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Saga vs Kyoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 64-56
2-21 24-4 21-17 17-14
Position#15
Record24-22
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game74.7
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#21
Record13-33
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game84.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Kyoto
20 Dec 2026
SAGA v KYOT
upcoming
19 Dec 2026
SAGA v KYOT
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAGA83
KYOT87
11 Apr 2026
SAGA90
KYOT89
29 Jan 2025
SAGA78
KYOT81
31 Mar 2024
SAGA81
KYOT66
30 Mar 2024
SAGA64
KYOT56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
W
74-58
74
58
+16
74avg 67
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
72-94
72
94
-22
58avg 67
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 67
H11/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
81-52
81
52
+29
76avg 67
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 67
A03/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
55avg 67
H06/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
74avg 67
A20/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 67
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
86avg 67
A24/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 67
A27/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-11
16-14
11-13
17-20
24-29
20-24
20-19
8-22
24-30
24-18
13-14
12-18
27-8
13-13
20-14
21-17
19-16
19-25
27-21
22-10
17-19
16-29
16-17
17-20
23-19
24-32
24-9
9-11
14-21
20-11
17-21
14-21
23-23
22-15
19-21
23-19
16-15
17-12
15-25
18-12
147.9Avg total
75.1Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)75.074.7149.6+0.352%
Season at home (23)73.676.9150.5-3.343%
Season away (23)76.372.4148.7+3.961%
Last 10 (10)75.172.8147.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)72.874.4147.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.389.3160.6-18.00%
vs Similar (13)72.577.4149.8-4.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.264.3147.5+18.9100%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
A07/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
68-88
68
88
-20
60avg 69
H10/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
79avg 69
H11/02
B League
Sendai
#16
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 69
A02/03
B League
Sendai
#16
W
77-72
77
72
+5
72avg 69
A03/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
80-106
80
106
-26
72avg 69
A06/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
60-75
60
75
-15
51avg 69
H20/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
71-87
71
87
-16
62avg 69
A23/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
53-70
53
70
-17
42avg 69
A24/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
84avg 69
H27/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
13-16
24-23
13-20
22-27
22-17
13-24
11-20
25-25
16-23
18-19
23-22
10-17
22-19
20-24
20-25
26-21
17-21
19-15
15-15
22-28
20-30
19-29
19-19
18-23
14-14
19-22
9-16
15-28
16-16
24-23
16-20
12-19
15-20
12-12
14-19
24-24
29-22
9-29
21-15
158.0Avg total
73.1Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)76.784.4161.1-7.728%
Season at home (24)75.685.1160.8-9.525%
Season away (22)77.983.7161.5-5.832%
Last 10 (10)73.184.9158.0-11.810%
Last 5 (5)69.485.6155.0-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.985.6161.5-9.828%
vs Similar (5)84.882.6167.4+2.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.0-3.0
SagaKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H11/02
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A03/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H06/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A20/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A27/03
B League
79.2Avg total
40.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.279.3+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.640.279.8-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)40.937.978.8+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.479.2+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.277.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.147.184.3-10.014%-
vs Similar (13)38.939.278.1-0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.933.677.5+10.380%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H10/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H11/02
B League
Sendai
#16
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A02/03
B League
Sendai
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A03/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A06/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H20/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A23/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A24/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H27/03
B League
81.1Avg total
38.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.243.982.1-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.945.684.5-6.629%-
Last 30 away (16)37.642.480.0-4.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.781.1-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.881.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.544.982.4-7.424%-
vs Similar (5)42.038.880.8+3.280%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.7
51.6%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.0
33.2%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.111.5
60.2%
72.0%11.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.5
52.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.7
30.1%
33.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.810.1
68.2%
72.0%10.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWLWLWWLLW
Kyoto
LLLLLWLLLL
#15
League position
#21
+2.0
Net rating
-21.5
103.0
Offensive rating
99.9
101.1
Defensive rating
121.4
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.2%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
20.7%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.2%
3-point %
30.1%
63.3%
Assist %
67.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 99.9Defence101.1 · 121.4Shooting50.8% · 49.2%3-point %33.2% · 30.1%Ball care15.3% · 20.7%Off. rebounds23.8% · 34.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Saga   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
0
Kyoto wins
No previous meetings.
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24AShimane66-64
24/03/24ABrave Thunders87-78
23/03/24ABrave Thunders65-74
20/03/24ANagasaki80-71
06/03/24HHiroshima D.66-85
03/03/24AHokkaido87-72
02/03/24AHokkaido81-52
11/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles73-80
10/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-94
07/02/24AShinshu74-58
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HDiamond Dolphins83-90
24/03/24ASeaHorses Mikawa53-70
23/03/24ASeaHorses Mikawa71-87
20/03/24HHiroshima D.60-75
06/03/24ARyukyu80-106
03/03/24ASendai77-72
02/03/24ASendai72-85
11/02/24HDiamond Dolphins82-89
10/02/24HDiamond Dolphins68-88
07/02/24AOsaka85-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW52%
HomeLLLLL43%
AwayWWLWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %52%43%61%
Points / game75.073.676.3
Allowed / game74.776.972.4
Point differential+0.3-3.3+3.9
Avg total149.6150.5148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%17%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Kyoto
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLWLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %28%25%32%
Points / game76.775.677.9
Allowed / game84.485.183.7
Point differential-7.7-9.5-5.8
Avg total161.1160.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%8%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %9%4%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex4740785%81.269.0+12.1
2 Alvark4738981%82.570.1+12.4
3 NeoPhoenix4637980%89.879.2+10.6
4 Ryukyu46331372%82.076.6+5.4
5 Diamond Dolphins47301764%82.879.4+3.5
6 Chiba47301764%84.981.9+3.1
7 SeaHorses Mikawa47291862%81.376.6+4.7
8 Shimane46271959%83.978.4+5.5
9 Hiroshima D.47262155%78.974.3+4.6
10 Brave Thunders47262155%80.677.4+3.2
11 Gunma47262155%79.880.4-0.7
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya47252253%75.174.2+1.0
13 Saga46242252%75.074.7+0.3
14 Akita47242351%73.974.5-0.5
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles47232449%73.774.9-1.2
16 Yokohama47212645%77.381.4-4.1
17 Sendai46202643%78.480.2-1.8
18 Osaka47192840%78.181.8-3.7
19 Nagasaki46182839%80.885.0-4.2
20 Kyoto46133328%76.784.4-7.7
21 Hokkaido47133428%75.282.1-7.0
22 Ibaraki Robots4683817%75.286.1-10.9
23 Shinshu4764113%71.083.4-12.4
24 Toyama474439%73.785.9-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga224211764
Kyoto214171456
← all games of the day
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