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Leuven Bears vs Okapi Aalst Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game86.9
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst
17 Jan 2027
LEUV v OKAP
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
LEUV90
OKAP106
26 Apr 2025
LEUV90
OKAP75
27 Mar 2024
LEUV71
OKAP63
14 Nov 2023
LEUV84
OKAP60
15 May 2023
LEUV101
OKAP65
07 Jan 2023
LEUV88
OKAP69
25 May 2022
LEUV74
OKAP66
07 Jan 2022
LEUV103
OKAP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 68
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 68
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 68
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
45avg 68
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 68
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
72-69
72
69
+3
72avg 68
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
55avg 68
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
54-66
54
66
-12
45avg 68
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
16-28
24-23
25-21
20-17
15-16
10-10
24-18
15-11
16-18
21-15
25-21
20-15
25-17
16-18
8-15
13-11
17-29
23-22
25-19
16-22
26-13
12-23
18-11
11-11
14-14
17-22
25-17
21-16
12-15
18-18
3-17
14-15
33-31
17-19
17-21
25-25
11-23
12-20
20-23
146.6Avg total
72.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.974.6144.4-4.743%
Season at home (4)69.072.2141.2-3.275%
Season away (3)71.077.7148.7-6.70%
Last 10 (10)72.174.5146.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)68.475.2143.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.081.6157.6-5.638%
vs Similar (11)74.275.1149.3-0.945%
vs Weaker (6)83.375.2158.5+8.267%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
102-92
102
92
+10
93avg 90
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
75avg 90
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
118-90
118
90
+28
123avg 90
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
95-87
95
87
+8
78avg 90
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 90
A10/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
77-92
77
92
-15
74avg 90
A17/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
114-90
114
90
+24
110avg 90
H25/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 90
H31/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
25-12
22-27
32-24
19-22
22-28
16-25
28-24
27-25
25-16
32-18
34-31
23-17
25-24
26-18
21-28
23-21
19-28
26-16
26-14
26-25
15-17
16-24
20-26
31-24
28-29
30-12
25-25
22-21
22-23
25-5
14-20
10-23
25-30
20-23
22-15
22-30
31-25
18-27
31-18
183.6Avg total
94.7Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.786.9178.6+4.971%
Season at home (4)98.586.5185.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)82.787.3170.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)94.788.9183.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)90.688.4179.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.090.0180.0+0.050%
vs Similar (7)90.195.3185.4-5.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)98.185.0183.1+13.090%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
Leuven BearsOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/11
BNXT League
73.3Avg total
36.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.877.7+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.878.9+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.976.5-1.360%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.273.3-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.073.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.941.682.5-0.754%-
vs Similar (11)36.534.971.4+1.555%-
vs Weaker (6)43.735.078.7+8.7100%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A10/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H25/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H31/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A08/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H14/11
BNXT League
93.2Avg total
46.3Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.692.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.546.295.8+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)44.444.989.2-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)46.346.993.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.449.495.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.549.586.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (7)44.647.792.3-3.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)49.044.593.5+4.462%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.2
28.7%
32.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.111.7
61.3%
71.0%11.7
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.821.1
60.6%
53.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.1
40.1%
32.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.418.5
75.8%
71.0%18.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
LLLWWLWWWL
Okapi Aalst
WLWWLWWWLW
#12
League position
#4
+1.6
Net rating
+10.6
84.4
Offensive rating
108.3
82.7
Defensive rating
97.7
50.1%
Effective FG%
60.4%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
19.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
28.7%
3-point %
40.1%
57.8%
Assist %
59.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence84.4 · 108.3Defence82.7 · 97.7Shooting50.1% · 60.4%3-point %28.7% · 40.1%Ball care19.4% · 15.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Leuven Bears wins
3
Okapi Aalst wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMechelen68-91
08/11/26ADen Bosch81-86
31/10/26AOostende54-66
24/10/26HLeiden67-64
17/10/26HKortrijk72-69
06/10/26ADonar Groningen78-81
03/10/26HSpirou Charleroi69-65
09/05/26ABAL Weert77-65
06/05/26HZwolle69-61
02/05/26HKortrijk86-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDen Bosch102-100
08/11/26ABrussels Basketball77-91
31/10/26HBelfius Mons83-69
25/10/26HDonar Groningen114-90
17/10/26ALeiden77-92
10/10/26AMechelen94-79
03/10/26HOostende95-87
09/05/26HLWD Basket118-90
06/05/26ALimburg85-99
02/05/26HRotterdam102-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game69.969.071.0
Allowed / game74.672.277.7
Point differential-4.7-3.2-6.7
Avg total144.4141.2148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game91.798.582.7
Allowed / game86.986.587.3
Point differential+4.9+12.0-4.7
Avg total178.6185.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg64267%92.084.3+7.7
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle63350%72.777.0-4.3
9 Donar Groningen63350%81.389.5-8.2
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Rotterdam62433%75.880.2-4.3
14 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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