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Leiden vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 58-88
13-17 7-27 20-24 18-20
Position#14
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game62.0
vs
Position#2
Record8-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game70.9
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Vijf Meihal
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 69
H19/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
W
72-70
72
70
+2
62avg 69
A28/11
BNXT League
BS Leiden
#16
W
100-47
100
47
+53
no box
A02/12
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 69
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 69
A10/12
BNXT League
Varese
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
74avg 69
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
A16/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
H20/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#2
L
55-70
55
70
-15
47avg 69
H23/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
78-58
78
58
+20
76avg 69
H06/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
18-23
23-17
19-19
28-16
16-16
13-21
15-17
27-8
21-12
34-12
18-15
19-23
24-19
18-17
16-23
21-18
16-19
15-29
27-17
19-18
20-27
19-21
24-13
18-13
21-14
28-15
14-23
10-17
12-13
22-15
20-29
13-18
10-11
16-19
16-22
17-14
29-11
12-19
20-14
147.8Avg total
77.3Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.662.0128.6+4.671%
Season at home (3)78.075.7153.7+2.367%
Season away (4)58.051.8109.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)77.370.5147.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)72.069.2141.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)65.275.3140.5-10.233%
vs Similar (10)75.969.9145.8+6.080%
vs Weaker (11)83.666.4150.0+17.391%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 80
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
73avg 80
A03/12
BBL
Varese
#7
W
109-85
109
85
+24
108avg 80
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
72avg 80
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
95-79
95
79
+16
91avg 80
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
93-69
93
69
+24
94avg 80
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 80
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
95-67
95
67
+28
95avg 80
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
81avg 80
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
85-66
85
66
+19
81avg 80
H06/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
19-22
27-21
24-26
20-14
18-12
19-19
22-13
35-16
27-25
18-29
29-15
20-22
19-17
21-30
18-18
25-20
15-17
25-25
30-17
25-20
28-14
25-18
15-17
20-23
19-17
22-17
20-23
26-26
22-14
29-9
18-18
19-34
26-26
25-20
20-21
14-16
24-14
15-16
32-20
168.0Avg total
90.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.470.9164.2+22.5100%
Season at home (4)98.073.2171.2+24.8100%
Season away (4)88.868.5157.2+20.2100%
Last 10 (10)90.177.9168.0+12.280%
Last 5 (5)88.876.6165.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.792.7167.3-18.00%
vs Similar (5)83.286.2169.4-3.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.571.1160.6+18.495%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
LeidenChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H19/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/11
BNXT League
BS Leiden
#16
W
48-20
48
20
+28
A02/12
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/12
BNXT League
Varese
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A16/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H20/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#2
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H23/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H06/01
BNXT League
71.2Avg total
38.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.733.671.3+4.269%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.633.470.0+3.364%-
Last 30 away (15)38.733.772.5+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.871.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.831.265.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.237.869.0-6.733%-
vs Similar (10)36.534.270.7+2.360%-
vs Weaker (11)42.032.274.2+9.891%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A03/12
BBL
Varese
#7
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/01
BBL
83.4Avg total
44.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.880.7+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.337.082.3+8.380%-
Last 30 away (15)40.438.779.1+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.783.4+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.885.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.347.085.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (5)41.046.087.0-5.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.934.778.6+9.282%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.120.2
45.8%
52.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.7
34.1%
33.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws12.98.9
69.0%
73.0%8.9
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.9
58.4%
52.2%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.5
38.2%
33.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.815.5
74.5%
73.0%15.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WLLWWLLWWW
Chemnitz
WLWWWWLWWW
#14
League position
#2
-0.8
Net rating
+16.8
100.9
Offensive rating
118.8
101.7
Defensive rating
102.0
47.6%
Effective FG%
58.0%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.1%
3-point %
38.2%
63.4%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 118.8Defence101.7 · 102.0Shooting47.6% · 58.0%3-point %34.1% · 38.2%Ball care16.0% · 19.0%Off. rebounds30.7% · 35.7%Free throws0.19 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Leiden   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leiden wins
0
Chemnitz wins
No previous meetings.
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HFeyenoord78-58
23/12/23HDen Bosch55-70
20/12/23HQSTA Utd64-74
16/12/23AQSTA Utd81-65
13/12/23AVarese82-79
10/12/23AQSTA Utd79-83
06/12/23HCSM Oradea77-82
02/12/23ABS Leiden100-47
28/11/23ADonar Groningen72-70
19/11/23HDonar Groningen85-77
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HLudwigsburg85-66
31/12/23AAlba Berlin90-101
26/12/23HCrailsheim Merlins95-67
20/12/23AVechta81-80
16/12/23HHeidelberg93-69
13/12/23ACSM Oradea95-79
09/12/23HUlm78-87
06/12/23HVarese109-85
03/12/23AOldenburg79-58
24/11/23HHamburg96-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game66.678.058.0
Allowed / game62.075.751.8
Point differential+4.6+2.3+6.2
Avg total128.6153.7109.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.498.088.8
Allowed / game70.973.268.5
Point differential+22.5+24.8+20.2
Avg total164.2171.2157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz880100%93.470.9+22.5
2 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
3 Bilbao990100%83.267.3+15.9
4 Bahcesehir Kol.98189%91.176.4+14.7
5 Nymburk97278%86.974.8+12.1
6 Legia97278%88.079.4+8.6
7 Basket Zaragoza97278%80.675.1+5.4
8 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
9 Leiden75271%66.662.0+4.6
10 Gottingen96367%87.780.7+7.0
11 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
12 FC Porto117464%83.577.4+6.1
13 Manisa117464%77.374.8+2.5
14 CSM Oradea85362%87.282.4+4.9
15 Varese85362%93.490.0+3.4
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque74357%71.365.1+6.1
17 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Jonava94544%84.788.6-3.9
29 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
30 Sporting CP73443%83.984.9-1.0
31 Balkan73443%74.482.1-7.7
32 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
35 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden137201858
Chemnitz1727242088
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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