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Leiden vs Zwolle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-92
15-36 13-19 29-15 31-22
Position#10
Record13-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Zwolle 🏆
Position#14
Record6-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game83.9
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 22· Sportcomplex
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leiden v Zwolle
27 Mar 2027
LEI v ZWO
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
LEI88
ZWO92
13 May 2025
LEI103
ZWO71
18 Oct 2024
LEI87
ZWO94
19 May 2024
LEI79
ZWO71
15 May 2024
LEI68
ZWO60
28 Oct 2023
LEI74
ZWO65
17 Sep 2023
LEI62
ZWO57
07 Jan 2023
LEI76
ZWO65
14 May 2022
LEI71
ZWO69
10 May 2022
LEI91
ZWO79
04 Dec 2021
LEI73
ZWO80
20 May 2021
LEI91
ZWO74
15 May 2021
LEI97
ZWO87
31 Mar 2021
LEI96
ZWO93
10 Mar 2021
LEI82
ZWO91
18 Jan 2020
LEI92
ZWO98
05 Oct 2019
LEI82
ZWO73
09 Mar 2019
LEI79
ZWO82
10 Nov 2018
LEI82
ZWO87
15 May 2018
LEI63
ZWO60
10 May 2018
LEI78
ZWO74
03 Mar 2018
LEI64
ZWO71
28 Oct 2017
LEI74
ZWO64
09 May 2017
LEI84
ZWO60
02 May 2017
LEI76
ZWO67
26 Apr 2017
LEI81
ZWO92
25 Feb 2017
LEI55
ZWO66
12 Nov 2016
LEI78
ZWO69
31 Mar 2016
LEI65
ZWO72
12 Dec 2015
LEI67
ZWO55
14 Feb 2015
LEI93
ZWO80
29 Oct 2014
LEI76
ZWO54
29 Apr 2014
LEI61
ZWO57
24 Apr 2014
LEI77
ZWO58
19 Apr 2014
LEI79
ZWO75
15 Jan 2014
LEI76
ZWO73
30 Mar 2013
LEI75
ZWO62
13 Oct 2012
LEI66
ZWO56
08 May 2012
LEI63
ZWO69
03 May 2012
LEI76
ZWO63
28 Jan 2012
LEI65
ZWO58
08 Oct 2011
LEI71
ZWO58
27 Jan 2011
LEI82
ZWO72
16 Oct 2010
LEI78
ZWO52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 76
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 76
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 76
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 76
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
no box
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 76
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 76
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 76
A14/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
102-96
102
96
+6
103avg 76
H18/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 76
A21/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
14-22
19-19
34-13
25-18
24-26
16-18
25-19
27-22
18-35
19-16
25-22
17-11
26-19
13-25
19-22
13-23
23-23
13-13
12-17
23-23
17-18
18-18
17-14
26-17
24-16
13-19
17-13
14-19
17-28
22-15
20-28
23-19
21-31
22-23
36-23
10-23
16-21
19-14
27-19
160.9Avg total
80.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.980.4167.3+6.562%
Season at home (10)96.181.3177.4+14.880%
Season away (11)78.579.6158.2-1.145%
Last 10 (10)80.780.2160.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)80.480.2160.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.486.8161.1-12.412%
vs Similar (7)88.484.3172.7+4.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.576.8165.3+11.780%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
67-87
67
87
-20
65avg 73
A19/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
77avg 73
H23/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
87-58
87
58
+29
86avg 73
H27/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
54avg 73
A10/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
A18/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
46avg 73
H25/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
75-97
75
97
-22
67avg 73
A01/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
61avg 73
H15/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 73
A18/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
95-104
95
104
-9
91avg 73
H22/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
15-18
18-15
14-30
18-25
26-24
18-16
19-25
28-15
24-21
20-11
15-11
18-23
24-31
21-25
8-19
24-16
18-21
29-18
20-22
17-31
15-22
17-18
14-18
24-27
25-23
10-24
16-23
25-18
14-17
17-15
16-17
15-23
21-11
24-17
10-22
23-28
19-18
27-35
26-23
161.2Avg total
77.2Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.883.9162.7-5.029%
Season at home (10)82.284.3166.5-2.130%
Season away (11)75.783.5159.2-7.727%
Last 10 (10)77.284.0161.2-6.830%
Last 5 (5)75.086.0161.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.990.4168.3-12.411%
vs Similar (8)78.883.8162.5-5.025%
vs Weaker (3)89.774.0163.7+15.767%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -5.2-5.2
LeidenZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H18/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/02
BNXT League
83.3Avg total
40.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.786.2+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.843.289.0+2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)41.742.484.1-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.283.3-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.081.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.445.985.2-6.525%-
vs Similar (7)42.742.785.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.041.187.1+4.960%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A19/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H23/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H27/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A10/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A18/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H25/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A01/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H15/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A18/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H22/02
BNXT League
84.9Avg total
41.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.384.5-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.042.685.6+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)39.643.983.5-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.684.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.683.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.146.386.3-6.221%-
vs Similar (8)41.237.678.9+3.662%-
vs Weaker (3)48.339.788.0+8.7100%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.6
58.7%
54.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
34.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
72.4%14.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.6
54.2%
54.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.4
32.1%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.314.7
80.3%
72.4%14.7
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWLWWLLLWW
Zwolle
LLWLLWLWLL
#10
League position
#14
+0.4
Net rating
-9.7
100.4
Offensive rating
94.3
100.0
Defensive rating
103.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.2%
3-point %
32.1%
61.7%
Assist %
63.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 94.3Defence100.0 · 103.9Shooting54.8% · 51.6%3-point %32.2% · 32.1%Ball care19.1% · 18.0%Off. rebounds27.9% · 22.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Leiden   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Leiden wins
1
Zwolle wins
DateGameScore
23/12/25Zwolle v Leiden81-90
15/05/25Zwolle v Leiden81-83
13/05/25Leiden v Zwolle103-71
02/02/25Zwolle v Leiden75-78
18/10/24Leiden v Zwolle87-94
19/05/24Leiden v Zwolle79-71
17/05/24Zwolle v Leiden58-64
15/05/24Leiden v Zwolle68-60
14/01/24Zwolle v Leiden71-76
28/10/23Leiden v Zwolle74-65
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ABelfius Mons72-77
18/02/26HBrussels Basketball102-96
14/02/26ALeuven Bears73-90
31/01/26HBAL Weert80-65
23/01/26ARotterdam75-73
17/01/26AOostende61-76
10/01/26HLimburg75-77
27/12/25HDen Bosch89-95
23/12/25AZwolle90-81
20/12/25HLeuven Bears90-72
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HOkapi Aalst95-104
18/02/26ADen Helder70-73
15/02/26HMechelen72-67
01/02/26ABrussels Basketball75-97
25/01/26HOostende63-89
18/01/26ADen Bosch91-77
10/01/26AAntwerp Giants71-98
27/12/25HBAL Weert87-58
23/12/25HLeiden81-90
19/12/25AKortrijk67-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWLLWW80%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%80%45%
Points / game86.996.178.5
Allowed / game80.481.379.6
Point differential+6.5+14.8-1.1
Avg total167.3177.4158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zwolle
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLWLWL30%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%30%27%
Points / game78.882.275.7
Allowed / game83.984.383.5
Point differential-5.0-2.1-7.7
Avg total162.7166.5159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2017385%96.277.1+19.1
2 Oostende2116576%88.480.7+7.8
3 Okapi Aalst2115671%94.887.0+7.8
4 Kortrijk2215768%88.180.9+7.2
5 Leiden2113862%86.980.4+6.5
6 Den Bosch2113862%87.483.0+4.4
7 Mechelen2113862%78.179.7-1.6
8 Limburg2213959%89.580.3+9.3
9 Donar Groningen1810856%82.183.6-1.5
10 Brussels Basketball21111052%85.082.3+2.8
11 Leuven Bears21111052%80.878.8+2.0
12 Spirou Charleroi1981142%83.589.1-5.5
13 Belfius Mons2181338%85.191.5-6.4
14 LWD Basket2061430%85.094.9-9.9
15 Zwolle2161529%78.883.9-5.0
16 Den Helder2161529%79.886.1-6.3
17 Rotterdam2031715%77.691.2-13.6
18 BAL Weert2121910%69.487.8-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1513293188
Zwolle3619152292
← all games of the day
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