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Leiden vs Zwolle Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
3.8/10
Below normal
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leiden v Zwolle
27 Mar 2027
LEI v ZWO
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
LEI88
ZWO92
13 May 2025
LEI103
ZWO71
18 Oct 2024
LEI87
ZWO94
19 May 2024
LEI79
ZWO71
15 May 2024
LEI68
ZWO60
28 Oct 2023
LEI74
ZWO65
17 Sep 2023
LEI62
ZWO57
07 Jan 2023
LEI76
ZWO65
14 May 2022
LEI71
ZWO69
10 May 2022
LEI91
ZWO79
04 Dec 2021
LEI73
ZWO80
20 May 2021
LEI91
ZWO74
15 May 2021
LEI97
ZWO87
31 Mar 2021
LEI96
ZWO93
10 Mar 2021
LEI82
ZWO91
18 Jan 2020
LEI92
ZWO98
05 Oct 2019
LEI82
ZWO73
09 Mar 2019
LEI79
ZWO82
10 Nov 2018
LEI82
ZWO87
15 May 2018
LEI63
ZWO60
10 May 2018
LEI78
ZWO74
03 Mar 2018
LEI64
ZWO71
28 Oct 2017
LEI74
ZWO64
09 May 2017
LEI84
ZWO60
02 May 2017
LEI76
ZWO67
26 Apr 2017
LEI81
ZWO92
25 Feb 2017
LEI55
ZWO66
12 Nov 2016
LEI78
ZWO69
31 Mar 2016
LEI65
ZWO72
12 Dec 2015
LEI67
ZWO55
14 Feb 2015
LEI93
ZWO80
29 Oct 2014
LEI76
ZWO54
29 Apr 2014
LEI61
ZWO57
24 Apr 2014
LEI77
ZWO58
19 Apr 2014
LEI79
ZWO75
15 Jan 2014
LEI76
ZWO73
30 Mar 2013
LEI75
ZWO62
13 Oct 2012
LEI66
ZWO56
08 May 2012
LEI63
ZWO69
03 May 2012
LEI76
ZWO63
28 Jan 2012
LEI65
ZWO58
08 Oct 2011
LEI71
ZWO58
27 Jan 2011
LEI82
ZWO72
16 Oct 2010
LEI78
ZWO52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 74
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 74
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
119avg 74
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 74
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
61-77
61
77
-16
46avg 74
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 74
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 74
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
72avg 74
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
no box
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
17-24
22-19
26-25
18-28
27-21
20-26
21-22
31-10
17-20
20-23
17-24
11-15
164.3Avg total
84.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.178.4155.6-1.343%
Season at home (4)75.283.0158.2-7.825%
Season away (3)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)84.380.0164.3+4.360%
Last 5 (5)80.680.2160.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.986.1160.0-12.210%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.485.3170.8+0.144%
vs Weaker (11)82.276.0158.2+6.273%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
61-69
61
69
-8
53avg 70
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
63avg 70
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#28
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 70
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
69avg 70
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
70-98
70
98
-28
no box
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
74-57
74
57
+17
72avg 70
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
65-89
65
89
-24
50avg 70
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
62avg 70
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
A06/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
H15/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
16-15
10-10
18-24
16-24
15-18
25-25
14-16
33-22
12-21
16-22
17-24
16-11
15-23
16-15
23-10
25-14
13-26
17-31
15-27
24-15
15-15
17-15
18-12
23-19
16-20
14-28
12-22
12-22
18-17
18-26
25-6
18-25
21-23
25-18
20-22
22-22
14-23
25-19
27-20
152.0Avg total
73.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.978.0152.9-3.157%
Season at home (4)74.075.8149.8-1.875%
Season away (3)76.081.0157.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)73.378.7152.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)76.877.8154.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.390.2168.5-11.831%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.169.4141.5+2.862%
vs Weaker (8)87.276.6163.9+10.675%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
LeidenZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H14/11
BNXT League
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.381.7-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.484.6-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.078.4-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.644.483.0-5.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.242.782.9-2.433%-
vs Weaker (11)39.540.079.5-0.555%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#28
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/11
BNXT League
75.6Avg total
36.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.679.9-1.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.641.980.5-3.225%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.179.1+1.036%-
Last 10 (10)36.139.575.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.276.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.543.785.2-2.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.135.868.9-2.625%-
vs Weaker (8)41.240.081.2+1.238%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.3
54.5%
53.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
71.0%13.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.0
52.0%
53.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.2
32.7%
32.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.711.6
69.5%
71.0%11.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWLLWLWWWW
Zwolle
WLWLWLWLLL
#10
League position
#8
+2.4
Net rating
-3.2
96.4
Offensive rating
86.7
94.0
Defensive rating
89.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.0%
3-point %
32.7%
61.3%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 86.7Defence94.0 · 89.9Shooting52.5% · 50.8%3-point %33.0% · 32.7%Ball care15.8% · 18.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Leiden   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Leiden wins
2
Zwolle wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Leiden v Zwolle88-92
23/12/25Zwolle v Leiden81-90
15/05/25Zwolle v Leiden81-83
13/05/25Leiden v Zwolle103-71
02/02/25Zwolle v Leiden75-78
18/10/24Leiden v Zwolle87-94
19/05/24Leiden v Zwolle79-71
17/05/24Zwolle v Leiden58-64
15/05/24Leiden v Zwolle68-60
14/01/24Zwolle v Leiden71-76
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOostende65-82
07/11/26ABelfius Mons99-79
31/10/26HDonar Groningen83-96
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLimburg88-84
06/11/26ACB Liege84-88
01/11/26HKortrijk73-71
25/10/26HBrussels Basketball65-89
17/10/26ABelfius Mons74-57
10/10/26AOostende70-98
04/10/26HDen Bosch70-59
16/09/26ABakken Bears78-89
09/05/26HKortrijk70-83
06/05/26ALeuven Bears61-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game77.175.279.7
Allowed / game78.483.072.3
Point differential-1.3-7.8+7.3
Avg total155.6158.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zwolle
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game74.974.076.0
Allowed / game78.075.881.0
Point differential-3.1-1.8-5.0
Avg total152.9149.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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