PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lietkabelis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:50
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game76.1
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Zalgiris Kaunas
07 Mar 2027
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
22 Nov 2026
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
28 May 2026
LIE75
ZAL95
04 Apr 2026
LIE82
ZAL94
23 Nov 2025
LIE77
ZAL81
03 May 2025
LIE76
ZAL88
05 Jan 2025
LIE85
ZAL89
23 May 2024
LIE89
ZAL90
01 Apr 2024
LIE77
ZAL83
03 Dec 2023
LIE68
ZAL80
28 May 2023
LIE66
ZAL95
24 May 2023
LIE83
ZAL86
09 May 2023
LIE87
ZAL85
18 Feb 2023
LIE67
ZAL77
09 Oct 2022
LIE66
ZAL74
21 May 2022
LIE86
ZAL75
16 May 2022
LIE79
ZAL55
24 Apr 2022
LIE85
ZAL67
27 Sep 2021
LIE69
ZAL73
06 Apr 2021
LIE88
ZAL94
20 Dec 2020
LIE77
ZAL82
19 Apr 2020
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
05 Jan 2020
LIE83
ZAL72
23 May 2019
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
04 May 2019
LIE76
ZAL81
13 Jan 2019
LIE69
ZAL73
31 May 2018
LIE79
ZAL94
02 May 2018
LIE74
ZAL81
19 Nov 2017
LIE66
ZAL70
06 Jun 2017
LIE59
ZAL72
31 May 2017
LIE86
ZAL83
30 Jan 2017
LIE79
ZAL77
22 Sep 2016
LIE90
ZAL86
14 Mar 2016
LIE70
ZAL90
16 Nov 2015
LIE69
ZAL95
02 May 2015
LIE67
ZAL73
04 Jan 2015
LIE63
ZAL82
02 Oct 2014
LIE70
ZAL88
13 Apr 2014
LIE64
ZAL76
28 Jan 2013
LIE61
ZAL113
26 Nov 2011
LIE79
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 71
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 71
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 71
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 71
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 71
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#16
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 71
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
W
99-79
99
79
+20
91avg 71
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
61-99
61
99
-38
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
15-13
15-14
22-24
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
19-33
29-20
25-11
26-15
14-24
14-21
17-22
21-13
20-21
22-25
23-14
20-21
19-22
16-25
9-32
17-20
155.0Avg total
75.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.681.1160.7-1.656%
Season at home (5)83.678.4162.0+5.280%
Season away (4)74.584.5159.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)75.679.4155.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)75.885.0160.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.186.9165.1-8.829%
vs Similar (11)78.677.9156.5+0.745%
vs Weaker (5)71.671.0142.6+0.660%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#5
L
80-99
80
99
-19
73avg 89
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 89
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 89
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 89
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 89
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 89
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 89
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
29-23
13-28
24-21
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
168.9Avg total
88.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.276.1169.3+17.1100%
Season at home (4)95.072.2167.2+22.8100%
Season away (5)91.879.2171.0+12.6100%
Last 10 (10)88.680.3168.9+8.380%
Last 5 (5)89.879.0168.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (4)86.588.2174.8-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.778.5172.2+15.292%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
LietkabelisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#16
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/11
Eurocup
79.1Avg total
38.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.642.079.6-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.280.3-4.120%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.979.0-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.679.1-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.048.287.2-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.643.883.4-4.214%-
vs Similar (11)37.043.580.5-6.518%-
vs Weaker (5)33.434.067.4-0.660%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#5
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
82.0Avg total
42.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.339.584.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.586.3+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)43.939.583.5+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.182.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.045.088.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.543.886.2-1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.938.684.5+7.280%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
70.8%14.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
70.8%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWLWLLWWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWLL
#5
League position
#1
-2.7
Net rating
+11.2
95.5
Offensive rating
106.4
98.3
Defensive rating
95.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
59.8%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.0%
3-point %
43.4%
56.1%
Assist %
69.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 106.4Defence98.3 · 95.2Shooting51.9% · 59.8%3-point %35.0% · 43.4%Ball care15.3% · 16.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lietkabelis wins
9
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABahcesehir Kol.61-99
07/11/26HRytas85-81
04/11/26HManresa66-80
31/10/26HNeptunas99-79
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
10/10/26HJonava65-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
13/10/26AFenerbahce80-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game79.683.674.5
Allowed / game81.178.484.5
Point differential-1.6+5.2-10.0
Avg total160.7162.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.295.091.8
Allowed / game76.172.279.2
Point differential+17.1+22.8+12.6
Avg total169.3167.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Gargzdai96367%89.086.2+2.8
3 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
4 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
5 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1.6
6 Siauliai94544%83.286.0-2.8
7 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2.8
8 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5.9
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.