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Leuven Bears vs Donar Groningen Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Donar Groningen
17 Feb 2027
LEUV v DGR
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
LEUV86
DGR78
03 May 2025
LEUV75
DGR73
09 Apr 2022
LEUV88
DGR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 66
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 66
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 66
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
45avg 66
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 66
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
72-69
72
69
+3
72avg 66
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
55avg 66
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
54-66
54
66
-12
45avg 66
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
16-28
24-23
25-21
20-17
15-16
10-10
24-18
15-11
16-18
21-15
25-21
20-15
25-17
16-18
8-15
13-11
17-29
23-22
25-19
16-22
26-13
12-23
18-11
11-11
14-14
17-22
25-17
21-16
12-15
18-18
3-17
14-15
33-31
17-19
17-21
25-25
11-23
12-20
20-23
146.6Avg total
72.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.974.6144.4-4.743%
Season at home (4)69.072.2141.2-3.275%
Season away (3)71.077.7148.7-6.70%
Last 10 (10)72.174.5146.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)68.475.2143.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.081.6157.6-5.638%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.275.1149.3-0.945%
vs Weaker (6)83.375.2158.5+8.267%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 78
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 78
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
63-90
63
90
-27
42avg 78
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
90-114
90
114
-24
72avg 78
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
87avg 78
H27/10
ENBL
Leiden
#10
W
96-83
96
83
+13
94avg 78
A31/10
BNXT League
Alkar
#13
W
92-80
92
80
+12
no box
A03/11
ENBL
Limburg
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
no box
H08/11
BNXT League
AEL
#4
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
H11/11
ENBL
Rotterdam
#14
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A15/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
25-14
13-23
18-22
11-13
29-17
22-23
19-25
19-27
11-28
13-20
20-15
24-31
29-28
12-30
25-25
23-22
20-13
24-18
23-18
24-17
19-22
25-26
28-18
22-25
28-15
25-24
17-16
10-31
26-23
20-19
17-23
22-16
28-27
14-21
19-17
24-24
21-8
22-22
16-16
167.5Avg total
83.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.686.7168.3-5.157%
Season at home (3)72.388.0160.3-15.733%
Season away (4)88.585.8174.2+2.875%
Last 10 (10)83.683.9167.5-0.370%
Last 5 (5)85.482.0167.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.890.8168.6-13.125%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.378.9164.1+6.471%
vs Weaker (4)90.581.8172.2+8.875%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
Leuven BearsDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/11
BNXT League
73.3Avg total
36.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.877.7+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.878.9+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.976.5-1.360%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.273.3-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.073.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.941.682.5-0.754%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.534.971.4+1.555%-
vs Weaker (6)43.735.078.7+8.7100%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#13
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/10
ENBL
Leiden
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/10
BNXT League
Alkar
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A03/11
ENBL
Limburg
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H08/11
BNXT League
AEL
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
ENBL
Rotterdam
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A15/11
BNXT League
86.2Avg total
44.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.983.9+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.881.9+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)44.142.286.3+1.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.886.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.846.287.9-4.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.436.178.4+6.371%-
vs Weaker (4)49.242.091.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.2
28.7%
32.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.111.7
61.3%
71.0%11.7
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.9
53.7%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.6
35.5%
32.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.712.1
64.7%
71.0%12.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
LLLWWLWWWL
Donar Groningen
WWLWWWLLWW
#12
League position
#9
+1.6
Net rating
-1.6
84.4
Offensive rating
94.9
82.7
Defensive rating
96.5
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.7%
3-point %
35.5%
57.8%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence84.4 · 94.9Defence82.7 · 96.5Shooting50.1% · 53.5%3-point %28.7% · 35.5%Ball care19.4% · 14.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leuven Bears wins
3
Donar Groningen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMechelen68-91
08/11/26ADen Bosch81-86
31/10/26AOostende54-66
24/10/26HLeiden67-64
17/10/26HKortrijk72-69
06/10/26ADonar Groningen78-81
03/10/26HSpirou Charleroi69-65
09/05/26ABAL Weert77-65
06/05/26HZwolle69-61
02/05/26HKortrijk86-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ARotterdam83-70
11/11/26HAEL83-81
08/11/26HLimburg73-96
03/11/26AAlkar92-80
31/10/26ALeiden96-83
27/10/26HVoluntari90-71
25/10/26AOkapi Aalst90-114
14/10/26HSpirou Charleroi63-90
06/10/26HLeuven Bears81-78
02/10/26AKortrijk85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game69.969.071.0
Allowed / game74.672.277.7
Point differential-4.7-3.2-6.7
Avg total144.4141.2148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game81.672.388.5
Allowed / game86.788.085.8
Point differential-5.1-15.7+2.8
Avg total168.3160.3174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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