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Lietkabelis vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-96
21-28 25-24 28-21 17-23
Position#18
Record4-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game87.2
Lietkabelis
vs
Valencia 🏆
Position#1
Record12-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game82.1
EuropeEurocupRound 15· Kalnapilio arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
89avg 78
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
93-87
93
87
+6
72avg 78
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
82avg 78
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 78
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
99avg 78
A20/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
78avg 78
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
70avg 78
A28/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 78
H05/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 78
A07/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
63-56
63
56
+7
51avg 78
A11/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
31-17
17-12
24-34
18-17
31-24
20-28
24-18
14-22
22-22
12-19
39-30
19-18
15-14
20-24
12-25
24-26
21-31
34-15
18-25
23-17
20-21
14-20
21-21
23-20
17-27
21-17
17-26
24-24
22-19
15-25
24-21
14-17
22-17
16-23
14-22
18-15
10-20
15-13
20-8
165.2Avg total
81.6Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.587.2169.6-4.731%
Season at home (6)84.888.7173.5-3.833%
Season away (7)80.485.9166.3-5.429%
Last 10 (10)81.683.6165.2-2.040%
Last 5 (5)74.078.6152.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)82.387.7170.0-5.327%
vs Similar (5)86.077.6163.6+8.480%
vs Weaker (10)79.981.5161.4-1.640%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
96-88
96
88
+8
95avg 83
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
108-80
108
80
+28
107avg 83
H18/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
97avg 83
H20/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 83
H22/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 83
A27/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
104avg 83
H30/12
ACB
Venezia
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
61avg 83
A02/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
99-91
99
91
+8
91avg 83
A05/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
116-78
116
78
+38
119avg 83
H07/01
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
120-94
120
94
+26
129avg 83
H11/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
24-23
19-20
22-20
35-26
38-22
16-18
19-14
26-24
31-21
15-34
25-18
17-9
23-21
16-29
29-25
24-17
14-19
28-35
28-26
26-26
23-17
30-22
28-27
18-21
12-31
22-16
22-13
28-30
23-18
21-22
27-21
26-21
26-13
35-24
29-20
33-19
34-23
26-26
27-26
189.7Avg total
100.5Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)97.282.1179.4+15.186%
Season at home (7)106.484.1190.6+22.386%
Season away (7)88.080.1168.1+7.986%
Last 10 (10)100.589.2189.7+11.370%
Last 5 (5)103.287.2190.4+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.084.0169.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)97.784.3182.0+13.483%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +4.6+4.6
LietkabelisValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A20/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A07/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A11/01
LKL
81.0Avg total
40.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.081.8-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.140.483.5+2.864%-
Last 30 away (16)38.741.680.3-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.181.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.478.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.143.783.8-3.547%-
vs Similar (5)46.037.483.4+8.680%-
vs Weaker (10)39.138.978.0+0.250%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H18/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H22/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H30/12
ACB
Venezia
#11
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A02/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A05/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H07/01
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
67-42
67
42
+25
H11/01
ACB
93.8Avg total
51.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.341.289.4+7.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.038.790.7+13.393%-
Last 30 away (15)44.543.688.1+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)51.242.693.8+8.690%-
Last 5 (5)49.843.893.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)48.641.690.1+7.076%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.5
54.8%
53.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.4
31.9%
34.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
76.0%15.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 99.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.1
56.6%
53.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.714.2
39.8%
34.3%42.6
🏀 Free throws21.017.1
81.4%
76.0%17.1
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLLLLWLLWW
Valencia
WWWLWLWLWW
#18
League position
#1
-3.7
Net rating
+14.8
105.9
Offensive rating
124.2
109.6
Defensive rating
109.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
58.1%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
38.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.9%
3-point %
39.8%
61.9%
Assist %
67.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 124.2Defence109.6 · 109.4Shooting52.2% · 58.1%3-point %31.9% · 39.8%Ball care19.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds28.8% · 38.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lietkabelis wins
0
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
20/12/24Valencia v Lietkabelis106-107 OT
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ANeptunas63-56
07/01/25AJL Bourg66-79
05/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas85-89
28/12/24ARytas78-90
23/12/24ANevezis78-79
20/12/24AValencia107-106 OT
17/12/24AAris66-81
14/12/24AMazeikiai87-93
11/12/24AHapoel Jerusalem93-87
07/12/24HSiauliai93-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HGranada120-94
07/01/25HTurk Telekom116-78
05/01/25ALeyma Coruna99-91
02/01/25AVenezia74-81
30/12/24HForca Lleida107-92
27/12/24AGran Canaria94-97
22/12/24HReal Madrid85-84
20/12/24HLietkabelis106-107 OT
18/12/24HCluj-Napoca108-80
15/12/24AMurcia96-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL31%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game82.584.880.4
Allowed / game87.288.785.9
Point differential-4.7-3.8-5.4
Avg total169.6173.5166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Valencia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW86%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game97.2106.488.0
Allowed / game82.184.180.1
Point differential+15.1+22.3+7.9
Avg total179.4190.6168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%86%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1412286%97.282.1+15.1
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1412286%84.173.9+10.1
3 Gran Canaria1410471%79.274.3+4.9
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv149564%88.979.2+9.6
5 Hapoel Jerusalem149564%85.579.6+5.9
6 Ulm149564%89.089.2-0.2
7 Cedevita Olimpija138562%84.983.4+1.5
8 Venezia148657%82.483.4-0.9
9 Turk Telekom148657%80.682.4-1.8
10 JL Bourg147750%86.983.6+3.3
11 Besiktas147750%86.386.1+0.1
12 Cluj-Napoca147750%88.688.7-0.1
13 BC Wolves147750%83.987.4-3.6
14 Buducnost146843%86.486.6-0.2
15 Joventut Badalona145936%79.984.0-4.1
16 Lietkabelis134931%82.587.2-4.7
17 Trento1441029%78.285.2-7.0
18 Aris1431121%76.282.1-5.9
19 Hamburg1431121%77.690.1-12.5
20 Trefl Sopot141137%77.286.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2125281791
Valencia2824212396
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