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Kyoto vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 82-78
13-22 23-20 19-22 27-14
Position#21
Record13-37
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game84.2
Kyoto 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#17
Record20-30
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game84.3
JapanB League· Kyoto City Gymnasium (Kyoto)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kyoto v Nagasaki
04 Oct 2026
KYOT90
NAGA65
03 Oct 2026
KYOT84
NAGA76
11 Mar 2026
KYOT80
NAGA90
23 Mar 2025
KYOT63
NAGA84
22 Mar 2025
KYOT88
NAGA68
06 May 2024
KYOT102
NAGA105
05 May 2024
KYOT65
NAGA82
10 Apr 2024
KYOT82
NAGA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
W
77-72
77
72
+5
72avg 69
A03/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
80-106
80
106
-26
72avg 69
A06/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
60-75
60
75
-15
51avg 69
H20/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
71-87
71
87
-16
62avg 69
A23/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
53-70
53
70
-17
42avg 69
A24/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
84avg 69
H27/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
56-64
56
64
-8
50avg 69
A30/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
66-81
66
81
-15
59avg 69
A31/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
83-91
83
91
-8
78avg 69
A06/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
78avg 69
A07/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
17-21
19-15
15-15
22-28
20-30
19-29
19-19
18-23
14-14
19-22
9-16
15-28
16-16
24-23
16-20
12-19
15-20
12-12
14-19
24-24
29-22
9-29
21-15
21-2
4-24
17-21
14-17
16-23
15-22
17-23
18-13
28-21
22-18
14-25
19-27
24-19
20-22
23-20
14-27
153.4Avg total
71.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)76.384.2160.4-7.926%
Season at home (24)75.685.1160.8-9.525%
Season away (26)76.983.3160.2-6.427%
Last 10 (10)71.082.4153.4-11.410%
Last 5 (5)73.882.8156.6-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.384.8160.1-9.624%
vs Similar (5)84.882.6167.4+2.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
69avg 74
H03/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 74
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
71-80
71
80
-9
65avg 74
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 74
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
69-102
69
102
-33
56avg 74
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 74
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 74
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
78avg 74
H31/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 74
A06/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 74
A07/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
24-19
19-22
11-24
25-16
27-16
23-27
19-23
19-23
32-24
9-24
11-9
17-26
34-10
23-23
16-17
14-30
23-18
25-32
7-22
16-22
13-11
18-20
21-23
11-16
20-21
21-17
22-13
20-15
9-17
22-26
23-16
25-15
17-32
17-21
26-20
25-16
18-13
27-21
16-15
160.8Avg total
79.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)80.984.3165.2-3.440%
Season at home (27)77.582.9160.4-5.433%
Season away (23)84.986.0170.9-1.148%
Last 10 (10)79.681.2160.8-1.640%
Last 5 (5)78.876.2155.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.787.2165.9-8.531%
vs Similar (9)76.987.4164.3-10.611%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.275.4157.6+6.840%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
KyotoNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A03/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A06/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H20/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A23/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A24/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H27/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A30/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A31/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A06/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A07/04
B League
79.5Avg total
37.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.680.8-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.545.384.7-5.827%-
Last 30 away (19)37.441.178.5-3.642%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.779.5-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.480.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.443.480.8-6.028%-
vs Similar (5)42.038.880.8+3.280%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H03/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H31/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A06/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A07/04
B League
79.9Avg total
41.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.883.1-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.942.281.1-3.435%-
Last 30 away (13)42.243.685.8-1.546%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.679.9+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.670.4-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.144.181.1-7.019%-
vs Similar (9)43.743.987.6-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.637.081.6+7.680%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.9
50.6%
50.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.6
31.5%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
72.0%11.0
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.3
52.3%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.1
31.5%
33.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.110.9
72.2%
72.0%10.9
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyoto
LLLLLLLLLW
Nagasaki
WLLWLLWLWL
#21
League position
#17
-18.0
Net rating
-1.6
99.4
Offensive rating
103.6
117.4
Defensive rating
105.2
49.2%
Effective FG%
50.1%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.5%
3-point %
31.5%
65.1%
Assist %
63.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 103.6Defence117.4 · 105.2Shooting49.2% · 50.1%3-point %31.5% · 31.5%Ball care20.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.1% · 31.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Kyoto   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kyoto wins
0
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
17/01/24Nagasaki v Kyoto75-81
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24ASun Rockers Shibuya81-88
06/04/24ASun Rockers Shibuya83-91
31/03/24ASaga66-81
30/03/24ASaga56-64
27/03/24HDiamond Dolphins83-90
24/03/24ASeaHorses Mikawa53-70
23/03/24ASeaHorses Mikawa71-87
20/03/24HHiroshima D.60-75
06/03/24ARyukyu80-106
03/03/24ASendai77-72
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24AHokkaido86-65
06/04/24AHokkaido85-88
31/03/24HShimane81-85 OT
30/03/24HShimane74-67
27/03/24HRyukyu68-76
24/03/24AYokohama69-102
23/03/24AYokohama90-76
20/03/24HSaga71-80
06/03/24HDiamond Dolphins94-82
03/03/24HGunma78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyoto
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502426
Win %26%25%27%
Points / game76.375.676.9
Allowed / game84.285.183.3
Point differential-7.9-9.5-6.4
Avg total160.4160.8160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%8%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %8%4%12%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLWLLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502723
Win %40%33%48%
Points / game80.977.584.9
Allowed / game84.382.986.0
Point differential-3.4-5.4-1.1
Avg total165.2160.4170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%7%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)67% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5043786%81.569.2+12.3
2 Alvark50401080%81.569.8+11.7
3 NeoPhoenix50401080%90.179.3+10.7
4 Ryukyu50371374%82.477.1+5.4
5 Diamond Dolphins50331766%83.679.1+4.5
6 Chiba50311962%84.881.7+3.1
7 SeaHorses Mikawa50302060%80.676.2+4.4
8 Hiroshima D.50292158%79.774.4+5.4
9 Shimane50292158%83.878.7+5.1
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya50282256%75.574.3+1.3
11 Gunma50282256%80.180.7-0.6
12 Brave Thunders50262452%80.178.5+1.6
13 Saga50262452%74.974.7+0.3
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles50262452%74.674.8-0.2
15 Akita50242648%73.474.7-1.3
16 Sendai50222844%78.980.8-2.0
17 Yokohama50222844%77.881.9-4.1
18 Nagasaki50203040%80.984.3-3.4
19 Osaka50203040%78.682.6-4.0
20 Hokkaido50143628%75.582.6-7.1
21 Kyoto50133726%76.384.2-7.9
22 Ibaraki Robots5094118%76.486.6-10.1
23 Shinshu5064412%71.683.6-12.0
24 Toyama504468%73.686.6-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kyoto1323192782
Nagasaki2220221478
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