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Leuven Bears vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-78
18-12 19-26 25-13 24-27
Position#13
Record10-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#7
Record10-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.4
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 21· Sportoase
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Donar Groningen
17 Feb 2027
LEUV v DGR
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
LEUV86
DGR78
03 May 2025
LEUV75
DGR73
09 Apr 2022
LEUV88
DGR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
93-64
93
64
+29
91avg 74
H23/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 74
A26/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 74
A03/01
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
91-64
91
64
+27
90avg 74
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
91avg 74
H24/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 74
A31/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
W
84-65
84
65
+19
85avg 74
H07/02
Belgian Cup
Leiden
#10
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 74
H14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
71-70
71
70
+1
59avg 74
A18/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
21-19
26-16
19-13
16-22
30-10
26-10
21-21
23-20
15-8
16-23
28-24
26-12
28-19
22-21
15-12
25-22
17-24
12-22
16-14
29-18
22-22
20-21
19-28
17-21
24-15
11-17
14-18
22-12
23-13
29-21
10-19
19-14
28-17
15-22
28-20
9-18
22-15
19-18
21-19
154.6Avg total
83.0Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.578.8159.3+1.750%
Season at home (10)85.082.4167.4+2.660%
Season away (10)76.075.3151.3+0.740%
Last 10 (10)83.071.6154.6+11.480%
Last 5 (5)80.273.6153.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.380.7153.0-8.443%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.980.2161.1+0.743%
vs Weaker (8)89.869.8159.5+20.0100%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
66avg 76
H14/12
BNXT League
Alkar
#21
W
90-71
90
71
+19
89avg 76
H16/12
ENBL
Mechelen
#8
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 76
A20/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
82avg 76
A23/12
BNXT League
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
104-106
104
106
-2
103avg 76
A06/01
ENBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A14/01
ENBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
A17/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
77-76
77
76
+1
73avg 76
H24/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
105-84
105
84
+21
104avg 76
H31/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
72-113
72
113
-41
63avg 76
A13/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
15-22
21-21
18-20
19-20
24-14
26-13
21-24
18-24
24-20
16-27
26-22
22-20
23-22
20-28
23-17
23-24
24-32
30-20
27-30
14-20
20-25
28-15
27-21
16-17
28-12
22-17
20-27
19-19
21-19
20-23
17-15
26-19
23-20
26-22
30-23
19-29
22-31
17-23
14-30
174.7Avg total
86.9Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.383.4165.7-1.159%
Season at home (7)84.975.4160.3+9.486%
Season away (10)80.589.0169.5-8.540%
Last 10 (10)86.987.8174.7-0.960%
Last 5 (5)85.885.4171.2+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.690.9172.6-9.336%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.287.4165.6-9.240%
vs Weaker (10)86.874.4161.2+12.490%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
Leuven BearsDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H23/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A03/01
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H24/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H07/02
Belgian Cup
Leiden
#10
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A18/02
BNXT League
78.0Avg total
44.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.178.4+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.980.6+2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.376.2+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.333.778.0+10.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.076.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.439.976.3-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.139.779.8+0.450%-
vs Weaker (8)44.934.078.9+10.975%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H14/12
BNXT League
Alkar
#21
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/12
ENBL
Mechelen
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A20/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A23/12
BNXT League
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A06/01
ENBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A14/01
ENBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A17/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H24/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H31/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A13/02
BNXT League
86.0Avg total
42.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.383.3-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.739.879.5-0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)40.245.785.8-5.522%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.086.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.283.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.447.187.4-6.721%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.045.482.4-8.420%-
vs Weaker (10)41.037.078.0+4.060%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.5
56.3%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.1
34.9%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.5
75.1%
72.4%17.5
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.8
56.6%
54.3%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.0
32.8%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.914.1
67.5%
72.4%14.1
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WWWLWLWWWW
Donar Groningen
LWWWWLWLWL
#13
League position
#7
+16.1
Net rating
-5.5
104.0
Offensive rating
105.2
87.9
Defensive rating
110.7
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.9%
3-point %
32.8%
56.6%
Assist %
63.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 105.2Defence87.9 · 110.7Shooting54.8% · 53.6%3-point %34.9% · 32.8%Ball care17.9% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.3% · 33.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Leuven Bears wins
2
Donar Groningen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AOostende71-70
14/02/26HLeiden90-73
07/02/26HSpirou Charleroi84-65
31/01/26ADen Helder66-71
24/01/26HLimburg90-89
18/01/26ABrussels Basketball70-82
10/01/26HBAL Weert91-64
03/01/26AOkapi Aalst82-75
26/12/25ABelfius Mons93-63
23/12/25HRotterdam93-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26AAntwerp Giants72-113
31/01/26HKortrijk105-84
24/01/26HBrussels Basketball77-76
17/01/26ABAL Weert86-73
14/01/26AKapfenberg Bulls89-81
06/01/26ASyntainics MBC104-106
23/12/25ADen Bosch88-87
20/12/25AMechelen84-93
16/12/25HAlkar90-71
14/12/25HAntwerp Giants74-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game80.585.076.0
Allowed / game78.882.475.3
Point differential+1.6+2.6+0.7
Avg total159.3167.4151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %15%20%10%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %59%86%40%
Points / game82.384.980.5
Allowed / game83.475.489.0
Point differential-1.1+9.4-8.5
Avg total165.7160.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%43%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1916384%96.577.1+19.4
2 Oostende2016480%89.080.0+9.1
3 Kortrijk2014670%88.179.8+8.3
4 Okapi Aalst2014670%94.386.6+7.8
5 Leiden2013765%87.780.6+7.0
6 Den Bosch1912763%86.882.8+3.9
7 Mechelen2012860%77.379.5-2.1
8 Donar Groningen1710759%82.383.4-1.1
9 Limburg2011955%90.081.3+8.7
10 Brussels Basketball2011955%86.282.0+4.2
11 Leuven Bears20101050%80.578.8+1.6
12 Spirou Charleroi1981142%83.589.1-5.5
13 Belfius Mons2071335%85.592.5-7.0
14 Zwolle2061430%78.082.8-4.8
15 Den Helder2061430%79.986.3-6.4
16 LWD Basket2061430%85.094.9-9.9
17 Rotterdam1931616%77.691.2-13.6
18 BAL Weert2121910%69.487.8-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears1819252486
Donar Groningen1226132778
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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