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Lebanon vs South Korea Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 93-74
18-24 20-17 25-19 30-14
Position#18
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game72.3
Lebanon 🏆
vs
Position#46
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Nouhad Nawfal Sports Complex
Other2027
Meetings · Lebanon v South Korea
27 Aug 2026
LEBA93
SOUT74
24 Feb 2019
LEBA72
SOUT84
08 Aug 2017
LEBA72
SOUT66
03 Oct 2015
LEBA88
SOUT87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lebanon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Korea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
H08/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
97-73
97
73
+24
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A27/11
World Cup
Qatar
#50
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H30/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H27/02
World Cup
India
#91
W
99-56
99
56
+43
H29/06
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A02/07
World Cup
India
#91
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A05/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-31
24-27
22-26
20-9
17-26
19-26
20-22
30-23
23-19
30-22
28-23
16-9
32-12
13-18
17-26
24-34
21-9
12-17
17-17
25-31
19-14
19-21
17-25
28-26
26-17
25-16
28-13
15-18
25-13
28-16
25-14
21-13
22-19
19-23
22-24
25-16
28-15
20-23
27-16
23-18
167.3Avg total
88.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.572.3161.8+17.283%
Season at home (3)92.068.7160.7+23.367%
Season away (3)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.678.7167.3+9.960%
Last 5 (5)92.472.0164.4+20.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.496.6176.0-17.114%
vs Similar (2)85.074.0159.0+11.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.077.4167.5+12.686%
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar
#13
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H08/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H10/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
99-66
99
66
+33
H12/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A14/08
Asia Cup
China
#30
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A28/11
World Cup
China
#30
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H01/12
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A26/02
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A01/03
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
H03/07
World Cup
Japan
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H06/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
28-16
22-23
22-22
26-17
26-19
22-20
23-30
17-18
33-10
26-17
23-21
24-25
11-21
20-18
16-15
24-16
23-18
14-18
19-24
28-13
24-16
28-23
10-24
18-21
15-22
18-17
14-17
16-15
22-27
17-12
17-24
25-17
16-13
24-19
10-26
25-25
10-12
20-17
26-25
161.4Avg total
83.2Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.078.0156.0+0.050%
Season at home (3)83.779.0162.7+4.767%
Season away (3)72.377.0149.3-4.733%
Last 10 (10)83.278.2161.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)77.678.4156.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.387.7162.0-13.518%
vs Similar (4)85.280.2165.5+5.075%
vs Weaker (15)85.371.8157.1+13.580%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -4.8-4.8
LebanonSouth Korea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#1
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H08/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A27/11
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H27/02
World Cup
India
#91
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H29/06
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/07
World Cup
India
#91
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A05/07
World Cup
82.0Avg total
43.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.183.1+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.040.181.1+0.962%-
Last 30 away (17)44.640.184.6+4.565%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.482.0+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.481.6+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.348.986.1-11.614%-
vs Similar (2)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.237.282.4+8.081%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H08/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A14/08
Asia Cup
China
#30
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A28/11
World Cup
China
#30
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H01/12
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A26/02
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A01/03
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H03/07
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/07
World Cup
79.9Avg total
43.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.781.7+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.336.381.6+9.069%-
Last 30 away (14)40.441.481.8-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)43.636.379.9+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.276.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.544.982.4-7.527%-
vs Similar (4)47.037.084.0+10.075%-
vs Weaker (15)46.134.580.6+11.573%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.2
55.2%
-52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
-21.6
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
-14.1
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.1
54.3%
-44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.7
32.6%
-29.1
🏀 Free throws17.212.4
72.1%
-12.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lebanon
WWWWLWLWLL
South Korea
WLLLWWLWWW
#18
League position
#46
+10.4
Net rating
+8.5
110.9
Offensive rating
108.4
100.4
Defensive rating
99.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.9%
3-point %
32.6%
65.3%
Assist %
73.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Lebanon   ■ South Korea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lebanon wins
4
South Korea wins
DateGameScore
10/08/25South Korea v Lebanon97-86
24/02/19Lebanon v South Korea72-84
29/11/18South Korea v Lebanon84-71
08/08/17Lebanon v South Korea72-66
03/10/15Lebanon v South Korea88-87
27/09/15South Korea v Lebanon85-71
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/26AIndia98-72
02/07/26ASaudi Arabia88-82
29/06/26HIndia99-56
27/02/26HSaudi Arabia94-64
30/11/25HQatar83-86
27/11/25AQatar75-74
14/08/25ANew Zealand86-90
12/08/25AJapan97-73
10/08/25ASouth Korea86-97
08/08/25HAustralia80-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/26HJapan81-79
03/07/26HChinese Taipei80-82 OT
01/03/26AJapan72-78
26/02/26AChinese Taipei65-77
01/12/25HChina90-76
28/11/25AChina80-76
14/08/25AChina71-79
12/08/25HGuam99-66
10/08/25HLebanon97-86
08/08/25HQatar97-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lebanon
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game89.592.087.0
Allowed / game72.368.776.0
Point differential+17.2+23.3+11.0
Avg total161.8160.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Korea
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game78.083.772.3
Allowed / game78.079.077.0
Point differential+0.0+4.7-4.7
Avg total156.0162.7149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%94.267.2+27.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada660100%104.081.8+22.2
4 Brazil660100%93.775.3+18.3
5 Poland660100%94.379.3+15.0
6 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
7 Croatia109190%97.570.3+27.2
8 Ivory Coast76186%93.175.4+17.7
9 Cameroon76186%76.970.4+6.4
10 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
11 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
12 Argentina65183%86.266.7+19.5
13 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
14 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
15 Uruguay65183%83.568.2+15.3
16 Germany65183%92.380.0+12.3
17 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
18 France65183%84.272.8+11.3
19 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
20 Dominican Republic43175%91.277.8+13.5
21 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
22 South Sudan75271%82.466.1+16.3
23 Angola75271%86.971.9+15.0
24 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
25 Mali75271%80.175.6+4.6
26 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
27 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
28 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
29 Serbia64267%86.581.3+5.2
30 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Guinea74357%72.366.7+5.6
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Nigeria74357%77.175.1+2.0
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
38 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
39 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
40 Latvia63350%83.777.5+6.2
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
45 Netherlands105550%80.377.3+3.0
46 Slovenia63350%85.583.5+2.0
47 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
48 South Korea63350%78.078.0+0.0
49 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
50 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
51 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
52 Colombia63350%83.288.0-4.8
53 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
54 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
55 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
56 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
57 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
58 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
59 Bosnia & Herzegovina62433%79.077.2+1.8
60 Israel62433%79.779.5+0.2
61 Philippines62433%77.579.5-2.0
62 Puerto Rico62433%89.592.2-2.7
63 Bahamas62433%90.593.5-3.0
64 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
65 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
66 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
67 Panama62433%75.887.5-11.7
68 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
69 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
70 D.R. Congo72529%66.685.0-18.4
71 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
72 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lebanon1820253093
South Korea2417191474
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