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Liaoning vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 135-108
38-27 39-24 29-26 29-31
Position#4
Record28-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game105.9
Allowed / game99.3
vs
Position#16
Record10-32
FormWWWLL
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game106.6
ChinaCBARound 43· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liaoning v Guangzhou
03 Nov 2026
LIAO100
GUAN93
18 Mar 2026
LIAO97
GUAN86
21 Mar 2025
LIAO135
GUAN108
03 Nov 2024
LIAO97
GUAN86
09 Mar 2024
LIAO109
GUAN103
18 Oct 2022
LIAO107
GUAN90
18 Jan 2022
LIAO110
GUAN98
16 Dec 2020
LIAO95
GUAN93
09 Nov 2020
LIAO117
GUAN82
23 Jun 2020
LIAO102
GUAN106
01 Feb 2019
LIAO110
GUAN94
16 Nov 2018
LIAO120
GUAN108
20 Dec 2017
LIAO99
GUAN111
28 Dec 2016
LIAO119
GUAN98
04 Dec 2015
LIAO99
GUAN103
17 Dec 2014
LIAO117
GUAN107
05 Jan 2014
LIAO115
GUAN93
06 Feb 2013
LIAO128
GUAN122
11 Jan 2012
LIAO116
GUAN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
88-101
88
101
-13
74avg 98
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
93-108
93
108
-15
76avg 98
A23/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
124-106
124
106
+18
119avg 98
H25/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
83-127
83
127
-44
72avg 98
A05/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
121-93
121
93
+28
128avg 98
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
112-99
112
99
+13
-5avg 98
H09/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
97-106
97
106
-9
80avg 98
A11/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
94-88
94
88
+6
90avg 98
A15/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
136-99
136
99
+37
149avg 98
H17/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
117-100
117
100
+17
118avg 98
H19/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
31-27
21-31
18-23
28-26
30-35
26-26
9-21
38-34
33-23
29-20
24-29
20-31
24-31
17-30
22-35
29-20
34-35
27-22
31-16
28-24
21-32
31-20
32-23
34-26
26-27
11-25
26-28
29-21
21-27
28-23
16-17
44-20
33-36
34-21
25-22
28-29
31-27
38-21
20-23
209.2Avg total
106.5Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)105.999.3205.2+6.567%
Season at home (21)112.698.6211.1+14.081%
Season away (21)99.1100.1199.2-1.052%
Last 10 (10)106.5102.7209.2+3.860%
Last 5 (5)111.298.4209.6+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.5104.5195.0-14.00%
vs Similar (12)101.4104.0205.4-2.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)109.797.8207.5+11.981%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
116-124
116
124
-8
108avg 87
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 87
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 87
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
52avg 87
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
86-104
86
104
-18
85avg 87
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
110avg 87
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
92avg 87
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
87-79
87
79
+8
72avg 87
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
80-116
80
116
-36
64avg 87
H16/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
68avg 87
A19/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
32-35
27-36
27-27
27-28
32-40
32-26
22-22
22-29
21-24
25-32
14-26
19-25
26-24
15-41
20-36
24-31
18-24
22-26
22-23
32-32
19-15
26-25
19-24
14-21
27-16
26-31
29-19
21-22
16-19
24-16
26-22
21-35
24-25
25-23
10-33
24-19
15-34
15-21
23-24
198.8Avg total
92.6Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)95.8106.6202.4-10.824%
Season at home (21)97.0106.9203.9-9.924%
Season away (21)94.5106.3200.8-11.824%
Last 10 (10)92.6106.2198.8-13.630%
Last 5 (5)89.896.2186.0-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)92.2112.2204.4-20.00%
vs Similar (9)98.092.2190.2+5.867%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -4.4-4.4
LiaoningGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A23/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H25/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A05/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H09/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A11/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A15/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H17/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H19/03
CBA
113.1Avg total
58.0Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.253.0108.2+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.352.0111.3+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)51.154.1105.1-3.047%-
Last 10 (10)58.055.1113.1+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)59.053.8112.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.553.0102.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (12)52.052.8104.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)58.253.2111.4+5.175%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H16/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/03
CBA
98.8Avg total
46.4Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.352.3100.6-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.952.3101.2-3.438%-
Last 30 away (14)47.552.399.8-4.836%-
Last 10 (10)46.452.498.8-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.647.690.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)48.655.7104.3-7.124%-
vs Similar (9)47.444.391.8+3.167%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 105.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.927.8
56.9%
52.6%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.1
35.4%
35.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.516.9
78.6%
76.3%16.9
They take 80.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.622.8
51.1%
52.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.8
34.5%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.6
78.3%
76.3%16.6
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WWWLWWLWLL
Guangzhou
LLWWWLLLLL
#4
League position
#16
+4.4
Net rating
-15.5
117.3
Offensive rating
101.3
112.9
Defensive rating
116.8
55.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
20.9%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.4%
3-point %
34.5%
70.7%
Assist %
53.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 101.3Defence112.9 · 116.8Shooting55.4% · 51.4%3-point %35.4% · 34.5%Ball care14.7% · 20.9%Off. rebounds29.6% · 27.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Liaoning   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Liaoning wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
26/12/24Guangzhou v Liaoning97-98
03/11/24Liaoning v Guangzhou97-86
18/10/24Guangzhou v Liaoning88-120
09/03/24Liaoning v Guangzhou109-103
26/12/23Guangzhou v Liaoning76-93
03/04/23Guangzhou v Liaoning87-69
18/10/22Liaoning v Guangzhou107-90
18/01/22Liaoning v Guangzhou110-98
17/10/21Guangzhou v Liaoning89-107
16/01/21Guangzhou v Liaoning91-99
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HShenzhen117-100
17/03/25HJilin136-99
15/03/25AJiangsu Dragons94-88
11/03/25ANanjing Tongxi97-106
09/03/25HJilin112-99
07/03/25HQingdao121-93
05/03/25AGuangdong83-127
25/01/25HNingbo Rockets124-106
23/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha93-108
19/01/25AZhejiang Chouzhou88-101
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25AShandong77-98
16/03/25HXinjiang80-116
14/03/25HSichuan87-79
12/03/25ATianjin96-87
10/03/25HFujian109-101 OT
08/03/25HShenzhen86-104
05/03/25AQingdao80-126
24/01/25AGuangdong82-111
22/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters113-116
20/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu116-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLLLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %67%81%52%
Points / game105.9112.699.1
Allowed / game99.398.6100.1
Point differential+6.5+14.0-1.0
Avg total205.2211.1199.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%62%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL24%
HomeLLWWL24%
AwayLLLWL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %24%24%24%
Points / game95.897.094.5
Allowed / game106.6106.9106.3
Point differential-10.8-9.9-11.8
Avg total202.4203.9200.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha4236686%104.493.1+11.3
2 Shanxi Zhongyu42321076%114.9108.5+6.4
3 Beijing42301271%103.996.6+7.3
4 Xinjiang41291271%110.1102.0+8.1
5 Shandong42291369%104.999.9+5.0
6 Liaoning42281467%105.999.3+6.5
7 Guangdong42271564%104.798.0+6.7
8 Qingdao42271564%105.5100.8+4.6
9 Shanghai41261563%111.0103.2+7.9
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou42261662%112.3105.2+7.1
11 Beijing Royal Fighters41241759%106.6102.5+4.0
12 Nanjing Tongxi42212150%106.1107.4-1.3
13 Shenzhen42162638%104.7106.8-2.1
14 Jilin42132931%103.1112.8-9.7
15 Tianjin42113126%102.0110.9-8.9
16 Guangzhou42103224%95.8106.6-10.8
17 Ningbo Rockets42103224%103.2114.2-11.0
18 Sichuan4293321%99.9109.9-10.0
19 Fujian4183320%104.2115.2-11.0
20 Jiangsu Dragons4263614%93.5103.3-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liaoning38392929135
Guangzhou27242631108
← all games of the day
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