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Kyoto vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 85-74
21-18 22-15 19-15 23-26
Position#10
Record26-26
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.7
Kyoto 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#18
Record18-34
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game79.2
JapanB League· Kyoto City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kyoto v Saga
18 Oct 2026
KYOT115
SAGA70
16 Apr 2025
KYOT85
SAGA74
06 Oct 2024
KYOT71
SAGA77
05 Oct 2024
KYOT70
SAGA48
21 Apr 2024
KYOT52
SAGA73
20 Apr 2024
KYOT88
SAGA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
W
88-68
88
68
+20
89avg 78
H22/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
63-84
63
84
-21
50avg 78
H23/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
95-75
95
75
+20
98avg 78
A27/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
98avg 78
H29/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
85avg 78
H30/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
95-97
95
97
-2
92avg 78
A05/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
94-95
94
95
-1
91avg 78
A06/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
74-58
74
58
+16
76avg 78
H09/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
82avg 78
A12/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
58avg 78
A13/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
15-16
28-17
20-12
10-21
13-21
15-24
25-18
30-20
21-21
25-14
19-20
30-15
29-30
25-26
13-23
25-17
14-23
23-17
25-22
26-32
24-22
19-18
26-25
15-25
29-21
22-23
28-26
14-12
21-21
21-13
18-12
26-32
14-27
31-25
16-15
16-27
17-26
18-20
18-16
168.7Avg total
84.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)81.780.7162.3+1.050%
Season at home (25)80.178.0158.0+2.156%
Season away (27)83.283.1166.3+0.044%
Last 10 (10)84.983.8168.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)83.887.6171.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.091.3174.3-8.329%
vs Similar (9)79.485.7165.1-6.222%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.773.9157.6+9.879%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
L
69-87
69
87
-18
64avg 68
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
93-82
93
82
+11
94avg 68
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
62avg 68
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
55avg 68
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 68
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 68
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 68
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
81-85
81
85
-4
65avg 68
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 68
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
89-73
89
73
+16
88avg 68
H13/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
18-30
18-19
19-20
34-16
20-29
18-19
21-18
19-22
16-16
25-28
27-7
14-26
15-12
20-23
20-21
25-10
27-27
11-16
24-25
15-27
28-19
17-19
20-14
15-18
20-19
23-23
24-17
25-24
22-20
22-25
12-16
22-24
16-28
27-31
13-15
22-19
24-18
19-20
24-16
162.9Avg total
81.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)75.979.2155.1-3.235%
Season at home (26)78.482.0160.4-3.623%
Season away (26)73.476.3149.7-2.946%
Last 10 (10)81.581.4162.9+0.160%
Last 5 (5)82.082.4164.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.884.8157.5-12.015%
vs Similar (10)78.083.6161.6-5.620%
vs Weaker (7)84.669.7154.3+14.9100%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
KyotoSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H22/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H23/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A27/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H29/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H30/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A05/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A12/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A13/04
B League
86.6Avg total
41.4Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.381.2-1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.777.9-1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)41.543.084.5-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.445.286.6-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.449.089.4-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.350.391.6-9.014%-
vs Similar (9)40.140.680.7-0.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.137.476.4+1.771%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
B League
83.3Avg total
41.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.581.9-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.842.484.2-0.541%-
Last 30 away (13)38.640.479.0-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.283.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.285.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.241.479.6-3.231%-
vs Similar (10)41.543.284.7-1.750%-
vs Weaker (7)43.039.382.3+3.729%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.7
57.6%
51.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
33.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.812.8
68.1%
72.7%12.8
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.0
50.4%
51.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
33.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.4
66.3%
72.7%13.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyoto
LLWLLWWWLW
Saga
WLLWWWLWWL
#10
League position
#18
+1.8
Net rating
+0.9
114.2
Offensive rating
109.0
112.5
Defensive rating
108.1
55.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.2%
3-point %
34.7%
69.4%
Assist %
61.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 109.0Defence112.5 · 108.1Shooting55.6% · 51.0%3-point %35.2% · 34.7%Ball care16.5% · 13.9%Off. rebounds32.0% · 28.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Kyoto   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kyoto wins
4
Saga wins
DateGameScore
29/01/25Saga v Kyoto78-81
06/10/24Kyoto v Saga71-77
05/10/24Kyoto v Saga70-48
21/04/24Kyoto v Saga52-73
20/04/24Kyoto v Saga88-87
31/03/24Saga v Kyoto81-66
30/03/24Saga v Kyoto64-56
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25AUtsunomiya Brex69-89
12/04/25AUtsunomiya Brex87-99
09/04/25HHiroshima D.74-58
06/04/25AOsaka94-95
05/04/25AOsaka95-97
30/03/25HNeoPhoenix87-79
29/03/25HNeoPhoenix97-94
27/03/25AShiga95-75
23/03/25HNagasaki63-84
22/03/25HNagasaki88-68
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HHokkaido89-73
12/04/25HHokkaido78-98
09/04/25HOsaka81-85
06/04/25AShiga82-77
05/04/25AShiga80-79
30/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya87-78
29/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya69-82
26/03/25HShimane87-73
23/03/25AYokohama93-82
22/03/25AYokohama69-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyoto
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522527
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game81.780.183.2
Allowed / game80.778.083.1
Point differential+1.0+2.1+0.0
Avg total162.3158.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%28%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)62% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %8%8%7%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW35%
HomeLWLLW23%
AwayLLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %35%23%46%
Points / game75.978.473.4
Allowed / game79.282.076.3
Point differential-3.2-3.6-2.9
Avg total155.1160.4149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%19%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)0% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix5144786%92.279.4+12.9
2 Utsunomiya Brex5243983%85.675.7+9.9
3 Ryukyu52391375%84.976.2+8.6
4 Alvark52371571%76.571.1+5.4
5 SeaHorses Mikawa52341865%81.475.4+6.0
6 Chiba52341865%81.776.9+4.8
7 Shimane52331963%80.274.5+5.7
8 Gunma52331963%77.672.5+5.0
9 Diamond Dolphins52292356%81.880.6+1.2
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya52282454%73.971.1+2.8
11 Osaka52272552%82.082.8-0.8
12 Kyoto52262650%81.780.7+1.0
13 Akita52252748%73.274.4-1.2
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles52252748%77.879.0-1.2
15 Hiroshima D.52252748%79.482.2-2.7
16 Nagasaki52232944%76.078.1-2.1
17 Yokohama52232944%76.078.7-2.7
18 Hokkaido52193337%75.679.6-4.0
19 Saga52183435%75.979.2-3.2
20 Koshigaya Alphas52163631%75.880.8-4.9
21 Brave Thunders52153729%78.586.9-8.3
22 Ibaraki Robots52114121%72.680.6-8.0
23 Sendai5294317%72.583.5-11.1
24 Shiga5174414%76.990.2-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kyoto2122192385
Saga1815152674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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