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Lithuania vs Greece Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-87
19-24 19-20 14-20 24-23
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Greece 🏆
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game72.2
EuropeEuroBasketEuroBasket - Quarter-finals· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025Neutral venue
Meetings · Lithuania v Greece
09 Sep 2025
LITH76
GREE87
01 Sep 2023
LITH92
GREE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLithuania
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
W
82-67
82
67
+15
80avg 87
A21/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
94-72
94
72
+22
103avg 87
H24/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
82-48
82
48
+34
86avg 87
A21/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 87
H24/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 87
A27/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
94-67
94
67
+27
98avg 87
H29/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
88-107
88
107
-19
88avg 87
H30/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
81-78
81
78
+3
76avg 87
A01/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
74-71
74
71
+3
69avg 87
H03/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 87
H06/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-9
21-18
20-16
18-24
23-27
20-19
21-16
30-10
15-18
22-14
25-10
20-6
28-19
32-24
7-21
15-11
23-15
18-18
24-17
29-20
26-15
21-13
19-17
28-22
20-32
27-23
25-28
16-24
20-21
25-15
12-12
24-30
14-21
19-18
21-14
20-18
28-18
19-19
19-17
22-25
159.3Avg total
85.9Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.578.7165.2+7.883%
Season at home (4)86.081.0167.0+5.075%
Season away (2)87.574.0161.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.973.4159.3+12.590%
Last 5 (5)85.080.4165.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.693.4168.0-18.80%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.478.1162.5+6.364%
vs Weaker (14)86.367.4153.7+18.993%
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 73
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 73
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
85avg 73
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
63-53
63
53
+10
56avg 73
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 73
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
96-69
96
69
+27
98avg 73
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
94-53
94
53
+41
100avg 73
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 73
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
89avg 73
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 73
H07/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
15-17
10-18
21-22
17-15
23-17
17-18
20-17
27-13
10-27
23-14
17-23
18-18
16-5
14-16
15-14
22-12
14-20
20-13
19-21
22-13
21-18
26-16
27-22
22-13
24-16
23-12
25-12
25-19
13-25
14-17
25-19
31-20
19-15
18-28
22-23
28-22
22-19
17-18
17-20
153.6Avg total
82.1Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.072.2158.2+13.883%
Season at home (3)78.775.0153.7+3.767%
Season away (3)93.369.3162.7+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.171.5153.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)88.273.4161.6+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.384.2160.5-7.833%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.477.2160.6+6.275%
vs Weaker (12)85.272.0157.2+13.292%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
LithuaniaGreece
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A21/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H24/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H24/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H29/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H30/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A01/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H06/09
EuroBasket
82.0Avg total
44.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.981.7+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.840.384.1+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)41.637.078.6+4.669%-
Last 10 (10)44.437.682.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.082.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.044.482.4-6.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.240.184.3+4.173%-
vs Weaker (14)43.635.979.5+7.671%-
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/09
EuroBasket
75.5Avg total
41.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.477.9+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.737.374.9+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)43.337.580.8+5.767%-
Last 10 (10)41.534.075.5+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.436.081.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.840.275.0-5.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.036.879.8+6.275%-
vs Weaker (12)40.836.777.4+4.167%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lithuaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.4
57.6%
52.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.4
32.9%
33.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws26.218.5
70.6%
73.1%18.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.7
52.4%
52.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.8
35.9%
33.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
73.1%14.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lithuania
WWWLWWWWWW
Greece
WWLWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#3
+17.1
Net rating
+14.4
113.1
Offensive rating
110.4
96.0
Defensive rating
96.0
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
35.9%
73.5%
Assist %
67.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 110.4Defence96.0 · 96.0Shooting54.6% · 53.0%3-point %32.9% · 35.9%Ball care18.7% · 18.1%Off. rebounds35.2% · 33.1%Free throws0.43 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Lithuania   ■ Greece
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lithuania wins
1
Greece wins
DateGameScore
01/09/23Lithuania v Greece92-67
28/08/13Greece v Lithuania80-62
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/25HLatvia88-79
03/09/25HSweden74-71
01/09/25AFinland81-78
30/08/25HGermany88-107
29/08/25HMontenegro94-67
27/08/25AGreat Britain94-70
24/02/25HEstonia82-75
21/02/25APoland82-48
24/11/24HNorth Macedonia94-72
21/11/24ANorth Macedonia82-67
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/09/25HIsrael84-79
04/09/25ASpain90-86
02/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina77-80
31/08/25AGeorgia94-53
30/08/25ACyprus96-69
28/08/25HItaly75-66
24/02/25HNetherlands63-53
21/02/25ACzech Republic93-89 OT
24/11/24HGreat Britain77-67
21/11/24AGreat Britain72-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game86.586.087.5
Allowed / game78.781.074.0
Point differential+7.8+5.0+13.5
Avg total165.2167.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Greece
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game86.078.793.3
Allowed / game72.275.069.3
Point differential+13.8+3.7+24.0
Avg total158.2153.7162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany660100%102.370.5+31.8
2 Turkey770100%90.773.6+17.1
3 Greece65183%86.072.2+13.8
4 Lithuania65183%86.578.7+7.8
5 France64267%88.578.5+10.0
6 Serbia64267%86.776.7+10.0
7 Italy64267%78.869.5+9.3
8 Finland64267%86.382.0+4.3
9 Slovenia64267%92.288.2+4.0
10 Poland74357%79.678.6+1.0
11 Latvia63350%81.878.7+3.2
12 Israel63350%82.780.8+1.8
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina63350%78.880.2-1.3
14 Georgia63350%74.576.0-1.5
15 Spain52340%79.470.8+8.6
16 Belgium52340%72.680.6-8.0
17 Portugal62433%62.275.5-13.3
18 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
19 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
20 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
21 Sweden61517%80.383.8-3.5
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus5050%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania1919142476
Greece2420202387
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