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
74avg 67
A20/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 67
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
86avg 67
A24/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
17-6
13-25
18-20
30-11
16-14
11-13
17-20
24-29
20-24
20-19
8-22
24-30
24-18
13-14
12-18
27-8
13-13
20-14
21-17
19-16
19-25
27-21
22-10
17-19
16-29
16-17
17-20
23-19
24-32
24-9
9-11
14-21
20-11
17-21
14-21
23-23
22-15
19-21
23-19
149.7Avg total
75.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)75.274.9150.1+0.251%
Season at home (23)73.676.9150.5-3.343%
Season away (22)76.872.8149.6+4.059%
Last 10 (10)75.474.3149.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)77.076.0153.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.389.3160.6-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.078.5151.5-5.542%
vs Weaker (11)82.862.5145.4+20.3100%
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
ShimaneSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/02
B League
Nagasaki
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H07/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H11/02
B League
Alvark
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A02/03
B League
Alvark
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A03/03
B League
Toyama
#24
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H06/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A20/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A23/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A24/03
B League
82.1Avg total
41.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.282.9+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.135.679.8+8.564%-
Last 30 away (16)43.442.285.7+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.682.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.087.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.044.082.0-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.636.175.7+3.444%-
vs Weaker (15)48.639.187.7+9.573%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H11/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A03/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H06/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A20/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/03
B League
80.4Avg total
41.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.979.3+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.640.279.8-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)41.437.478.8+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.180.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.081.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.147.184.3-10.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.440.279.6-0.842%-
vs Weaker (11)43.632.375.9+11.482%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.1
55.1%
50.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.3
33.1%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.613.8
78.4%
72.0%13.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.4
52.7%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.410.9
59.2%
72.0%10.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
WWWWLWWLLL
Saga
WLWLWWLLWL
#12
League position
#15
+6.7
Net rating
+0.8
115.0
Offensive rating
102.9
108.3
Defensive rating
102.1
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
33.1%
55.6%
Assist %
61.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 102.9Defence108.3 · 102.1Shooting52.8% · 51.4%3-point %33.1% · 33.1%Ball care14.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.1% · 24.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Shimane   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shimane wins
1
Saga wins
DateGameScore
20/12/23Saga v Shimane80-77
22/10/23Shimane v Saga61-58
21/10/23Shimane v Saga87-74
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles97-75
23/03/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles82-76
20/03/24ADiamond Dolphins103-91
06/03/24HToyama97-75
03/03/24AAlvark80-90
02/03/24AAlvark87-79
11/02/24HSun Rockers Shibuya66-60
10/02/24HSun Rockers Shibuya63-68
07/02/24HNagasaki92-99
04/02/24ANeoPhoenix82-85
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24ABrave Thunders87-78
23/03/24ABrave Thunders65-74
20/03/24ANagasaki80-71
06/03/24HHiroshima D.66-85
03/03/24AHokkaido87-72
02/03/24AHokkaido81-52
11/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles73-80
10/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-94
07/02/24AShinshu74-58
04/02/24HGunma69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLLLWW65%
AwayWLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %60%65%55%
Points / game84.483.685.2
Allowed / game78.775.881.7
Point differential+5.6+7.7+3.5
Avg total163.1159.4166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%35%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)43% (7)0% (4)
Overtime %4%4%5%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW51%
HomeLLLLL43%
AwayWWWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %51%43%59%
Points / game75.273.676.8
Allowed / game74.976.972.8
Point differential+0.2-3.3+4.0
Avg total150.1150.5149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%17%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex4538784%80.868.8+12.0
2 Alvark4536980%82.270.0+12.2
3 NeoPhoenix4536980%89.579.1+10.4
4 Ryukyu45321371%82.276.8+5.4
5 SeaHorses Mikawa45291664%81.375.8+5.6
6 Chiba45291664%85.181.7+3.4
7 Diamond Dolphins45281762%82.279.2+3.1
8 Shimane45271860%84.478.7+5.6
9 Gunma45261958%79.980.1-0.2
10 Hiroshima D.45252056%78.973.9+5.0
11 Brave Thunders45252056%80.877.5+3.4
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya45232251%75.574.8+0.8
13 Saga45232251%75.274.9+0.2
14 Akita45232251%73.974.7-0.8
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles45212447%73.575.3-1.8
16 Yokohama45212447%77.781.5-3.8
17 Sendai45192642%78.480.4-2.0
18 Nagasaki45182740%81.185.2-4.1
19 Osaka45172838%77.782.3-4.6
20 Hokkaido45133229%75.381.5-6.2
21 Kyoto45133229%76.684.3-7.8
22 Ibaraki Robots4583718%75.286.2-11.0
23 Shinshu4563913%71.384.0-12.6
24 Toyama454419%73.785.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane1512251264
Saga1617151866
← all games of the day
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