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Kyoto vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 70-48
22-9 18-11 13-13 17-15
Position#10
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Kyoto 🏆
Japan
vs
Saga
Japan
Position#18
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
JapanB League· Kyoto City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kyoto v Saga
18 Oct 2026
KYOT115
SAGA70
16 Apr 2025
KYOT85
SAGA74
06 Oct 2024
KYOT71
SAGA77
05 Oct 2024
KYOT70
SAGA48
21 Apr 2024
KYOT52
SAGA73
20 Apr 2024
KYOT88
SAGA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 70
H10/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
101avg 70
A13/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
93-83
93
83
+10
87avg 70
A14/04
B League
Shimane
#12
L
80-92
80
92
-12
75avg 70
H17/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
88-87
88
87
+1
87avg 70
H20/04
B League
Saga
#15
L
52-73
52
73
-21
42avg 70
H21/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
74avg 70
A27/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A28/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
65-82
65
82
-17
62avg 70
H05/05
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
96avg 70
H06/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
23-20
19-22
27-14
20-14
23-27
27-27
17-19
23-26
23-21
19-23
28-13
18-26
17-26
23-21
22-19
33-27
15-22
9-17
31-21
13-18
22-18
13-23
4-14
20-25
29-20
29-19
9-25
17-21
19-19
20-17
21-18
11-19
19-26
19-24
16-13
12-24
20-14
30-26
21-19
169.1Avg total
82.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.686.5169.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)76.684.8161.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)76.084.7160.8-8.726%
vs Similar (3)92.790.3183.0+2.333%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
W
86-74 OT
86
74
+12
76avg 68
H10/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
61-63
61
63
-2
55avg 68
H13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 68
H14/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
83avg 68
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
87-88
87
88
-1
79avg 68
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
66avg 68
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 68
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 68
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
70avg 68
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 68
H06/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
27-18
19-11
10-23
21-20
9-14
12-19
19-10
16-31
21-15
17-18
19-16
13-17
27-24
16-18
22-19
27-33
22-15
17-9
21-31
18-13
18-22
23-13
14-4
9-26
22-17
20-12
14-18
29-22
10-18
21-19
29-20
18-17
18-18
24-25
17-21
7-21
23-17
23-17
15-25
154.7Avg total
77.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.677.1154.7+0.530%
Last 5 (5)74.473.0147.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
vs Similar (14)73.179.4152.4-6.329%
vs Weaker (9)78.664.6143.1+14.089%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
KyotoSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A14/04
B League
Shimane
#12
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H17/04
B League
Saga
#15
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H20/04
B League
Saga
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A28/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H05/05
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H06/05
B League
82.5Avg total
39.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.680.9-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.544.883.2-6.315%-
Last 30 away (17)38.141.079.1-2.941%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.582.5-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.877.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)37.842.980.7-5.126%-
vs Similar (3)42.740.383.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H14/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/05
B League
76.9Avg total
37.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.676.8-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.938.975.7-2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)39.438.477.8+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.876.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.272.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.941.977.7-6.029%-
vs Similar (14)37.740.478.1-2.729%-
vs Weaker (9)40.833.274.0+7.689%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.6
53.5%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.2
35.2%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.613.0
73.9%
72.7%13.0
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.4
46.9%
51.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.8
36.4%
33.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws15.99.4
59.1%
72.7%9.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyoto
LLWLLWLWLW
Saga
LLWLWLLLLW
#10
League position
#18
-4.6
Net rating
+0.7
108.3
Offensive rating
101.0
112.9
Defensive rating
100.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
50.3%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.2%
3-point %
36.4%
64.4%
Assist %
69.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 101.0Defence112.9 · 100.3Shooting53.3% · 50.3%3-point %35.2% · 36.4%Ball care18.7% · 15.6%Off. rebounds30.7% · 24.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Kyoto   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kyoto wins
3
Saga wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24Kyoto v Saga52-73
20/04/24Kyoto v Saga88-87
31/03/24Saga v Kyoto81-66
30/03/24Saga v Kyoto64-56
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/24HNagasaki102-105 OT
05/05/24HNagasaki65-82
28/04/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles77-75
27/04/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles87-89
21/04/24HSaga52-73
20/04/24HSaga88-87
17/04/24HShimane80-92
14/04/24AOsaka93-83
13/04/24AOsaka100-101 OT
10/04/24HNagasaki82-78
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/24HDiamond Dolphins68-80
05/05/24HDiamond Dolphins77-81
28/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa89-79
27/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-73
21/04/24AKyoto73-52
20/04/24AKyoto87-88
17/04/24ARyukyu97-101 OT
14/04/24HNagasaki73-80
13/04/24HNagasaki61-63
10/04/24HOsaka86-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyoto
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gunma220100%80.562.0+18.5
2 Alvark110100%75.057.0+18.0
3 Osaka110100%88.073.0+15.0
4 Nagoya Fighting Eagles110100%79.069.0+10.0
5 SeaHorses Mikawa110100%74.064.0+10.0
6 Nagasaki110100%76.068.0+8.0
7 Chiba110100%91.084.0+7.0
8 Utsunomiya Brex1010%84.091.0-7.0
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya1010%68.076.0-8.0
10 Diamond Dolphins1010%69.079.0-10.0
11 Ibaraki Robots1010%64.074.0-10.0
12 Shiga1010%73.088.0-15.0
13 Koshigaya Alphas1010%57.075.0-18.0
14 Hiroshima D.2020%62.080.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kyoto2218131770
Saga911131548
← all games of the day
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